103 Sharlotte Dr · New Boston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$101,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment or Fix-R-Upper Opportunity. 5 Bedroom, 2 1/2 Bath, 2730 SF. Great neighborhood in New Boston
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 204 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Concrete road frontage on a city street; Approximately 0.34-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Free-standing range
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Storage building
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,178 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- New Boston ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #518 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 584 students, 82% FRL); New Boston Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #540 of 1,662 statewide, top 33%, 249 students, 81% FRL); New Boston H S (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 321 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 54% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $702 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.87%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $7,589
- Equity at exit
- $15,134
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $37,831
- Equity at exit
- $8,776
Cash invested: $28,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75570
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$532
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $433 | -5% $405 | +0% $376 | +5% $347 | +10% $318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $256 | -5% $316 | +0% $376 | +5% $436 | +10% $496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $402 | base $376 | +0.5pp $350 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,375
- Closing costs
- $3,045
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2025-10-01$101,500 Active
-
2015-12-31soldstatus
-
2015-10-02soldstatus
-
1999-09-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,988 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,988 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,686
- − Property taxes
- −$2,988
- − Insurance
- −$508
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$2,953
- Taxable income
- $3,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$761
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Boston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832340
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,689
- Composite
- 30.06/100
- National rank
- #6351
- State rank
- #518 of 826 in TX
Livability — New Boston
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1178
- US rank
- #20597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Boston, TX
- City population
- 11,047
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,047
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 156.8696
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — TBOR
- 2025-10-01 Listed $101,500 TBOR
- 2015-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-09-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,988 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…