5029 Dowd Rd · Bastrop, LA 71220

$69,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1958 0.75 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 bedroom home on a country setting just outside of Bastrop! This beauty features ample counterspace in the kitchen, spacious living area, and plenty of windows, which allow lots of natural sunlight to enter the home. Step outside and enjoy the sites of country living from the covered front porch or even entertain from the back patio. Contact your favorite real estate agent today for your private showing!

Key facts

• 0.75 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: From 139 North to Bastrop, turn right on Dowd Road; property is on the left.
• HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Natural gas available and connected
• Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One level (entry level 1)
• Construction: Frame construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Asphalt roof; Built on a 0.75-acre lot
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: No listed kitchen appliances
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s); no central cooling listed
• Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 50/100 on livability (#425 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
• Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.56% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.48%
• DSCR: 2.04
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.80×
• Total profit: $15,521
• Equity at exit: $13,073

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.43×
• Total profit: $46,885
• Equity at exit: $10,862

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71220

• Home prices YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,074 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$362
• Tax from tax record: −$80 /mo · $961/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$226
• Net cashflow: $378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596

Max offer price $69,000

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $417	-5% $397	+0% $378	+5% $358	+10% $339
Rent	-10% $293	-5% $336	+0% $378	+5% $420	+10% $463
Rate	-1.0pp $413	-0.5pp $395	base $378	+0.5pp $360	+1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,250
• Closing costs: $2,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   remarks 440-char remark
10. 2026-06-10
    listed $69,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $961 · $80/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $961 · $80/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,891
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,865
• − Property taxes: −$961
• − Insurance: −$345
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,031
• − Management: −$1,031
• − Depreciation: −$2,007
• Taxable income: $3,650
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$876
• After-tax cash flow: $3,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Morehouse Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201110
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 19% ▼ -29.00%
• Median HH income: $30,482
• Composite: 11.46/100
• National rank: #9704
• State rank: #83 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bastrop

• Score: 50/100
• State rank: #425
• US rank: #25547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 20,426

Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 23,631 people
• By 2030: 22,114 · -6.4%
• By 2040: 19,203 · -18.7%
• By 2050: 16,698 · -29.3%
• By 2075: 11,998 · -49.2%
• By 2100: 8,622 · -63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (51%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 51% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse

• 2024 margin: R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.10%
• Current HPI: 171.3272
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-5.5% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-08 Listed $69,000 NELABOR
• 2023-10-25 Listed $132,000 NELABOR
• 2023-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
• 2023-02-10 Sold (MLS) — NELABOR
• 2022-11-30 Price Changed $124,000 NELABOR
• 2022-10-18 Listed $129,000 NELABOR
• 2014-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
• 2009-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $961 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.