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202 E 19th St
C Composite 57.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$198,000

202 E 19th St · Benton, KY 42025
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
0.34 ac lot $131/sqft · 23% above area Est $161k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently Remodeled Home in Benton. 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Bath includes new windows, HVAC, light fixtures, paved driveway, new concrete on carport, and fenced back yard. List price includes seller paid new roof.

Key facts

  • Functional carport
  • New refrigerator
  • Fresh landscaping

Tags

NEWLY SEALED DRIVEWAYFRESH LANDSCAPINGFUNCTIONAL CARPORTNEW ROOFBRAND-NEW SHOWERNEW REFRIGERATOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fenced yard; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Cooktop
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fenced yard; Outbuilding
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Marshall Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 289 students, 64% FRL); South Marshall Middle (math 21% / reading 39%, grade F, #146 of 217 statewide, top 69%, 462 students, 55% FRL); Marshall County High School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #151 of 254 statewide, top 61%, 1,256 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,030 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.97%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,315
List price
$198,000
Delta
22.74%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 E 19th St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,508 (0%) 1mo $190,000 $126 98
209 E 20th St 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,356 (-10%) 5mo $165,000 $122 75
1712 Sycamore St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,464 (-3%) 10mo $210,000 $143 71
1805 Park Ave 0.03mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,678 (+11%) 8mo $146,000 $87 66
1318 Shelby Mccallum Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,496 (-1%) 4mo $180,000 $120 66
1315 Shelby Mccallum Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,458 (-3%) 1mo $221,000 $152 66
108 E 22nd St 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,324 (-12%) 3mo $75,000 $57 63
812 14th St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,472 (-2%) 11mo $175,000 $119 62
608 E 12th St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,496 (-1%) 12mo $187,475 $125 50
1305 Birch St 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,608 (+7%) 6mo $126,000 $78 48
704 E 14th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,286 (-15%) 4mo $156,000 $121 48
1289 Bethel Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-15%) 2mo $225,000 $175 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$131,214
Equity at exit
$178,374
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
7.63×
Total profit
$367,801
Equity at exit
$384,670

Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42025

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,038
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $854/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,509
Max offer price $198,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $480 -5% $424 +0% $368 +5% $312 +10% $256
Rent -10% $212 -5% $290 +0% $368 +5% $446 +10% $524
Rate -1.0pp $468 -0.5pp $419 base $368 +0.5pp $317 +1.0pp $265

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,500
Closing costs
$5,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Highland Dr Benton, KY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,975 $1.80 45d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    listed $198,000 Active 876-char remark
  2. 2021-12-02
    soldstatus $144,900 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Recently Remodeled Home in Benton. 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Bath includes new windows, HVAC, light fixtures, paved driveway, new concrete on carport, and fenced back yard. List price includes seller paid new roof.

  3. 2021-08-02
    listed $144,900 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Recently Remodeled Home in Benton. 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Bath includes new windows, HVAC, light fixtures, paved driveway, new concrete on carport, and fenced back yard. List price includes seller paid new roof.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$854 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,703 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$849/yr (+$71/mo · 99.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,700
− Mortgage interest
−$11,091
− Property taxes
−$854
− Insurance
−$990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$5,760
Taxable income
$1,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$291
After-tax cash flow
$4,128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
2103810
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$45,324
Composite
28.62/100
National rank
#6710
State rank
#73 of 165 in KY

Livability — Benton

Score
69/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#8655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benton, KY
Population (ZIP)
19,238

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,647 people
By 2030
30,276 · -1.2%
By 2040
29,232 · -4.6%
By 2050
27,940 · -8.8%
By 2075
25,289 · -17.5%
By 2100
21,188 · -30.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.11%
Current HPI
288.75
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $190,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Pending WKRMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $198,000 WKRMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Sold (MLS) $144,900 WKRMLS
  • 2021-08-02 Listed $144,900 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $854 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…