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292 2nd Ave NW
D- Composite 36.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$139,900

292 2nd Ave NW · Vernon, AL 35592
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1958 0.43 ac lot $108/sqft · 49% above area Est $108k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 Beds/2 Baths home on 0.43-acre lot with room to spread inside and out. Features extra room perfect for at home office, storm shelter, storage building out back and a 2-car carport. Located within close distance from Restaurants and shopping centers. SOLD AS IS. Schedule your showing today. Hablo Espanol.

Key facts

  • 2-car carport
  • Storage building
  • Extra room

Tags

EXTRA ROOMAT HOME OFFICESTORM SHELTERSTORAGE BUILDING2-CAR CARPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,500
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s); City lot; level, rectangular; Asphalt road frontage on a public, city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Storage; Soaking tub; Aluminum window frames; Shutters
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($193/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (24.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#156 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lamar County (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #57 of 129 in AL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Vernon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 278 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $453 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lamar County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $140k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,848 (24.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.49%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,375
List price
$139,900
Delta
29.09%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,002
Equity at exit
$42,900
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$20,951
Equity at exit
$53,423

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35592

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $338/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,038
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $56 +0% $16 +5% $-24 +10% $-63
Rent -10% $-68 -5% $-26 +0% $16 +5% $58 +10% $100
Rate -1.0pp $87 -0.5pp $52 base $16 +0.5pp $-20 +1.0pp $-57

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $139,900 Active 307-char remark
  18. 2018-08-02
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$338 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$574 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$235/yr (+$20/mo · 69.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,702
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$338
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$546
After-tax cash flow
$739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar County
NCES district ID
0101950
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,856
Composite
27.58/100
National rank
#6937
State rank
#57 of 129 in AL

Livability — Vernon

Score
64/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#14258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vernon, AL
Population (ZIP)
4,573

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,818 people
By 2030
12,235 · -4.5%
By 2040
11,110 · -13.3%
By 2050
10,081 · -21.4%
By 2075
8,013 · -37.5%
By 2100
6,222 · -51.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

2024 margin
Solid R (+76.0) · D 11.7% · R 87.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -76.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+76.0 2020: R+72.2 2016: R+69.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+53.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.32%
Current HPI
147.5982
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $139,900 SAARMLS
  • 2018-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $338 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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