115 Price St · Brookside, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing house in Graysville with 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. An area with different interior features included both inside and outside.
Key facts
- Huge front porch
- Large backyard
- Storage building
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#465 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Brookville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 187 students, 79% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.85%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $52,194
- Equity at exit
- $46,261
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $129,066
- Equity at exit
- $76,170
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35073
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $770/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $564
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-26soldstatus $78,600
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-01-29price $90,000
-
2026-01-08price $95,000
-
2025-10-07$108,000 Active
-
2025-08-05price $100,000
-
2025-02-15price $108,000
-
2025-01-10price $120,000
-
2024-11-01price $124,000
-
2021-03-03soldstatus $106,000
-
2021-02-26soldstatus $106,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Amazing house in Graysville with 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. An area with different interior features included both inside and outside.
-
2020-12-21$106,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Amazing house in Graysville with 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. An area with different interior features included both inside and outside.
-
2020-10-27soldstatus $75,000
-
2020-09-23soldstatus $49,000
-
2020-09-16soldstatus $49,000 Sold
-
2020-08-15status Pending
-
2020-08-10$55,000 Active
-
1987-11-19soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $770 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $770 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$770
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $5,635
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,352
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brookside
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #465
- US rank
- #24004
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookside, AL
- City population
- 175
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,839
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 27% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Current HPI
- 176.8227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+214.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $78,600 Public Records
- 2026-03-11 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $108,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $108,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $120,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $124,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-26 Sold (MLS) $106,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-12-21 Listed $106,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-16 Sold (MLS) $49,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-08-15 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-08-10 Listed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1987-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $770 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…