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2793 Amsdell Rd Triplex
B+ Composite 76.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

2793 Amsdell Rd · Wanakah, NY 14075
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,684 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1860 0.76 ac lot $121/sqft · 31% below area Est $473k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Updated 3 unit home
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

UPDATED 3 UNIT HOMEDETACHED 3 CAR GARAGECORNER LOTIN UNIT LAUNDRYEAT IN KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as a 3-unit multifamily; Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Operating expenses include utilities; Owner pays electricity, heat, and water for rental units; At least one unit currently rents for $700

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 3-car garage; Paved parking; Two or more parking spaces; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Two-story building; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Stone foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen (in some units); Formal dining available in one unit
  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit (three total units on site)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Varies by unit
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer provided in some units; Washer hookup; Laundry in-unit for at least one unit; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $356/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.1% in Wanakah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#508 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,307/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 824% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $184k; list at $325k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $320,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.10%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$472,850
List price
$325,000
Delta
-31.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$25,346
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$152,271
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14075

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
18.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,307 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$493 /mo · $5,922/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$904
Net cashflow
$1,069

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,953
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 70%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,390
Total (3 units) $4,307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 1553-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract 1553-char remark
  3. 2026-04-29
    listed $325,000 Active 1553-char remark
  4. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  5. 2026-03-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2026-03-24
    historical
  7. 2026-03-17
    listed $319,900 Active
  8. 2018-03-14
    soldstatus $184,000 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (439 chars)

    Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.

  9. 2018-03-05
    soldstatus $184,000
  10. 2017-12-18
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (439 chars)

    Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.

  11. 2017-11-02
    price $199,900
    Show marketing remark (439 chars)

    Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.

  12. 2017-10-10
    listed $224,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (439 chars)

    Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.

  13. 2005-03-18
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,922 · $493/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,922 · $493/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,684
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$5,922
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,135
− Management
−$4,135
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$8,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,970
After-tax cash flow
$10,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frontier Central School District
NCES district ID
3611670
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,807
Composite
47.36/100
National rank
#2291
State rank
#301 of 590 in NY

Livability — Wanakah

Score
69/100
State rank
#508
US rank
#8972

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 714,559 people
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
44,520
Household income
$83,383
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -261.10%
Current HPI
300.2852
Rent YoY
▲ 5.21%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+225.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $325,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-30 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $319,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-03-14 Sold (MLS) $184,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-18 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-11-02 Price Changed $199,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-10-10 Listed $224,900 WNYREIS
  • 2005-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,922 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…