Triplex
2793 Amsdell Rd · Wanakah, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Updated 3 unit home
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property configured as a 3-unit multifamily; Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Operating expenses include utilities; Owner pays electricity, heat, and water for rental units; At least one unit currently rents for $700
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 3-car garage; Paved parking; Two or more parking spaces; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Stone foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen (in some units); Formal dining available in one unit
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit (three total units on site)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer provided in some units; Washer hookup; Laundry in-unit for at least one unit; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $356/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.1% in Wanakah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#508 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,307/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 824% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $184k; list at $325k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.10%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $472,850
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -31.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $25,346
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $152,271
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14075
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 18.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$493 /mo · $5,922/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$904
- Net cashflow
- $1,069
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,918 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,459 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,459 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,390 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,307 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1553-char remark
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 1553-char remark
-
2026-04-29$325,000 Active 1553-char remark
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-24historical
-
2026-03-17$319,900 Active
-
2018-03-14soldstatus $184,000 Closed Sale or Rented
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.
-
2018-03-05soldstatus $184,000
-
2017-12-18status Pending Sale
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.
-
2017-11-02price $199,900
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.
-
2017-10-10$224,900 Active
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great investment opportunity-this 3 unit is almost 2700 sq. ft. which includes 2 units with 2 bedrooms each. Both units have been recently updated-large living rooms and bedrooms. 3rd unit is a 1 bedroom studio apartment. Building has updated furnace and AC unit. New windows recently installed. Property has a 2.5 car detached garage. 2 driveways, large lot-165 x 200. Owner can occupy this property or use as an investment opportunity.
-
2005-03-18soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,922 · $493/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,922 · $493/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$5,922
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,135
- − Management
- −$4,135
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $8,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,970
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frontier Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611670
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,807
- Composite
- 47.36/100
- National rank
- #2291
- State rank
- #301 of 590 in NY
Livability — Wanakah
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #508
- US rank
- #8972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,520
- Household income
- $83,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.10%
- Current HPI
- 300.2852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.21%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+225.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $325,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-30 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $319,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-03-14 Sold (MLS) $184,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-18 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-11-02 Price Changed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-10-10 Listed $224,900 WNYREIS
- 2005-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,922 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…