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485 Onyx Way 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 65.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.7

$54,900

485 Onyx Way · Jensen Beach, FL 34957
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · Manufactured · 189 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1981 Good condition $47/sqft · 26% below area Est $74k · 26% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the relaxed Florida lifestyle in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinelake Village, just minutes from the beaches, shopping, dining, and the charm of downtown Jensen Beach. This charming double-wide home features 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms, updated flooring, large master bedroom, large walk-in closet, remodeled master bathroom, and a spacious enclosed gathering room at the front of the house perfect for entertaining and/or relaxing. Roof was sealed in 2025, and new AC Unit was installed in 2018. Lot rent is $805 per month and includes cable, trash removal, recycling, and all the amenities of the clubhouse. HOA membership is optional and is only $10 per year, per household. Washer and Dryer do not convey!

Key facts

  • New ac unit
  • Sealed roof
  • Updated flooring

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGREMODELED MASTER BATHROOMNEW AC UNITSEALED ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $54,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$74,046) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $970 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jensen Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#432 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Jensen Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 558 students, 45% FRL); Stuart Middle School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Jensen Beach High School (math 53% / reading 71%, grade B-, #98 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 1,584 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 653 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.50%
Cash-on-cash
75.74%
DSCR
4.37
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,046
List price
$54,900
Delta
-25.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
434 NE Topaz Ter 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-1%) 8mo $50,000 $43 87
261 NE Cameo Way 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,096 (-6%) 1mo $60,000 $55 85
309 NE Pinelake Village Blvd 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,100 (-5%) 2mo $95,000 $86 85
151 Sharyon Ln 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-1%) 6mo $89,000 $77 78
4 N North Warner Dr 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-1%) 3mo $62,500 $54 76
300 NE Opal Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,080 (-7%) 11mo $79,000 $73 76
309 NE Pinelake Blvd 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,100 (-5%) 14mo $89,000 $81 76
75 S Warner Dr 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+3%) 15mo $49,900 $42 63
301 NE Coastal Dr 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-10%) 5mo $315,000 $303 44
609 Garden Vw 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,016 (-12%) 17mo $89,000 $88 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.4%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$49,551
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
76.6%
Equity multiple
8.13×
Total profit
$109,532
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
23 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
19.7 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$219,000 ($182/sqft)
Median days on market
98 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-64.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34957

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
653
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$970

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,008 -5% $989 +0% $970 +5% $951 +10% $932
Rent -10% $835 -5% $903 +0% $970 +5% $1,038 +10% $1,105
Rate -1.0pp $998 -0.5pp $984 base $970 +0.5pp $956 +1.0pp $941

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1622 NE Maureen Ct Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,800 $2.31 63d 1 0.27mi
1775 NE Dixie Hwy Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 15d 1 0.32mi
1585 NE Beacon Dr #1103 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 961 $1,495 $1.56 72d 1 0.32mi
1617 NE Nautical Pl Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 961 $1,850 $1.93 63d 1 0.38mi
1431 NE 14th Ct Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 826 $1,850 $2.24 15d 1 0.46mi
1411 NE 14th Ct #13 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,000 $2.73 72d 1 0.46mi
1600 NE Dixie Hwy Unit 10-203 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $2,300 $2.15 72d 1 0.50mi
1500 NE 13th Ter Unit G6 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1272 $1,700 $1.34 15d 1 0.56mi
1550 NE 13th Ter Unit B16 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1272 $1,800 $1.42 72d 1 0.56mi
1999 NE Collins Cir Unit 3-80 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1067 $1,775 $1.66 72d 1 0.58mi
1971 NE Collins Cir #20 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1037 $1,850 $1.78 15d 1 0.60mi
2013 NE Collins Cir #50 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 903 $1,800 $1.99 63d 1 0.60mi
2459 NE Hickory Ave Jensen Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 736 $1,700 $2.31 72d 1 0.62mi
2563 NE Palm Ave Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,400 $2.53 72d 1 0.62mi
2132 NE Pelican Ter Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 992 $2,300 $2.32 15d 1 0.70mi
1903 NE Media Ave Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1324 $2,400 $1.81 72d 1 0.70mi
2506 NE Heron's Walk Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $4,800 $4.80 15d 1 0.71mi
2646 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 72d 1 0.75mi
2632 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $4,800 $4.80 72d 1 0.75mi
2680 NE Indian River Dr Unit 9 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,900 $2.38 15d 1 0.75mi
2831 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,800 $2.24 15d 1 0.92mi
687 NE Maranta Terrado Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1452 $2,995 $2.06 15d 1 0.94mi
297 NE Coastal DR #297 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 72d 1 0.97mi
2952 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $3,000 $2.84 72d 1 1.03mi
1097 NE Kubin Ave Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 952 $2,450 $2.57 72d 1 1.07mi
598 NE Maranta Terrado Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $3,000 $2.04 15d 1 1.08mi
590 NE Lima Vias Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1295 $3,300 $2.55 72d 1 1.09mi
3111 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3111 Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,995 $1.84 15d 1 1.11mi
3111 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,995 $1.84 63d 1 1.11mi
3121 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3121 Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1085 $2,095 $1.93 72d 1 1.12mi
3123 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3123 Jensen Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,195 $2.00 72d 1 1.13mi
1001 NE Baker Rd Stuart, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $2,344 $2.37 15d 35 1.15mi
3450 NE Linda Dr Jensen Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1240 $2,500 $2.02 72d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 189 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $54,900 Active 187 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 186 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 182 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $54,900 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $54,900 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $54,900 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $54,900 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $54,900 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $54,900 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 169 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $54,900 Active 165 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 164 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $54,900 Active 163 DOM
  20. 2026-07-11
    days on market $54,900 Active 162 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $54,900 Active 161 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 160 DOM
  23. 2026-07-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 159 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 158 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $54,900 Active 157 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 156 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 155 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 154 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 153 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 152 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 151 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $54,900 Active 150 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $54,900 Active 149 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $54,900 Active 148 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $54,900 Active 147 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $54,900 Active 145 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $54,900 Active 143 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $54,900 Active 142 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 139 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 138 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 137 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 136 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,900 Active 134 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 133 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $54,900 Active 131 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 130 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 129 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 128 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 124 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 123 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,500
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,640
− Management
−$1,640
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$11,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,748
After-tax cash flow
$8,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,800–$17,400 screening

This charming double-wide home in Pinelake Village is in good condition with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both paint interior walls — updates the interior and improves resale value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 61/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Jensen Beach Elementary School B+ FL #450/2,144 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Stuart Middle School B- FL #180/571 Nat'l #2,482/14,009 High Jensen Beach High School B- FL #98/667 Nat'l #3,220/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin
NCES district ID
1201290
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,482
Composite
45.1/100
National rank
#2690
State rank
#24 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Jensen Beach

Score
70/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#7719

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jensen Beach, FL
County
Martin County · 172,383 people
City population
23,462
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,462
Household income
$70,403
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
172,383 people
By 2030
180,192 · +4.5%
By 2040
194,114 · +12.6%
By 2050
204,992 · +18.9%
By 2075
229,641 · +33.2%
By 2100
232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-15.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $54,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $59,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $65,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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