5-Plex
2817 W 20th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,186,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
5 Family All Brick Building, Back, Side & Front Yard!!! . .. . Coney Island's Luna Park, Famous Nathan's & The Beach just minutes away!!! . .. . Full Basement with a back door as well as an interior door, Tenant occupied Bldg . .. .no leases but collect rent automatically as soon as you buy! There are 6 electric and 6 Gas meters for cooking . .Each of the 5 Apartments have their own meters. The 6 Electric meter is for hall lights & Basement, The 6 Gas Meter supplies Heat & Hot water for the apartments. .. Kitchen and bathrooms have been updated . .. The 1st Fl Rear Apt bathroom and kitchen both 2022.. .. The 1st Fl front Apt - Kitchen 2024, Bath 2010.. .. The roof is
Key facts
- All brick building
- Full basement
- Flat tar roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 5-unit multifamily property (five leased units)
- Financial info: Rent income reported: $85,800; Current unit rents range from $1,400 to $1,650; Financing options noted: bank mortgage or cash; Utility expense reported
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking
- Utilities: 220V electric; Gas hot water; Gas heating; Heat delivered via hot water
- Home design: Attached residential building; Flat roof; Poured concrete foundation; Zoned R5
- Construction: Brick and masonry construction; Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 total units: mix of 1‑bedroom and 2‑bedroom units (individual unit counts below)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 5 full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Gas heating fuel; 220V electric service
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Tile floors; Full basement with a separate entrance; More than five AC units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5 × 9-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.19M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $566/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $1.19M).
- Recommended offer: $1.04M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $14,171/mo this rent would consume 198% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 8053% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $127k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $119k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $332k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$204k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.04M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.77%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $858,199
- Equity at exit
- $1,068,893
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.39×
- Total profit
- $2,455,362
- Equity at exit
- $2,305,109
Cash invested: $332,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11221
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 34.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $14,171 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,222
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,220 /mo · $14,640/yr
- Insurance
- −$494
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,976
- Net cashflow
- $2,832
Break-even live
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 9 | 5 | $14,170 |
| #1 | 9 | 5 | $2,834 |
| #2 | 9 | 5 | $2,834 |
| #3 | 9 | 5 | $2,834 |
| #4 | 9 | 5 | $2,834 |
| #5 | 9 | 5 | $2,834 |
| Total (5 units) | $14,171 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $296,625
- Closing costs
- $35,595
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,186,500 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,186,500 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $1,186,500 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,200,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,200,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,200,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $1,200,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,394,999 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $1,394,999 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,397,499 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $1,397,499 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $1,399,999
-
2026-05-15price $1,402,500
-
2026-05-08price $1,405,000
-
2026-05-04price $1,407,500
-
2026-04-30price $1,410,000
-
2026-04-24price $1,422,500
-
2026-04-16price $1,425,000
-
2026-04-10price $1,472,500
-
2026-03-30price $1,475,000
-
2026-03-11price $1,499,000
-
2026-03-09price $1,544,999
-
2026-03-05price $1,549,999
-
2026-03-02price $1,563,000
-
2026-02-25price $1,564,000
-
2026-02-20price $1,565,000
-
2026-02-16price $1,566,000
-
2026-02-09price $1,568,000
-
2026-02-06price $1,569,000
-
2026-01-30price $1,570,000
-
2026-01-23price $1,572,000
-
2026-01-12price $1,575,000
-
2026-01-05price $1,594,999
-
2026-01-02price $1,595,999
-
2025-12-29price $1,596,999
-
2025-12-26price $1,599,999
-
2025-12-18price $1,625,000
-
2025-12-16price $1,825,000
-
2025-12-08price $1,847,988
-
2025-12-02price $1,848,088
-
2025-11-29price $1,848,188
-
2025-11-25price $1,848,288
-
2025-11-21price $1,848,388
-
2025-11-18price $1,848,488
-
2025-11-14price $1,848,588
-
2025-11-10price $1,848,688
-
2025-11-07price $1,848,888
-
2025-11-03price $1,899,500
-
2025-10-30price $1,899,600
-
2025-10-27price $1,899,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,640 · $1,220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,346 · $1,445/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,706/yr (+$225/mo · 18.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $170,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,462
- − Property taxes
- −$14,640
- − Insurance
- −$11,051
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,604
- − Management
- −$13,604
- − Depreciation
- −$34,516
- Taxable income
- $16,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,882
- After-tax cash flow
- $30,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 91,588
- Household income
- $85,736
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8053.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 32% White 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.95%
- Current HPI
- 597.7817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-26.3% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $1,399,999 BNYMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $1,402,500 BNYMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $1,405,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $1,407,500 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $1,410,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $1,422,500 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $1,425,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $1,472,500 BNYMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $1,475,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $1,499,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $1,544,999 BNYMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $1,549,999 BNYMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $1,563,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $1,564,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $1,565,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $1,566,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $1,568,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $1,569,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $1,570,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $1,572,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $1,575,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $1,594,999 BNYMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $1,595,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $1,596,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $1,599,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $1,625,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $1,825,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $1,847,988 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $1,848,088 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $1,848,188 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $1,848,288 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $1,848,388 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $1,848,488 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $1,848,588 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $1,848,688 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $1,848,888 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $1,899,500 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $1,899,600 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $1,899,700 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $1,899,800 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $1,899,900 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-04 Listed $1,900,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $14,640 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…