CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
6206 Welsummer Way
D- Composite 38.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$222,999

6206 Welsummer Way · Greenville, TX 75402
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,461 sqft · Other · 9 Days on market
Built 2025 5,654 sqft lot $153/sqft · 6% below area Est $237k · 6% under $108/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living, ideal for modern lifestyles. Two bedrooms are located near the front of the home surrounding a full bathroom, adjacent to a spacious and flexible open-concept layout shared between the kitchen, living and dining areas. A luxurious owner's suite provides a serene retreat at the back of the home with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • 5,654 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Loan types accepted: Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA, VA; Second mortgage: none indicated
  • HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual association fee; Association covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Covered parking for 2
  • Utilities: MUD water; MUD sewer; Municipal utility district; Concrete streets/curbs
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Smart home features
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Concrete and curbs; MUD water and sewer; Less than 0.5 acre lot; Subdivision: Jackson's Run

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level (total 3 bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, ENERGY STAR qualified equipment); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $223k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-621/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lamar El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 554 students, 59% FRL); Greenville Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 727 students, 76% FRL); Greenville H S (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,480 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $172,850 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,533
List price
$222,999
Delta
-5.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-44,545
Equity at exit
$33,250
10-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-62,810
Equity at exit
$19,281

Cash invested: $62,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75402

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,728 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,169
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $563/yr
Insurance
$93
HOA
$108
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,794
Max offer price $213,863
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $75 -5% $11 +0% $-52 +5% $-115 +10% $-178
Rent -10% $-188 -5% $-120 +0% $-52 +5% $17 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $61 -0.5pp $5 base $-52 +0.5pp $-110 +1.0pp $-168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,750
Closing costs
$6,690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
50021 Del Ra Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 1.5 1452 $1,700 $1.17 26d 1 0.10mi
1412 Waverley Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1333 $1,650 $1.24 45d 1 0.20mi
1401 Brindle Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,750 $1.36 45d 1 0.25mi
1417 Brindle Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1187 $1,175 $0.99 1d 1 0.28mi
6529 Graceland Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1702 $1,875 $1.10 26d 1 0.43mi
1426 Thibodaux Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,795 $1.08 1d 1 0.46mi
328 Jamie Way Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,150 $1.17 20d 1 0.64mi
512 Oakridge Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 3.0 1695 $1,700 $1.00 45d 1 0.64mi
1214 Interstate Highway 30 Greenville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 0d 1 0.70mi
1910 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 694 $1,203 $1.73 0d 6 0.73mi
6820 Topaz Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.5 1819 $900 $0.49 45d 1 0.79mi
6915 Justin Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,925 $1.37 24d 1 0.93mi
6320 Stonewall St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,725 $1.85 0d 1 0.97mi
6002 Stonewall St Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 637 $1,400 $2.20 0d 1 0.98mi
1012 Eva Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1582 $1,895 $1.20 26d 1 1.02mi
1017 Eva Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1582 $1,450 $0.92 45d 1 1.06mi
708 Tippit Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,895 $1.18 1d 1 1.08mi
906 Tippit Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,900 $1.18 4d 1 1.08mi
2509 Garden Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,450 $1.13 1d 1 1.12mi
802 Ransom Way Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,900 $1.18 4d 1 1.13mi
804 Ransom Way Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,900 $1.18 20d 1 1.13mi
3000 Webb Ave Unit 402 Greenville, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,425 $1.10 26d 1 1.16mi
3000 Webb Ave Greenville, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,395 $1.07 1d 1 1.18mi
708 Hardaway Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,900 $1.18 12d 1 1.19mi
1001 Hardaway Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,850 $1.16 4d 1 1.22mi
1005 Hardaway Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,950 $1.21 4d 1 1.22mi
1905 Center Point Ln Greenville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,436 $1.55 0d 16 1.25mi
703 Moseley Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,890 $1.18 45d 1 1.27mi
706 Greyson Ln Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,895 $1.18 45d 1 1.29mi
4205 Stuart St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,790 $1.46 9d 1 1.30mi
6504 Flamingo Rd Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,425 $1.20 26d 1 1.32mi
4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,675 $1.29 9d 1 1.32mi
4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,675 $1.29 13d 1 1.32mi
4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,675 $1.29 26d 1 1.32mi
5501 Sayle St Greenville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 854 $2,007 $2.35 0d 7 1.32mi
4105 Stuart St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1558 $1,675 $1.08 19d 1 1.34mi
4214 Johnson St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,250 $1.14 26d 1 1.35mi
710 Teakwood Dr Greenville, TX 4.0 2.0 1862 $2,095 $1.13 26d 1 1.38mi
4320 Wesley St Unit 13 Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 45d 1 1.39mi
1110 Jones St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,414 $1.30 1d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$108 · $1,296/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $222,999 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $222,999 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $222,999 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $222,999 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $222,999 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 518-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $222,999 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $222,999 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $222,999 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $222,999 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $222,999 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $222,999 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $222,999 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $222,999 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $222,999 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-10
    price $222,999 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living, ideal for modern lifestyles. Two bedrooms are located near the front of the home surrounding a full bathroom, adjacent to a spacious and flexible open-concept layout shared between the kitchen, living and dining areas. A luxurious owner's suite provides a serene retreat at the back of the home with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $225,999 Active 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living, ideal for modern lifestyles. Two bedrooms are located near the front of the home surrounding a full bathroom, adjacent to a spacious and flexible open-concept layout shared between the kitchen, living and dining areas. A luxurious owner's suite provides a serene retreat at the back of the home with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$563 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,081 · $340/mo
Expected delta
+$3,518/yr (+$293/mo · 625.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,742
− Mortgage interest
−$12,491
− Property taxes
−$563
− Insurance
−$1,115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,659
− Management
−$1,659
− HOA
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$6,487
Taxable loss
−$4,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,087
After-tax cash flow
$466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville ISD
NCES district ID
4821720
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,374
Composite
19.56/100
National rank
#8759
State rank
#743 of 826 in TX

Livability — Greenville

Score
77/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2719

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, TX
County
Hunt County · 71,969 people
City population
42,767
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,098
Household income
$77,877
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
361.0

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -141.52%
Current HPI
232.0505
Rent YoY
▼ -1.00%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $222,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $222,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $225,999 Zillow

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $563 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…