🏷️ Likely Rental
485 Onyx Way · Jensen Beach, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the relaxed Florida lifestyle in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinelake Village, just minutes from the beaches, shopping, dining, and the charm of downtown Jensen Beach. This charming double-wide home features 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms, updated flooring, large master bedroom, large walk-in closet, remodeled master bathroom, and a spacious enclosed gathering room at the front of the house perfect for entertaining and/or relaxing. Roof was sealed in 2025, and new AC Unit was installed in 2018. Lot rent is $805 per month and includes cable, trash removal, recycling, and all the amenities of the clubhouse. HOA membership is optional and is only $10 per year, per household. Washer and Dryer do not convey!
Key facts
- New ac unit
- Sealed roof
- Updated flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.0% vs local median 4.1% in Jensen Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#432 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 536 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 109.71%
- DSCR
- 5.88
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,723
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -25.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434 NE Topaz Ter | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-1%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $43 | 89 |
| 309 NE Pinelake Village Blvd | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $86 | 86 |
| 151 Sharyon Ln | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-1%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $77 | 79 |
| 4 N North Warner Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-1%) | 1mo | $62,500 | $54 | 78 |
| 300 NE Opal Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-7%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $73 | 77 |
| 75 S Warner Dr | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 14mo | $49,900 | $42 | 64 |
| 301 NE Coastal Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $303 | 45 |
| 609 Garden Vw | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,016 (-12%) | 16mo | $89,000 | $88 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $76,192
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.68×
- Total profit
- $164,175
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34957
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 536
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,259 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $1,405
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1622 NE Maureen Ct Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,800 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1585 NE Beacon Dr #1103 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1617 NE Nautical Pl Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1411 NE 14th Ct #13 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1600 NE Dixie Hwy Unit 10-203 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1550 NE 13th Ter Unit B16 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1999 NE Collins Cir Unit 3-80 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2013 NE Collins Cir #50 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1971 NE Collins Cir #20 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2459 NE Hickory Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,700 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2563 NE Palm Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1903 NE Media Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,400 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2506 NE Heron's Walk Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2646 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2632 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $4,800 | $4.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2680 NE Indian River Dr Unit 9 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,100 | $2.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2831 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 297 NE Coastal DR #297 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2952 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $3,000 | $2.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1097 NE Kubin Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $2,450 | $2.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 590 NE Lima Vias Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $3,300 | $2.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3111 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,995 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3121 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3121 Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $2,095 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3123 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3123 Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1001 NE Baker Rd Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,280 | $2.40 | 14d | 27 | 1.15mi |
| 3450 NE Linda Dr Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $54,900 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Welcome to the relaxed Florida lifestyle in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinelake Village, just minutes from the beaches, shopping, dining, and the charm of downtown Jensen Beach. This charming double-wide home features 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms, updated flooring, large master bedroom, large walk-in closet, remodeled master bathroom, and a spacious enclosed gathering room at the front of the house perfect for entertaining and/or relaxing. Roof was sealed in 2025, and new AC Unit was installed in 2018. Lot rent is $805 per month and includes cable, trash removal, recycling, and all the amenities of the clubhouse. HOA membership is optional and is only $10 per year, per household. Washer and Dryer do not convey!
-
2026-02-16price $59,900 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Welcome to the relaxed Florida lifestyle in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinelake Village, just minutes from the beaches, shopping, dining, and the charm of downtown Jensen Beach. This charming double-wide home features 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms, updated flooring, large master bedroom, large walk-in closet, remodeled master bathroom, and a spacious enclosed gathering room at the front of the house perfect for entertaining and/or relaxing. Roof was sealed in 2025, and new AC Unit was installed in 2018. Lot rent is $805 per month and includes cable, trash removal, recycling, and all the amenities of the clubhouse. HOA membership is optional and is only $10 per year, per household. Washer and Dryer do not convey!
-
2026-01-28$65,000 Active 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
Welcome to the relaxed Florida lifestyle in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinelake Village, just minutes from the beaches, shopping, dining, and the charm of downtown Jensen Beach. This charming double-wide home features 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms, updated flooring, large master bedroom, large walk-in closet, remodeled master bathroom, and a spacious enclosed gathering room at the front of the house perfect for entertaining and/or relaxing. Roof was sealed in 2025, and new AC Unit was installed in 2018. Lot rent is $805 per month and includes cable, trash removal, recycling, and all the amenities of the clubhouse. HOA membership is optional and is only $10 per year, per household. Washer and Dryer do not convey!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,169
- − Management
- −$2,169
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $17,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,784/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming double-wide home in Pinelake Village is in good condition with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both paint interior walls — updates the interior and improves resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both paint interior walls — updates the interior and improves resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jensen Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #7719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jensen Beach, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 23,462
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,462
- Household income
- $70,403
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.66%
- Current HPI
- 340.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-15.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $54,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $59,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $65,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…