292 2nd Ave NW · Vernon, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 Beds/2 Baths home on 0.43-acre lot with room to spread inside and out. Features extra room perfect for at home office, storm shelter, storage building out back and a 2-car carport. Located within close distance from Restaurants and shopping centers. SOLD AS IS. Schedule your showing today. Hablo Espanol.
Key facts
- 2-car carport
- Storage building
- Extra room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,500
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s); City lot; level, rectangular; Asphalt road frontage on a public, city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Storage; Soaking tub; Aluminum window frames; Shutters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($193/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (24.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#156 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lamar County (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #57 of 129 in AL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Vernon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 278 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $453 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Lamar County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $140k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,375
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- 29.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,002
- Equity at exit
- $42,900
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $20,951
- Equity at exit
- $53,423
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35592
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $338/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $95 | -5% $56 | +0% $16 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-68 | -5% $-26 | +0% $16 | +5% $58 | +10% $100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $52 | base $16 | +0.5pp $-20 | +1.0pp $-57 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$139,900 Active 307-char remark
-
2018-08-02soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $338 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 69.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$338
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,016
- − Management
- −$1,016
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$2,275
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar County
- NCES district ID
- 0101950
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,856
- Composite
- 27.58/100
- National rank
- #6937
- State rank
- #57 of 129 in AL
Livability — Vernon
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #14258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vernon, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,573
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,818 people
- By 2030
- 12,235 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 11,110 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 10,081 · -21.4%
- By 2075
- 8,013 · -37.5%
- By 2100
- 6,222 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.0) · D 11.7% · R 87.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -76.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.0 2020: R+72.2 2016: R+69.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+53.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.32%
- Current HPI
- 147.5982
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+210.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $139,900 SAARMLS
- 2018-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $338 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…