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13268 Shady Ln
A- Composite 81.59
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

13268 Shady Ln · Chesterland, OH 44026
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1952 1.38 ac lot $214/sqft · 21% below area Est $235k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy One Floor living in this cozy Ranch set on 1.38 Acres! This charming home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Foyer, Living Room, Bonus/Office, Eat-in Kitchen & 1st floor Laundry Room with newer vinyl flooring. Newer vinyl siding, windows & Roof. 1-car attached garage plus carport. Large yard with shed/outbuilding for additional storage. Newer septic system 2017. Great location. .. .Close to the center of Chester Twp, schools, shopping and just minutes to freeway access! West Geauga Schools.

Key facts

  • Newer vinyl siding
  • Newer vinyl flooring
  • Newer windows

Tags

ONE FLOOR LIVINGEAT-IN KITCHEN1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMNEWER VINYL FLOORINGNEWER VINYL SIDINGNEWER WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $991 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.8% in Chesterland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#58 in OH, #835 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • West Geauga Local (rural): math 83% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #28 of 656 in OH (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Robert C Lindsey Elementary School (math 92% / reading 88%, grade A+, #19 of 1,584 statewide, top 1%, 461 students, 10% FRL); West Geauga Middle School (math 80% / reading 82%, grade A+, #38 of 654 statewide, top 6%, 491 students, 10% FRL); West Geauga High School (math 67% / reading 92%, grade A-, #35 of 781 statewide, top 6%, 693 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 220 units permitted in Geauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Geauga County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $185k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.96%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,890
List price
$184,900
Delta
-21.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$33,158
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$110,235
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44026

Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,847 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,540/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$598
Net cashflow
$991

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,593
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,095 -5% $1,043 +0% $991 +5% $938 +10% $886
Rent -10% $766 -5% $878 +0% $991 +5% $1,103 +10% $1,215
Rate -1.0pp $1,084 -0.5pp $1,038 base $991 +0.5pp $943 +1.0pp $894

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,900 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,900 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,900 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,900 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-05-04
    price $184,900 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enjoy One Floor living in this cozy Ranch set on 1.38 Acres! This charming home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Foyer, Living Room, Bonus/Office, Eat-in Kitchen & 1st floor Laundry Room with newer vinyl flooring. Newer vinyl siding, windows & Roof. 1-car attached garage plus carport. Large yard with shed/outbuilding for additional storage. Newer septic system 2017. Great location. .. .Close to the center of Chester Twp, schools, shopping and just minutes to freeway access! West Geauga Schools.

  6. 2026-04-10
    listed $189,900 Active 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enjoy One Floor living in this cozy Ranch set on 1.38 Acres! This charming home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Foyer, Living Room, Bonus/Office, Eat-in Kitchen & 1st floor Laundry Room with newer vinyl flooring. Newer vinyl siding, windows & Roof. 1-car attached garage plus carport. Large yard with shed/outbuilding for additional storage. Newer septic system 2017. Great location. .. .Close to the center of Chester Twp, schools, shopping and just minutes to freeway access! West Geauga Schools.

  7. 2017-05-17
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,540 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,712 · $226/mo
Expected delta
+$172/yr (+$14/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,161
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,540
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,733
− Management
−$2,733
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$9,494
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,279
After-tax cash flow
$9,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Geauga Local
NCES district ID
3904722
Math proficiency
83% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
86% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$76,759
Composite
73.94/100
National rank
#166
State rank
#28 of 656 in OH

Livability — Chesterland

Score
84/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#835

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chesterland, OH
County
Geauga · 90,510 people
City population
10,722
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,722
Household income
$106,740
Rent vs Own
10.3% rent · 89.7% own
Severe rent burden
11.9

Population outlook (Geauga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,919 people
By 2030
94,804 · -0.1%
By 2040
92,641 · -2.4%
By 2050
88,198 · -7.1%
By 2075
79,080 · -16.7%
By 2100
60,856 · -35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Korean 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geauga

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.61%
Current HPI
200.0173
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $184,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $189,900 MLSNOW
  • 2017-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,540 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…