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4015 Overture Cir #312
D- Composite 37.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,000

4015 Overture Cir #312 · Bradenton, FL 34209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,277 sqft · Condo · 150 Days on market
Built 2007 Good condition Garage $226/sqft · 13% below area Est $331k · 13% under $529/mo HOA · 21% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Virtually Staged. 3BR/2BA condo in West Bradenton near Gulf beaches. Corner unit with 1-car garage, Flood Zone X, screened lanai, lease immediately. Located in Palma Sola Trace in West Bradenton near Anna Maria Island, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner-unit condominium offers 1,277 square feet of living space, an attached one-car garage, a screened lanai, and immediate leasing eligibility with no ownership waiting period, subject to association leasing requirements. Built in 2007 and located in Flood Zone X, this low-maintenance home provides convenient access to Gulf beaches, Robinson Preserve, local marinas, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Walk in closet

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANAMPLE CABINETRYEXTENDED COUNTER SPACEBREAKFAST AREAWALK IN CLOSETMAINTAINED GROUNDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-508 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (25.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sea Breeze Elementary School (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 499 students, 74% FRL); W. D. Sugg Middle School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #462 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 1,010 students, 72% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 644 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,450 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.54%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$331,232
List price
$289,000
Delta
-12.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7126 28th Avenue Dr W #2250 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,238 (-3%) 1mo $220,000 $178 69
7500 40th Ave W #203 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,146 (-10%) 0mo $99,000 $86 65
3509 64th St W 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (+2%) 1mo $380,000 $292 64
4802 W 51st St #812 1.36mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+1%) 1mo $209,900 $163 63
2823 72nd Street Ct W #2151 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,179 (-8%) 0mo $237,500 $201 60
2645 73rd Ct W #123 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (+8%) 1mo $260,000 $188 52
6601 13th Ave Dr W 1.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (-6%) 1mo $350,000 $293 48
4169 66th Street Cir W Unit H 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,044 (-18%) 1mo $222,000 $213 41
5107 86th Street Ct W 1.34mi 3/2.0 1,490 (+17%) 0mo $509,000 $342 40
9215 Kingston Rd 1.41mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+18%) 1mo $375,000 $248 39
6204 Heritage Ln 0.90mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (+13%) 0mo $252,000 $175 38
3880 Ironwood Ln Unit 508E 1.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,008 (-21%) 0mo $133,000 $132 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.9%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-86,325
Equity at exit
$43,091
10-year hold
IRR
-73.7%
Equity multiple
-0.78×
Total profit
$-144,308
Equity at exit
$24,987

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
3 active · 3 under contract
Median asking
$225,000 ($174/sqft)
Median days on market
5 d
This list price
100% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+48.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34209

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
644
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax est. 1.5%
$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$529
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$536
Net cashflow
$-508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,198
Max offer price $215,450
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-309 -5% $-408 +0% $-508 +5% $-608 +10% $-708
Rent -10% $-710 -5% $-609 +0% $-508 +5% $-407 +10% $-306
Rate -1.0pp $-363 -0.5pp $-435 base $-508 +0.5pp $-583 +1.0pp $-659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7242 Hamilton Rd Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,800 $1.84 98d 1 0.02mi
7244 Hamilton Rd Unit 7244 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,000 $1.45 71d 1 0.02mi
4072 Overture Cir #462 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,200 $1.69 9d 1 0.03mi
4122 Overture Cir #533 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,900 $2.10 119d 1 0.03mi
7231 Hamilton Rd Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1277 $2,000 $1.57 9d 1 0.03mi
7212 Hamilton Rd #7212 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,300 $1.67 65d 1 0.08mi
4241 Overture Cir Unit 447 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1627 $3,000 $1.84 119d 1 0.08mi
7202 Hamilton Rd Unit 7202 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1277 $2,250 $1.76 111d 1 0.08mi
4005 Overture Cir Unit 4005 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,700 $1.96 119d 1 0.09mi
4196 Overture Cir Unit 4196 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1277 $2,300 $1.80 99d 1 0.14mi
4037 Overture Cir Unit 4037 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,195 $1.59 119d 1 0.14mi
7333 Skybird Rd Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1277 $3,500 $2.74 119d 1 0.18mi
4063 Overture Cir Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1277 $2,400 $1.88 119d 1 0.18mi
4085 Overture Cir #4085 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,800 $2.03 78d 1 0.22mi
7610 34th Ave W #102 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1657 $2,600 $1.57 119d 1 0.33mi
7610 34th Ave W Unit 203 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1857 $3,000 $1.62 119d 1 0.33mi
4005 78th St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 99d 1 0.34mi
7812 40th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,745 $1.59 63d 1 0.37mi
6602 38th Avenue Cir W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,800 $1.56 119d 1 0.37mi
4108 78th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,695 $1.70 9d 1 0.38mi
3450 77th St W #303 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1857 $5,400 $2.91 119d 1 0.40mi
6709 35th Ave W Unit 1346494P Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1227 $4,527 $3.69 111d 1 0.40mi
7840 34th Ave W #102 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1650 $2,800 $1.70 119d 1 0.42mi
7840 34th Ave W #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 119d 1 0.42mi
7740 34th Ave W #203 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1854 $3,500 $1.89 119d 1 0.43mi
4121 79th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1032 $1,550 $1.50 7d 1 0.44mi
4501 71st St W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,705 $2.01 0d 6 0.48mi
3418 79th Street Cir W #302 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1657 $2,949 $1.78 111d 1 0.49mi
6419 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1410 $2,430 $1.72 9d 1 0.50mi
4407 68th St W Unit C Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 2d 1 0.50mi
6503 35th Ave W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1412 $2,131 $1.51 9d 1 0.51mi
7930 34th Ave W #303 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1854 $4,000 $2.16 111d 1 0.52mi
7930 34th Ave W #102 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1657 $6,000 $3.62 9d 1 0.52mi
7930 34th Ave W #102 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1657 $6,000 $3.62 119d 1 0.52mi
3426 79th Street Cir W #203 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1857 $5,100 $2.75 119d 1 0.52mi
6711 45th Ave W Unit A Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,695 $1.54 82d 1 0.53mi
6711 45th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,695 $1.54 65d 1 0.53mi
4209 66th Street Cir W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,800 $2.68 9d 1 0.54mi
4132 66th Street Cir W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,900 $2.78 9d 1 0.54mi
4161 66th Street Cir W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,700 $1.63 88d 1 0.54mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
CDD presentHomestead status indicatedLease restrictions apply
Financial info
Total monthly fees reported as $529.66 (total annual $6,355.96)Condo fees listed as $1,163 (term: quarterly)
HOA & community
Has HOA; association approval requiredQuarterly association fees (one listed at $425.99)Monthly condo fee reported as $388 (fees billed quarterly)Association covers cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, structure maintenance, and grounds maintenanceCommunity amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, playground, pool, sidewalks, community mailbox, deed restrictions; buyer approval requiredPets allowed: cats and dogs

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage (1 space)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity available
Home design
Residential condominiumTwo-story buildingMulti/split levelsFaces east
Construction
Block and concrete constructionShingle roofBlock foundationBuilding name: PALMA SOLA TRACE
Exterior features
Sliding doorsPaved road accessIrrigation equipment

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
Ceramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Open floorplanWalk-in closets
Laundry & utility
Laundry closet

HOA detail $529/mo · $6,348/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $289,000 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $289,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $289,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $289,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $289,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $289,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $289,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $289,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $289,000 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $289,000 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $289,000 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 126 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $289,000 Active 125 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $289,000 Active 124 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $289,000 Active 123 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $289,000 Active 122 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $289,000 Active 121 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $289,000 Active 120 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $289,000 Active 119 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $289,000 Active 118 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $289,000 Active 117 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $289,000 Active 116 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $289,000 Active 115 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $289,000 Active 114 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 113 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 112 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 111 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 110 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $289,000 Active 109 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 108 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $289,000 Active 107 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $289,000 Active 106 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $289,000 Active 105 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 104 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 103 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $289,000 Active 102 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $289,000 Active 101 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $289,000 Active 100 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $289,000 Active 99 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $289,000 Active 98 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 95 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $289,000 Active 93 DOM
  48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $289,000 Active 92 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $289,000 Active 88 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $289,000 Active 87 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,652
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$4,335
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,452
− Management
−$2,452
− HOA
−$6,348
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$10,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,634
After-tax cash flow
$-3,465/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,385–$19,155 screening

This well-maintained, 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo in Palma Sola Trace is ready for a fresh coat of paint and new carpet to enhance its curb appeal and interior comfort.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathtub and sink — Used appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Deep clean kitchen countertops — Clean countertops improve functionality and appearance

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sea Breeze Elementary School D- FL #1,247/2,144 Nat'l #15,746/41,679 Middle W. D. Sugg Middle School F FL #462/571 Nat'l #8,646/14,009 High Bayshore High School F FL #546/667 Nat'l #13,899/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 81/100

Livability — Bradenton

Score
81/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#1528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bradenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 447,342 people
City population
227,091
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,224
Household income
$81,728
Rent vs Own
21.8% rent · 78.2% own
Severe rent burden
17% of renters

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-25 Price Changed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $294,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $298,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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