Duplex
1402 Baymeadows Dr Unit A & B · Valdosta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors!!! Great opportunity to expand your portfolio. Duplex offering 2540 square feet. 3 bedrooms, 2 baths. Vinyl flooring in kitchen. Carpet in bedrooms. Refrigeratorand stove included. Blinds throughout. Large laundry room. Covered front porch. Convenient location in town. Close to shopping and all things Valdosta has to offer. Great rental history. Low maintenance vinyl siding.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Vinyl flooring
- Large laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $623/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.3% in Valdosta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#392 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Valdosta City (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #149 of 174 in GA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: W.G. Nunn Elementary (math 14% / reading 17%, grade F, #973 of 1,228 statewide, top 80%, 901 students, 93% FRL); Newbern Middle School (math 10% / reading 18%, grade F, #405 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 806 students, 95% FRL); Valdosta High School (math 7% / reading 24%, grade F, #290 of 424 statewide, top 69%, 2,381 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 74% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,284/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 2016% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.40%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,083
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -43.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $65,213
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $238,227
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31601
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,284 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$690
- Net cashflow
- $1,247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,382 | -5% $1,314 | +0% $1,247 | +5% $1,179 | +10% $1,112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $987 | -5% $1,117 | +0% $1,247 | +5% $1,376 | +10% $1,506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,345 | -0.5pp $1,296 | base $1,247 | +0.5pp $1,196 | +1.0pp $1,145 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,284 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,642 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,642 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,284 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $195,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $195,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-17$195,000 Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Attention Investors!!! Great opportunity to expand your portfolio. Duplex offering 2540 square feet. 3 bedrooms, 2 baths. Vinyl flooring in kitchen. Carpet in bedrooms. Refrigeratorand stove included. Blinds throughout. Large laundry room. Covered front porch. Convenient location in town. Close to shopping and all things Valdosta has to offer. Great rental history. Low maintenance vinyl siding.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,408
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,153
- − Management
- −$3,153
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $12,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,026
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
A moderate rehab opportunity with average condition, requiring landscaping and exterior painting to improve curb appeal and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown grass
- Minor Exterior paint — No visible damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Resale Kitchen flooring — Fresh vinyl flooring enhances resale appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Overgrown grass | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior paint · No visible damage | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Resale Kitchen flooring — Fresh vinyl flooring enhances resale appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valdosta City
- NCES district ID
- 1305310
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,634
- Composite
- 14.79/100
- National rank
- #9388
- State rank
- #149 of 174 in GA
Livability — Valdosta
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #19544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valdosta, GA
- County
- Lowndes County · 107,801 people
- City population
- 91,859
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,302
- Household income
- $36,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2016.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,348 people
- By 2030
- 123,469 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 128,482 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 131,907 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 139,080 · +15.6%
- By 2100
- 133,649 · +11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.12%
- Current HPI
- 121.5948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.34%
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $195,000 SGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…