3533 Redbud Flower Trl · Venus, TX 76084

$449,900

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,635 sqft · Land · 82 Days on market

Built 2025 8,581 sqft lot $171/sqft · at area comps Est $431k · at est. $115/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +8.7/10.0
• Cash flow +6.0/30.0
• ARV discount +5.6/15.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +0.5/10.0
• DSCR +0.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

Key facts

• Open concept kitchen
• Dual vanities
• Covered patio

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN
• GARDEN TUB
• TILE SURROUND WALK IN SHOWER
• DUAL VANITIES
• COVERED PATIO
• GENEROUSLY SIZED BACKYARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $450k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-862 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (33.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (45.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $248k (45.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Midlothian ISD (suburban): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #94 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $36k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
• Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $247,592 (45.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.55% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.99%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.21%
• DSCR: 0.63
• GRM: 15.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $431,374
• List price: $449,900
• Delta: 4.29%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.87×
• Total profit: $109,441
• Equity at exit: $321,237

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.82×
• Total profit: $355,137
• Equity at exit: $618,980

Cash invested: $125,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76084

• Home prices YoY: 2.1%
• Rents YoY: 2.4%
• Active inventory: 426
• Price-to-rent: 15.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,476 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,359
• Tax from tax record: −$156 /mo · $1,876/yr
• Insurance: −$187
• HOA: −$115
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$520
• Net cashflow: $-862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,567

Max offer price $297,599

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $112,475
• Closing costs: $13,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $115 · $1,380/yr
• Likely covers: gaspoolgym

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-05-19
   historical Active Option Contract 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

2. 2026-05-07
   price $449,900 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

3. 2026-04-15
   price $459,900 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

4. 2026-04-01
   price $465,000 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

5. 2026-03-20
   price $468,000 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

6. 2026-03-05
   listed $470,000 Active 2076-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2076 chars)

   From the moment you step inside, this home invites you to slow down, settle in, & gather with the people you love ~ where space, style, & everyday comfort come together in a beautifully designed home that lives as well as it looks. Cozy weeknight dinners, birthday candles glowing a little brighter, friends lingering longer than planned ~ THIS is where memories naturally unfold. Designed with both function & flow in mind, the layout offers the perfect separation of spaces. The downstairs provides flexibility for visitors, home office, or workout room, & other bedrooms thoughtfully tucked upstairs. Bonus game room upstairs? The perfect play space or movie lounge. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen is a standout. Caramel cabinetry, gas cooktop, prep space, & stunning quartz countertops create a warm yet elevated feel. Coffee nook just off the kitchen quickly becomes a daily favorite spot. Entertaining here feels effortless. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat, complete with a garden tub, tile surround walk-in shower, & dual vanities. Step outside to the covered patio overlooking a generously sized backyard, a rare & meaningful find! Life in Goodland is something truly special. The neighborhood is pedestrian friendly & feels tucked away, offering a sense of privacy & peace. With Goodland Parkway now open, enjoy convenient access & quick connections to Mansfield, DAL, & FTW. The community is built around connection & lifestyle. Spend sunny afternoons at The Hangout enjoying the resort-style pool, fitness center, fishing pond, playground, splash pad, dog park, pavilion with grills, & 15+ miles of scenic trails. “The Retreat” under construction = MORE amenities! A future Town Center will bring shopping & dining closer to home, & plans for onsite elementary school zoned to highly rated Midlo ISD add long-term value. *FHA Loan Assumption Opportunity 4.75% OR Interest Rate Buydown* Best part? It’s brand new ~ without the wait! Is this your perfect match?

7. 2025-12-01
   soldstatus Closed 1568-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

   MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

8. 2025-10-09
   status Pending 1568-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

   MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

9. 2025-10-02
   price $459,990 1568-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

   MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

10. 2025-08-30
    price $469,990 1568-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

    MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

11. 2025-08-25
    price $470,170 1568-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

    MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

12. 2025-08-25
    listed $475,115 Active 1568-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1568 chars)

    MLS# 21041828 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes - Ready Now! ~ HistoryMaker’s Suns Out Savings Event... Lock in a 4.99% FHA-VA rate plus up to $10K toward closing costs! The Sequoia at 3533 Redbud Flower delivers space, style, and comfort in a beautifully designed two-story layout. With 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and an upstairs game room, this home offers plenty of room to gather and unwind. The open-concept kitchen is a chef’s dream, showcasing caramel cabinetry, built-in appliances with a gas cooktop, and upgraded 4cm quartz countertops. A walk-in pantry and generous counter space make cooking and entertaining effortless. The primary suite is a true retreat with separate garden tub, walk-in shower with tile surround, dual vanities, and elegant finishes throughout. A second bedroom downstairs offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or workout space, while two additional bedrooms and a game room upstairs provide room for everyone. Designer touches are found throughout, including matte black fixtures, upgraded luxury plank flooring in all main living areas, tile-surround tubs and showers. Step outside to the covered patio or extend it for even more outdoor living. Located in Goodland at Prairie Ridge, you’ll enjoy a master-planned community with lakes, trails, parks, and amenities like The Hangout, plus the upcoming Retreat featuring a clubhouse, fitness center, and resort-style pool. A future Town Center with shopping and dining is on the way—all just south of Mansfield with quick access to Dallas and Fort Worth.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,876 · $156/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,233 · $686/mo
• Expected delta: +$6,357/yr (+$530/mo · 338.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,711
• − Mortgage interest: −$25,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,876
• − Insurance: −$2,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,377
• − Management: −$2,377
• − HOA: −$1,380
• − Depreciation: −$13,088
• Taxable loss: −$18,838
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,521
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Midlothian ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830600
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $85,068
• Composite: 48.22/100
• National rank: #2165
• State rank: #94 of 826 in TX

Livability — Venus

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #356
• US rank: #7724

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Johnson County · 147,987 people
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 14,097
• Household income: $102,115
• Rent vs Own: 12.2% rent · 87.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 70.0

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 194,556 people
• By 2030: 209,679 · +7.8%
• By 2040: 238,837 · +22.8%
• By 2050: 265,451 · +36.4%
• By 2075: 326,571 · +67.9%
• By 2100: 362,156 · +86.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 7.32%
• Current HPI: 355.74
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.39%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.3% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2026-05-07 Price Changed $449,900 NTREIS
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $459,900 NTREIS
• 2026-04-01 Price Changed $465,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $468,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-05 Listed $470,000 NTREIS
• 2025-12-01 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
• 2025-10-09 Pending — NTREIS
• 2025-10-02 Price Changed $459,990 NTREIS
• 2025-08-30 Price Changed $469,990 NTREIS
• 2025-08-25 Price Changed $470,170 NTREIS
• 2025-08-25 Listed $475,115 NTREIS

Property tax history

+19.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,876 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.