216 W 22nd St · Higginsville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom bungalow situated on a spacious corner lot with convenient access from the front, side, and rear of the property. The home features two bedrooms on the main level, a main-floor laundry area, and a second bathroom located in the basement. Outside, you'll find a large backyard offering plenty of space for recreation, gardening, future improvements, or additional parking. A detached one-car garage provides storage and shelter for your vehicle or workshop needs. This property will require repairs and updates and is being offered as-is, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity through improvements.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Main-floor laundry
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Inside city limits; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 200 (Assessor)
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence (Bungalow floor plan); Residential property
- Construction: Asbestos and frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: City lot; Paved road access; Public road maintenance; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on main floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Formal dining area; Accessible approach with ramp; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 4.0% in Higginsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#135 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette County C-1 (town): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #221 of 324 in MO (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lafayette Co. High (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 310 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lafayette County C-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.68%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $15,849
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $46,720
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64037
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $538/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2304 Walnut St Higginsville, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $995 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 694-char remark
-
2026-06-16$60,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $538 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $582 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$538
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette County C-1
- NCES district ID
- 2914400
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,595
- Composite
- 29.54/100
- National rank
- #6493
- State rank
- #221 of 324 in MO
Livability — Higginsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #7795
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Higginsville, MO
- City population
- 6,325
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,325
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,118 people
- By 2030
- 29,993 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 27,436 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 24,585 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 18,426 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 12,897 · -58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.9) · D 24.9% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -48.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.9 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 265.7736
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $60,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $538 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…