2968 Courtland Oaks Trl SW · Smyrna, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$388,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.
Key facts
- Near dining
- Near shopping
- Near major highways
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Paved road access; County: Cobb - GA; Directions: Best to use GPS
- HOA & community: Homeowners association; Annual association fee of $250
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available (110V and 220V)
- Home design: Three or more levels; Brick front with fiber cement (HardiPlank type) siding; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Resale property
- Construction: Brick front construction; Fiber cement (HardiPlank type) siding; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with view to family room; Cabinetry included; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: Four upper-level bedrooms; Oversized master bedroom; Additional bedroom features
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Attic fan
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Decorative fireplace; Double-pane windows; No common walls; Unfinished basement; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in kitchen on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $388k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-174/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $385k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $291k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in GA, #3,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Birney Elementary School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #971 of 1,228 statewide, top 79%, 688 students, 83% FRL); Floyd Middle School (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 470 statewide, top 74%, 845 students, 80% FRL); Osborne High School (math 9% / reading 12%, grade F, #348 of 424 statewide, top 83%, 2,772 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,913/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1368% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.16%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $423,339
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2921 Carriage Court Ct W | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 3,171 (-0%) | 22mo | $380,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 3065 Moser Way | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 3,488 (+10%) | 6mo | $465,000 | $133 | 61 |
| 3090 Moser Way | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 | 2,745 (-14%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $148 | 56 |
| 3053 Moser Way | 0.35mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 3,356 (+5%) | 19mo | $484,900 | $144 | 54 |
| 117 Radford Cir SW | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,005 (-6%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 68 Winward Way SE | 0.44mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,509 (+10%) | 4mo | $490,000 | $140 | 50 |
| 2584 Favor Rd SW | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,994 (-6%) | 11mo | $318,000 | $106 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-68,196
- Equity at exit
- $57,852
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-78,115
- Equity at exit
- $33,547
Cash invested: $108,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30060
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,913 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,035
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $95 | +0% $-15 | +5% $-124 | +10% $-234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-245 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-15 | +5% $101 | +10% $216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $84 | base $-15 | +0.5pp $-115 | +1.0pp $-217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,000
- Closing costs
- $11,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2718 Trellis Oaks Dr SW Marietta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $2,600 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2737 Trellis Oaks Dr SW Marietta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $2,879 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3059 Vineyard Way SE Smyrna, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2162 | $2,450 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 120 Timber Creek Ter SE Smyrna, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2364 | $3,500 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2887 Montview Dr SW Marietta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2607 | $3,050 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2887 Montview Dr SW Marietta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2607 | $3,200 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3390 Creek Valley Dr SE Smyrna, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2150 | $5,500 | $2.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3381 Hunters Point Rd SE Smyrna, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2445 | $3,200 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 82 Vanessa Dr SE Smyrna, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2634 | $5,500 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 327 Benson Manor Cir SE Smyrna, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2282 | $3,100 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3662 Rock Springs Dr SW Smyrna, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3406 | $2,600 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1020 Crest Ridge Pl SW Marietta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2315 | $2,590 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 112 Davina Dr Smyrna, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2717 | $3,100 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07status $388,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $388,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $388,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $388,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $388,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $388,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$388,000 Active
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.
-
2026-05-27$388,000 New 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in the desirable Courtland Oaks community in Marietta! Offering approximately 3,183 square feet, this home features an open layout, attached garage, and a large unfinished basement with endless potential for future expansion, storage, or customization. Conveniently located near Smyrna, Truist Park, The Battery, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, rental portfolios, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,182 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,570 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,387/yr (+$199/mo · 201.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,734
- − Property taxes
- −$1,182
- − Insurance
- −$1,940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,797
- − Management
- −$2,797
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$11,287
- Taxable loss
- −$7,031
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,687
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cobb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301290
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,845
- Composite
- 37.93/100
- National rank
- #4308
- State rank
- #25 of 174 in GA
Livability — Smyrna
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #3621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cobb County · 777,758 people
- City population
- 80,612
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,499
- Household income
- $67,510
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1368.0
Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 868,385 people
- By 2030
- 929,614 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,047,533 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 1,155,537 · +33.1%
- By 2075
- 1,405,030 · +61.8%
- By 2100
- 1,555,058 · +79.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 28% White 26% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cobb
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -440.27%
- Current HPI
- 270.2922
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.54%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $388,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $388,000 FMLS
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,182 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…