🏷️ Likely Rental
1944 E Washington Ave · Madison, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$598,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Fully leased downtown 3 unit with ample parking. Building includes two 2 bedroom apartments and one studio. There is enough dedicated parking for each apartment + a detached 2 car garage (leased to a local contractor). Units 1 and 3 have been recently renovated & unit 2 is a long term tenant with a giant 2 bedroom apartment + loft. Published rents include any utility fees or pet fees. On site coin operated laundry & landlord currently includes all utilities in rent. In place annual income is $60,960. Seller's preferred closing date is on or before 6/17/2026.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1903
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Three-unit building (Unit sizes: ~1,200 sq ft, ~1,100 sq ft, ~450 sq ft)
- Financial info: Property improvement value listed (public record); Seller notes: tenant personal property excluded
Exterior
- Parking: 1 outside parking space
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Multi-family property; 3+ story building (3-4 stories)
- Construction: Masonite/pressboard construction
- Exterior features: Masonite/pressboard exterior; Lot approximately 0.13 acres; Zoned TR-V1
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances included (seller-owned)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: (bedrooms not specified)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom; Unit 3: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Electric cooling; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Full basement; Seller-owned on-site appliances, HVAC, water heaters, and water softeners included
- Laundry & utility: Water softener(s) included; Water heater(s) included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $598k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-47/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $573k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $516k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $516k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.4% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in WI, #819 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
- Madison Metropolitan School District (urban): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #193 of 342 in WI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Emerson Elementary (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #257 of 1,041 statewide, top 30%, 351 students, 57% FRL); East High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #123 of 483 statewide, top 28%, 1,649 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,519 units permitted in Dane County in 2024 (3,978 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,163/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2064% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dane County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $415k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.01%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $750,326
- List price
- $598,000
- Delta
- -20.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-115,273
- Equity at exit
- $89,164
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-148,954
- Equity at exit
- $51,704
Cash invested: $167,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53704
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 29.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,163 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,136
- Tax from tax record
- −$835 /mo · $10,022/yr
- Insurance
- −$249
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,084
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | — | $5,163 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $1,721 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $1,721 |
| #3 | 1 | — | $1,721 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,163 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,500
- Closing costs
- $17,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1625 Lane St Madison, WI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1401 | $4,944 | $3.53 | 14d | 139 | 0.50mi |
| 1024 Sherman Ave Madison, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,995 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 576-char remark
-
2026-04-29$598,000 Active 576-char remark
-
2021-10-14soldstatus $415,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,022 · $835/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,543 · $879/mo
- Expected delta
- +$520/yr (+$43/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,497
- − Property taxes
- −$10,022
- − Insurance
- −$2,990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,956
- − Management
- −$4,956
- − Depreciation
- −$17,396
- Taxable loss
- −$11,863
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,847
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison Metropolitan School District
- NCES district ID
- 5508520
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,654
- Composite
- 32.56/100
- National rank
- #5686
- State rank
- #193 of 342 in WI
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #819
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, WI
- County
- Dane County · 506,461 people
- City population
- 301,931
- Metro
- Madison, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,730
- Household income
- $74,034
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2064.0
Population outlook (Dane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 610,707 people
- By 2030
- 654,875 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 740,480 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 826,188 · +35.3%
- By 2075
- 1,040,574 · +70.4%
- By 2100
- 1,168,084 · +91.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 13% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dane
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 75.1% · R 23.4% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.7pp toward D · 2008: 47.0pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.6 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+43.6 2008: D+47.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -440.26%
- Current HPI
- 293.4723
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Madison, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+44.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — SCWMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $598,000 SCWMLS
- 2021-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $10,022 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…