🏷️ Likely Rental
1080 Jack Calhoun Dr Lot 165 · Kissimmee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.7
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bed 2 bath mobile home Family / Pet friendly park. $700.00 per month lot rent. 2 storage sheds. Brand new central air installed 4/25/2026 Will consider offers.
Key facts
- Storage sheds
- Built 1996
- Listed 145 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 3.6% in Kissimmee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in FL, #2,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Hill Elementary School (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 59% FRL); Horizon Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,295 students, 75% FRL); Liberty High School (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #554 of 667 statewide, top 84%, 1,613 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.05%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,000
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -65.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3401 Palmer Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-2%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $292 | 77 |
| 1090 Pineapple Way | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-24%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 653 Rolfe St | 0.90mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-2%) | 5mo | $345,000 | $319 | 53 |
| 1723 Hughey St | 1.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,071 (-3%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $275 | 52 |
| 2824 Osprey Cove Pl #102 | 1.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+3%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $172 | 52 |
| 1805 Verona St | 1.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+4%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $157 | 49 |
| 2 S Lavon Ave | 1.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,150 (+4%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $296 | 48 |
| 2902 Pershing St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (-20%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $147 | 45 |
| 202 Bay Meadow Dr | 1.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,237 (+12%) | 1mo | $367,000 | $297 | 38 |
| 4341 Creekside Blvd | 1.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,243 (+13%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $282 | 37 |
| 2120 W Martin St | 0.89mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,271 (+16%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $173 | 33 |
| 7 S Thacker Ave | 1.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,354 (+23%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $164 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $18,276
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $44,479
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $229,900 ($249/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 240 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -26.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34741
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 482
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $523
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $572 | -5% $548 | +0% $523 | +5% $499 | +10% $475 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $423 | -5% $473 | +0% $523 | +5% $574 | +10% $624 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $559 | -0.5pp $541 | base $523 | +0.5pp $505 | +1.0pp $487 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1058 Jack Calhoun Dr Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,275 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1006 Jack Calhoun Dr Unit 1008 Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 877 | $1,550 | $1.77 | 28d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3201 W Pershing St Unit 3223 Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,495 | $1.80 | 87d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3201 Pershing St Unit 3207 Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,450 | $1.75 | 7d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3201 Pershing St Unit 3219 Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,525 | $1.84 | 69d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 851 Jenkins St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1426 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2112 W Martin St Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,395 | $1.36 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3190 Shingle Creek Ct Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,600 | $1.64 | 94d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3126 Enclave Ct Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 854 | $1,600 | $1.87 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3112 Enclave Ct Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 854 | $1,650 | $1.93 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1818 Sunny St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,450 | $2.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 701 7th Ave Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 119d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1375 Oak Haven Dr Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $2,284 | $2.07 | 5d | 27 | 1.28mi |
| 1416 Osceola Park Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,300 | $1.67 | 119d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 103 Moss Bluff Rd Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 87d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1991 Estancia Cir Unit 16A Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 119d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1985 Estancia Cir Unit A Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,549 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1916 Pontoon Pl Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,020 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 801 Green Heron Ct Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,696 | $1.74 | 6d | 7 | 1.41mi |
| 900 Woodside Cir Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1030 | $1,678 | $1.63 | 6d | 20 | 1.45mi |
| 2838 Osprey Cove Pl #204 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2830 Osprey Cove Pl #204 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 113d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1904 Commander Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $70,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $70,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $70,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $70,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $70,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $70,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $70,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $70,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $70,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $70,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $70,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $70,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $70,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $70,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $70,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $70,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $70,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $70,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $70,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $70,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $70,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $70,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $70,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $70,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $70,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $70,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $70,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $70,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $70,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $70,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $70,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $70,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $70,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $70,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $70,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $70,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $70,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $70,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $70,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $70,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $70,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $70,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $70,000 Active 81 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,318
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home has average condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. Painting the exterior and landscaping would significantly improve its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Slight weathering
- Minor landscaping — Low grass and debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both landscape and add curb appeal — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — Fixes weathered appearance and enhances resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kissimmee
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #2841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kissimmee, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 447,624 people
- City population
- 196,187
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,716
- Household income
- $52,409
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 20% White 16% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 26% Cuban 4% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 1% Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 66% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.96%
- Current HPI
- 293.3914
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.43%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $70,000 Fizber.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…