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2968 Courtland Oaks Trl SW
D Composite 43.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$388,000

2968 Courtland Oaks Trl SW · Smyrna, GA 30060
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,183 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2003 9,975 sqft lot Est $423k · 8% under $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Near shopping
  • Near major highways

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTLARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENTCOURTLAND OAKS COMMUNITYNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DININGNEAR MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved road access; County: Cobb - GA; Directions: Best to use GPS
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Annual association fee of $250

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available (110V and 220V)
  • Home design: Three or more levels; Brick front with fiber cement (HardiPlank type) siding; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick front construction; Fiber cement (HardiPlank type) siding; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with view to family room; Cabinetry included; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features
  • Bedrooms: Four upper-level bedrooms; Oversized master bedroom; Additional bedroom features
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Decorative fireplace; Double-pane windows; No common walls; Unfinished basement; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in kitchen on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $388k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-174/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $385k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (24.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in GA, #3,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Birney Elementary School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #971 of 1,228 statewide, top 79%, 688 students, 83% FRL); Floyd Middle School (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 470 statewide, top 74%, 845 students, 80% FRL); Osborne High School (math 9% / reading 12%, grade F, #348 of 424 statewide, top 83%, 2,772 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,913/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1368% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $291,316 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$423,339
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2921 Carriage Court Ct W 0.38mi 4/2.5 3,171 (-0%) 22mo $380,000 $120 63
3065 Moser Way 0.38mi 4/2.5 3,488 (+10%) 6mo $465,000 $133 61
3090 Moser Way 0.39mi 4/2.5 2,745 (-14%) 3mo $405,000 $148 56
3053 Moser Way 0.35mi 5/2.5 (+1) 3,356 (+5%) 19mo $484,900 $144 54
117 Radford Cir SW 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 3,005 (-6%) 7mo $385,000 $128 54
68 Winward Way SE 0.44mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,509 (+10%) 4mo $490,000 $140 50
2584 Favor Rd SW 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,994 (-6%) 11mo $318,000 $106 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-68,196
Equity at exit
$57,852
10-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-78,115
Equity at exit
$33,547

Cash invested: $108,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30060

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,913 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,035
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,182/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,932
Max offer price $385,437
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $95 +0% $-15 +5% $-124 +10% $-234
Rent -10% $-245 -5% $-130 +0% $-15 +5% $101 +10% $216
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $84 base $-15 +0.5pp $-115 +1.0pp $-217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,000
Closing costs
$11,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2718 Trellis Oaks Dr SW Marietta, GA 4.0 3.0 2800 $2,600 $0.93 22d 1 0.46mi
2737 Trellis Oaks Dr SW Marietta, GA 5.0 3.0 2260 $2,879 $1.27 44d 1 0.46mi
3059 Vineyard Way SE Smyrna, GA 3.0 3.0 2162 $2,450 $1.13 44d 1 0.77mi
120 Timber Creek Ter SE Smyrna, GA 4.0 3.0 2364 $3,500 $1.48 44d 1 0.85mi
2887 Montview Dr SW Marietta, GA 4.0 2.5 2607 $3,050 $1.17 20d 1 0.89mi
2887 Montview Dr SW Marietta, GA 4.0 2.5 2607 $3,200 $1.23 44d 1 0.89mi
3390 Creek Valley Dr SE Smyrna, GA 4.0 2.0 2150 $5,500 $2.56 44d 1 1.19mi
3381 Hunters Point Rd SE Smyrna, GA 3.0 2.5 2445 $3,200 $1.31 19d 1 1.22mi
82 Vanessa Dr SE Smyrna, GA 4.0 3.0 2634 $5,500 $2.09 44d 1 1.34mi
327 Benson Manor Cir SE Smyrna, GA 4.0 3.5 2282 $3,100 $1.36 5d 1 1.35mi
3662 Rock Springs Dr SW Smyrna, GA 5.0 3.0 3406 $2,600 $0.76 44d 1 1.38mi
1020 Crest Ridge Pl SW Marietta, GA 4.0 3.0 2315 $2,590 $1.12 21d 1 1.44mi
112 Davina Dr Smyrna, GA 4.0 3.5 2717 $3,100 $1.14 19d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $388,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $388,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $388,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $388,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $388,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $388,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-05-27
    listed $388,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.

  8. 2026-05-27
    listed $388,000 New 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,182 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,570 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$2,387/yr (+$199/mo · 201.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,958
− Mortgage interest
−$21,734
− Property taxes
−$1,182
− Insurance
−$1,940
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,797
− Management
−$2,797
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$11,287
Taxable loss
−$7,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,687
After-tax cash flow
$1,513/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cobb County
NCES district ID
1301290
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$68,845
Composite
37.93/100
National rank
#4308
State rank
#25 of 174 in GA

Livability — Smyrna

Score
76/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#3621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cobb County · 777,758 people
City population
80,612
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
38,499
Household income
$67,510
Rent vs Own
51.4% rent · 48.6% own
Severe rent burden
1368.0

Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
868,385 people
By 2030
929,614 · +7.1%
By 2040
1,047,533 · +20.6%
By 2050
1,155,537 · +33.1%
By 2075
1,405,030 · +61.8%
By 2100
1,555,058 · +79.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 28% White 26% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cobb

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -440.27%
Current HPI
270.2922
Rent YoY
▲ 1.54%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $388,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $388,000 FMLS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,182 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…