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614 Ash Ave NE
D- Composite 36.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

614 Ash Ave NE · Wadena, MN 56482
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1977 0.41 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Priced below tax value!! Rental or business opportunity located directly on Highway 10 in Wadena. Property features a 2 bed 1 bath home that has stable rental income as well as a split-level commercial building that could easily be a duplex with multiple bedrooms on each level. Nearly 10k vehicles pass by this building every day! Bring your ideas to this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Highway location
  • Multiple bedrooms
  • 0.41 acre lot

Tags

MULTIPLE BEDROOMSHIGHWAY LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-763/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (9.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.3% in Wadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#433 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Wadena-Deer Creek School District (town): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #235 of 301 in MN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Wadena County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wadena County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $99,981 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-22,616
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-24,698
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56482

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,436/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$-64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,080
Max offer price $103,670
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2025-10-29
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-06
    listed $114,900 Active
  3. 2025-08-08
    historical
  4. 2025-06-20
    price $114,900
  5. 2025-02-07
    status Active
  6. 2025-02-07
    price $119,900
  7. 2025-02-07
    historical
  8. 2024-08-06
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,436 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,436 · $203/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,998
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$2,436
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$2,711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$651
After-tax cash flow
$-112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wadena-Deer Creek School District
NCES district ID
2700022
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$38,917
Composite
32.56/100
National rank
#5683
State rank
#235 of 301 in MN

Livability — Wadena

Score
67/100
State rank
#433
US rank
#10325

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wadena, MN
Population (ZIP)
7,494

Population outlook (Wadena County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,856 people
By 2030
13,689 · -1.2%
By 2040
13,382 · -3.4%
By 2050
13,062 · -5.7%
By 2075
12,185 · -12.1%
By 2100
10,297 · -25.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wadena

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.6% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+45.7 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.45%
Current HPI
223.9404
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-29 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-20 Price Changed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-07 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-07 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-06 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,436 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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