23 Besma Dr · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,019 sq ft of comfortable living space. Featuring a durable metal roof, this home is built to last while providing a modern touch with recent renovations throughout. Step inside to discover an updated kitchen, complete with sleek granite countertops, newer cabinetry, and high-quality appliances, making it perfect for any home chef. Both bathrooms have been fully updated, including showers, toilets, and vanities for a fresh, modern look. The HVAC system and water heater were replaced in 2025 for added peace of mind. There is a new mini split AC system in the converted master bedroom. The electrical and plumbing have been updated as well. Throughout the home, you'll find stylish tile flooring, with the exception of the master bedroom, which is carpet. This home combines style, functionality, and convenience. Schedule your showing today to make this turn-key beauty your own!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Newer cabinetry
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $165k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,789
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 4.57%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Randolph Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 770 (-4%) | 5mo | $56,900 | $74 | 81 |
| 4408 Lillian Hwy | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-1%) | 5mo | $34,500 | $44 | 78 |
| 32 Besma Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 812 (+2%) | 21mo | $159,000 | $196 | 77 |
| 13 Carey Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 834 (+4%) | 9mo | $141,000 | $169 | 66 |
| 31 Randolph Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+15%) | 6mo | $129,500 | $141 | 63 |
| 50 Pen Haven Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 904 (+13%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $94 | 63 |
| 1421 N 48th Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+6%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $176 | 61 |
| 22 Besma Dr | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 706 (-12%) | 18mo | $122,500 | $174 | 59 |
| 4 Norwood Dr | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 861 (+8%) | 18mo | $130,000 | $151 | 59 |
| 3 Bertram St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (+15%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $71 | 49 |
| 118 Alice St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 828 (+4%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $48 | 48 |
| 9 Horn St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 680 (-15%) | 20mo | $167,000 | $246 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-12,555
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $11,022
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32506
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,542 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $983/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5501 Mayfair Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 13d | 29 | 1.12mi |
| 316 Teakwood Cir Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1505 N 62nd Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $950 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 13d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3202 W Lee St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $995 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $165,000 960-char remark
Show marketing remark (960 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,019 sq ft of comfortable living space. Featuring a durable metal roof, this home is built to last while providing a modern touch with recent renovations throughout. Step inside to discover an updated kitchen, complete with sleek granite countertops, newer cabinetry, and high-quality appliances, making it perfect for any home chef. Both bathrooms have been fully updated, including showers, toilets, and vanities for a fresh, modern look. The HVAC system and water heater were replaced in 2025 for added peace of mind. There is a new mini split AC system in the converted master bedroom. The electrical and plumbing have been updated as well. Throughout the home, you'll find stylish tile flooring, with the exception of the master bedroom, which is carpet. This home combines style, functionality, and convenience. Schedule your showing today to make this turn-key beauty your own!
-
2026-02-13$175,000 Active 960-char remark
Show marketing remark (960 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,019 sq ft of comfortable living space. Featuring a durable metal roof, this home is built to last while providing a modern touch with recent renovations throughout. Step inside to discover an updated kitchen, complete with sleek granite countertops, newer cabinetry, and high-quality appliances, making it perfect for any home chef. Both bathrooms have been fully updated, including showers, toilets, and vanities for a fresh, modern look. The HVAC system and water heater were replaced in 2025 for added peace of mind. There is a new mini split AC system in the converted master bedroom. The electrical and plumbing have been updated as well. Throughout the home, you'll find stylish tile flooring, with the exception of the master bedroom, which is carpet. This home combines style, functionality, and convenience. Schedule your showing today to make this turn-key beauty your own!
-
2025-08-04historical
-
2025-06-19price $175,000
-
2025-04-01$190,000 Active
-
2016-04-18historical
-
2016-04-17$34,900
-
2012-10-01historical
-
2012-09-26$39,900
-
2009-08-17historical
-
2009-07-04$49,900
-
2007-08-07historical
-
2007-07-26$69,900
-
2006-04-27soldstatus $40,000
-
2006-03-04$44,700
-
1978-01-01soldstatus $11,500
-
1969-01-01soldstatus $8,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 39.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$983
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,481
- − Management
- −$1,481
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$302
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,549
- Household income
- $62,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1359.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 247.6085
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.85%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1841.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $165,000 PARMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $175,000 PARMLS
- 2025-08-04 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $175,000 PARMLS
- 2025-04-01 Listed $190,000 PARMLS
- 2016-04-18 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2016-04-17 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
- 2012-10-01 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2012-09-26 Listed $39,900 PARMLS
- 2009-08-17 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2009-07-04 Listed $49,900 PARMLS
- 2007-08-07 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2007-07-26 Listed $69,900 PARMLS
- 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 PARMLS
- 2006-03-04 Listed $44,700 PARMLS
- 1978-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
- 1969-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $983 · +34.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…