🌊 Lakefront
5686 Mayflower Way #707 · Ave Maria, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$315,999
5686 Mayflower Way #707 · Ave Maria, FL 34142
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,538 sqft · Condo
public records
· 152 Days on market
Built 2023
1-car garage
$205/sqft
· 21% below area
Est $399k · 21% under · waterfront
$793/mo HOA · 25% of rent
↓ 3% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully upgraded Egret Model Carriage Home, where thoughtful design meets effortless luxury. This 2-bedroom + den, 2-bath residence stands out with extensive custom upgrades throughout—far beyond builder grade. From the moment you enter, you’ll notice the elevated finishes: crown molding throughout, fresh interior paint, elegant tile flooring (no carpet), and custom-designed primary closet and laundry room that add both function and style. The home also features upgraded appliances and smart home technology, offering modern convenience at every turn.
Key facts
- Custom upgrades
- Upgraded appliances
- Crown molding
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $316k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-444 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (24.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $316k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,199/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($278k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Recommended offer
$237,612
(24.8% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.02%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $398,967
- List price
- $315,999
- Delta
- -20.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-52,370
- Equity at exit
- $75,548
10-year hold
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-55,459
- Equity at exit
- $78,709
Cash invested: $88,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $335,000 ($185/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 34 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +40.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34142
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $3,199 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,657
- Tax from tax record
- −$389 /mo · $4,673/yr
- Insurance
- −$132
- HOA
- −$793
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$672
- Net cashflow
- $-444
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$3,761
Max offer price
$237,612
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-265 | -5% $-354 | +0% $-444 | +5% $-533 | +10% $-623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-696 | -5% $-570 | +0% $-444 | +5% $-317 | +10% $-191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-285 | -0.5pp $-363 | base $-444 | +0.5pp $-526 | +1.0pp $-609 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,000
- Closing costs
- $9,480
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5690 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $3,295 | $1.82 | 119d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5690 Mayflower Way #601 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $5,500 | $3.03 | 119d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5698 Mayflower Way #405 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $5,495 | $2.94 | 6d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 5697 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,495 | $1.62 | 119d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5705 Mayflower Way #1407 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,250 | $1.46 | 119d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5784 Declaration Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,495 | $1.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5728 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2087 | $2,650 | $1.27 | 119d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5709 Constitution St Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 119d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5769 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $4,000 | $2.57 | 119d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5309 Beckton Rd Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2051 | $2,395 | $1.17 | 119d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5462 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5357 Brin Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $2,495 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,550 | $1.75 | 119d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,550 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5988 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $5,200 | $3.25 | 119d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5538 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $10,995 | $5.94 | 119d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5496 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5374 Ferris Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1933 | $2,350 | $1.22 | 119d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5453 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $7,995 | $4.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5435 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,695 | $2.00 | 116d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5598 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1958 | $2,800 | $1.43 | 6d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5415 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $3,995 | $1.78 | 6d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5474 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2032 | $2,650 | $1.30 | 119d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5657 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1981 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5661 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 109d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5265 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $4,995 | $2.59 | 119d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5265 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $4,995 | $2.59 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5263 Ferrari Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $3,300 | $1.71 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5573 Cobalto Way Unit 5573 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1921 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 109d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5573 Cobalto Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1921 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 109d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5253 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5476 Katia Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1983 | $4,300 | $2.17 | 119d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5476 Katia Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1983 | $4,300 | $2.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8010 Helena Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 116d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8010 Helena Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $4,000 | $2.57 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6160 Harmony Dr Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $6,295 | $4.04 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5554 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,375 | $1.74 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5257 Juliet Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1894 | $2,495 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5322 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1918 | $2,700 | $1.41 | 109d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6168 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $5,495 | $3.50 | 109d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Property features AI
Other
- Possession
- Possession at closing
- Multi-unit information
- 1 unit per floor6 units in the buildingSingle-story building
Finance
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAMaster HOA fee $203 quarterlyHOA fee $859.90 quarterlyCondo fee $1,317.63 quarterlyOne-time other fee $1,375Total annual recurring fees $9,524Total one-time fees $1,525Professional managementHOA maintenance covers cable, insurance, internet/WiFi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, exterior pest control, recreation facilities, security, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, and waterCommunity amenities include clubhouse, community pool, community spa/hot tub, fitness center (attended), exercise room, tennis, pickleball, bocce, racquetball, putting green, golf course (public/non-equity), restaurant, beauty salon, library, business center, hobby room, shopping, sidewalks, streetlights, underground utilities, private membership options and moreCommunity type: Gated, Golf Course (Ave Maria / Del Webb)
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 assigned parking spaceAttached 1-car garagePaved drivewayGolf cart parkingGuest parking
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Water assessment paidSewer assessment paidCable availableCentral electric power
- Home design
- Residential carriage/coach unit in a low-rise (1–3) buildingBuilt in 2023Concrete block constructionStucco exteriorTile roofRear exposure facing south
- Construction
- Concrete block constructionStucco finishTile roofBuilt in 2023
- Exterior features
- Privacy wallAutomatic sprinkler systemGated communityLake and golf course views
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen islandPantryElectric cooktopDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms plus a den
- Flooring
- Tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsMaster bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling
- Central electric heatCentral electric coolingCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Built-in cabinetsCable prewire / Cable availableCloset cabinetsFire sprinklersFrench doorsHigh-speed internet availablePantrySmoke detectorsWalk-in closetWheelchair accessZero/Corner door slidersDen (study)Screened lanai/porchDining in living areaEat-in kitchenNegotiable furnished statusFour ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry in residenceWasherDryerAuto garage door
HOA detail $793/mo · $9,516/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $315,999 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $315,999 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $315,999 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $315,999 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $315,999 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $315,999 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $315,999 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $315,999 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $315,999 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $315,999 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $315,999 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $315,999 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $315,999 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $315,999 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $315,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $315,999 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $315,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $315,999 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $315,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $315,999 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-26pricedays on market $315,999 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $325,999 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $325,999 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $325,999 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $325,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $325,999 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $325,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $325,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $325,999 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $325,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $325,999 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $325,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $325,999 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $325,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $325,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $325,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $325,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $325,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $325,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $325,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $325,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $325,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $325,999 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $325,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $325,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $325,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-25pricedays on market $325,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $335,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $335,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $335,999 Active 89 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,673 · $389/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,673 · $389/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,701
- − Property taxes
- −$4,673
- − Insurance
- −$1,580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,071
- − Management
- −$3,071
- − HOA
- −$9,516
- − Depreciation
- −$9,193
- Taxable loss
- −$10,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,499
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $7,690–$23,070 screening
This beautifully upgraded Egret Model Carriage Home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a great location. It's move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace sliding glass doors — Improves energy efficiency and view ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
D
Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Estates Elementary School
B+
FL #409/2,144
Nat'l #4,125/41,679
Middle
Corkscrew Middle School
B+
FL #109/571
Nat'l #1,406/14,009
High
Palmetto Ridge High School
D-
FL #207/667
Nat'l #6,330/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ave Maria
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ave Maria, FL
- County
- Collier County · 420,858 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,149
- Household income
- $62,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.05%
- Current HPI
- 226.9105
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $335,999 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $345,999 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,673 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…