2309 W Jackson St · Broken Arrow, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious home nested in a cul-de-sac lot in Union school district! Large combination living/dining w/ vaulted ceiling & corner stone fireplace. Granite kitchen counters. Fresh Interior/Exterior paint. New flooring. Large baths & oversized bedrooms w/ awesome walk in closets! Inside laundry w/ storage. Large backyard with dog run. Oversized driveway. And don't miss out on enjoying a relaxing fall evening from this enormous enclosed covered back patio perfect for entertaining! Come see it before it's gone!
Key facts
- Cul-de-sac lot
- 0.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $50 annual fee; Community features include gutters and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone service available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces northwest; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built with masonite, stone, wood siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered enclosed patio; Dog run; Sprinkler/irrigation system; Rain gutters; Shed(s); Full privacy fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Mature trees; Hot tub/spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range/Stove; Plumbed for ice maker; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood veneer
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Humidity control
- Interior features: Attic; Granite counters; Vaulted ceilings; High-speed internet available; Cable TV available; Wired for data; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Electric range connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Humidifier
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($478/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Broken Arrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in OK, #2,691 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Union (urban): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #160 of 270 in OK (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Peters Es (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Union 6Th-7Th Grade Ctr (math 18% / reading 17%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 2,182 students, 0% FRL); Union Hs (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #139 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 3,355 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.79%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,396
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 W Indianola St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,895 (-1%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $137 | 76 |
| 2305 W El Paso Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,023 (+6%) | 0mo | $208,000 | $103 | 73 |
| 1213 S Oak Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,815 (-5%) | 4mo | $299,990 | $165 | 66 |
| 104 S Walnut Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,789 (-6%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $145 | 65 |
| 1705 W Jackson Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (-9%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $132 | 62 |
| 1912 W Pittsburg Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (-8%) | 4mo | $217,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 2021 W Louisville St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,142 (+12%) | 4mo | $268,200 | $125 | 58 |
| 3703 W Laredo Pl | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,925 (+1%) | 2mo | $413,500 | $215 | 58 |
| 1600 W Pittsburg St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,020 (+6%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $67 | 53 |
| 2516 W Broadway St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,669 (-12%) | 2mo | $284,900 | $171 | 51 |
| 1213 S Maple Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,724 (-10%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $113 | 46 |
| 1501 S Narcissus Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-12%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $143 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-32,362
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-25,156
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74012
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 445
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,802/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$4
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $101 | +0% $40 | +5% $-21 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-39 | +0% $40 | +5% $119 | +10% $198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $94 | base $40 | +0.5pp $-16 | +1.0pp $-73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 N Fir Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2630 W Washington Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $1,975 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1008 W Quincy St Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1008 W Quincy St Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3002 W Washington Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2211 | $1,700 | $0.77 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 511 W Fort Worth St Unit 511 Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1621 | $2,650 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 507 W Fort Worth St Unit 507 Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1621 | $2,850 | $1.76 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 513 W Dallas St Unit A Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 513 W Dallas St Unit B Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2614 S Gardenia Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2397 | $1,950 | $0.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1911 W Canton Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 221 W Commercial St Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2192 | $1,895 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $4 · $48/yr
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $215,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$220,000 Active
-
2021-11-29soldstatus $205,000
-
2021-11-19soldstatus $205,000 Closed 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Spacious home nested in a cul-de-sac lot in Union school district! Large combination living/dining w/ vaulted ceiling & corner stone fireplace. Granite kitchen counters. Fresh Interior/Exterior paint. New flooring. Large baths & oversized bedrooms w/ awesome walk in closets! Inside laundry w/ storage. Large backyard with dog run. Oversized driveway. And don't miss out on enjoying a relaxing fall evening from this enormous enclosed covered back patio perfect for entertaining! Come see it before it's gone!
-
2021-10-18status Pending 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Spacious home nested in a cul-de-sac lot in Union school district! Large combination living/dining w/ vaulted ceiling & corner stone fireplace. Granite kitchen counters. Fresh Interior/Exterior paint. New flooring. Large baths & oversized bedrooms w/ awesome walk in closets! Inside laundry w/ storage. Large backyard with dog run. Oversized driveway. And don't miss out on enjoying a relaxing fall evening from this enormous enclosed covered back patio perfect for entertaining! Come see it before it's gone!
-
2021-10-13$190,000 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Spacious home nested in a cul-de-sac lot in Union school district! Large combination living/dining w/ vaulted ceiling & corner stone fireplace. Granite kitchen counters. Fresh Interior/Exterior paint. New flooring. Large baths & oversized bedrooms w/ awesome walk in closets! Inside laundry w/ storage. Large backyard with dog run. Oversized driveway. And don't miss out on enjoying a relaxing fall evening from this enormous enclosed covered back patio perfect for entertaining! Come see it before it's gone!
-
2012-06-05soldstatus $142,500
-
2012-06-01soldstatus $142,500 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fantastic home in Union Schools! Large combo living/dining has vaulted ceiling & stone fireplace. Country kitchen features granite & breakfast area; large utility room has pantry. Enjoy spring in the large backyard from covered patio. Newer roof & HVAC.
-
2012-04-24historical 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fantastic home in Union Schools! Large combo living/dining has vaulted ceiling & stone fireplace. Country kitchen features granite & breakfast area; large utility room has pantry. Enjoy spring in the large backyard from covered patio. Newer roof & HVAC.
-
2012-04-17$144,500 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fantastic home in Union Schools! Large combo living/dining has vaulted ceiling & stone fireplace. Country kitchen features granite & breakfast area; large utility room has pantry. Enjoy spring in the large backyard from covered patio. Newer roof & HVAC.
-
2012-04-17historical
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fantastic home in Union Schools! Large combo living/dining has vaulted ceiling & stone fireplace. Country kitchen features granite & breakfast area; large utility room has pantry. Enjoy spring in the large backyard from covered patio. Newer roof & HVAC.
-
2011-10-16$144,500
-
2008-12-30soldstatus $140,000
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2008-12-22soldstatus $139,900
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2008-11-24historical
-
2008-11-07$139,900
-
1991-08-15soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,802 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,802 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,802
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,917
- − Management
- −$1,917
- − HOA
- −$48
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,092
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$742
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union
- NCES district ID
- 4030600
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,744
- Composite
- 18.18/100
- National rank
- #8962
- State rank
- #160 of 270 in OK
Livability — Broken Arrow
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Broken Arrow, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 144,172
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,060
- Household income
- $81,456
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1378.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 7% Asian 5% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.42%
- Current HPI
- 214.1279
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+228.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $220,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $205,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-18 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-13 Listed $190,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
- 2012-06-01 Sold (MLS) $142,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-04-24 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-04-17 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-04-17 Listed $144,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-10-16 Listed $144,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-22 Sold (MLS) $139,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-11-24 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-11-07 Listed $139,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1991-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,802 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…