5200 Entrar · Palmdale, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Live Like Royalty * Enjoy this beautiful Boulders II mobile home, located on a large corner lot, built in 2000 & featuring nearly 1600 sf of living space, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & a possible 4th bedroom/ office off the main suite. This home is a true delight with an airy open floor plan, ample natural light, upgraded modern laminate flooring, & newer neutral carpet in the second and third bedrooms. You'll enjoy a family room with fireplace for cozy evenings at home, as well as a spacious kitchen with center island & double panty for all your storage needs. The separate laundry room makes chores simple with extra refrigerator space perfect for holiday gatherings & weekend entertaining. The main suite offers ample closet space, is open to the retreat/ possible 4th bedroom & features an ensuite bath with dual sinks, make-up vanity area & large shower. All this & a fenced, landscaped yard, large cement slab, & shed, in a park with gated entry & security, with pool, playground & clubhouse!
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 2002
- Listed 58 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease required (park-managed) at $663 monthly; Community features include street lighting; Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with number limits
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Parking available; Located in the Boulders Ranch 2 park
- Security: Gated with attendant; Resident manager on site
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (Oak Manor model); Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 28 ft wide by 60 ft long; Faces entry via city streets with paved access
- Construction: Concrete block and pier jack foundation with quake bracing; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Community pool; Shed; Chain-link fencing; Front yard; Block skirt
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms are on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level layout; Side entry; Entry at ground level; Gated community with attendant; On-site resident manager; All bedrooms on the ground floor
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $716 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $209k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Palmdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#861 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Westside Union Elementary (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #565 of 1,400 in CA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 388 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 32 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.27%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $8,822
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $58,568
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93551
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 388
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$585
- Net cashflow
- $716
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $864 | -5% $790 | +0% $716 | +5% $642 | +10% $567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $496 | -5% $606 | +0% $716 | +5% $826 | +10% $936 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $824 | -0.5pp $771 | base $716 | +0.5pp $660 | +1.0pp $604 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2023-03-14soldstatus $195,000 Closed 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* Live Like Royalty * Enjoy this beautiful Boulders II mobile home, located on a large corner lot, built in 2000 & featuring nearly 1600 sf of living space, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & a possible 4th bedroom/ office off the main suite. This home is a true delight with an airy open floor plan, ample natural light, upgraded modern laminate flooring, & newer neutral carpet in the second and third bedrooms. You'll enjoy a family room with fireplace for cozy evenings at home, as well as a spacious kitchen with center island & double panty for all your storage needs. The separate laundry room makes chores simple with extra refrigerator space perfect for holiday gatherings & weekend entertaining. The main suite offers ample closet space, is open to the retreat/ possible 4th bedroom & features an ensuite bath with dual sinks, make-up vanity area & large shower. All this & a fenced, landscaped yard, large cement slab, & shed, in a park with gated entry & security, with pool, playground & clubhouse!
-
2023-02-14historical 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* Live Like Royalty * Enjoy this beautiful Boulders II mobile home, located on a large corner lot, built in 2000 & featuring nearly 1600 sf of living space, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & a possible 4th bedroom/ office off the main suite. This home is a true delight with an airy open floor plan, ample natural light, upgraded modern laminate flooring, & newer neutral carpet in the second and third bedrooms. You'll enjoy a family room with fireplace for cozy evenings at home, as well as a spacious kitchen with center island & double panty for all your storage needs. The separate laundry room makes chores simple with extra refrigerator space perfect for holiday gatherings & weekend entertaining. The main suite offers ample closet space, is open to the retreat/ possible 4th bedroom & features an ensuite bath with dual sinks, make-up vanity area & large shower. All this & a fenced, landscaped yard, large cement slab, & shed, in a park with gated entry & security, with pool, playground & clubhouse!
-
2023-02-10$195,000 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* Live Like Royalty * Enjoy this beautiful Boulders II mobile home, located on a large corner lot, built in 2000 & featuring nearly 1600 sf of living space, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & a possible 4th bedroom/ office off the main suite. This home is a true delight with an airy open floor plan, ample natural light, upgraded modern laminate flooring, & newer neutral carpet in the second and third bedrooms. You'll enjoy a family room with fireplace for cozy evenings at home, as well as a spacious kitchen with center island & double panty for all your storage needs. The separate laundry room makes chores simple with extra refrigerator space perfect for holiday gatherings & weekend entertaining. The main suite offers ample closet space, is open to the retreat/ possible 4th bedroom & features an ensuite bath with dual sinks, make-up vanity area & large shower. All this & a fenced, landscaped yard, large cement slab, & shed, in a park with gated entry & security, with pool, playground & clubhouse!
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2022-02-18soldstatus $123,000 Closed Sale 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
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2022-01-21status Pending Sale 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
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2022-01-11historical Active Under Contract 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
-
2021-12-23status Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
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2021-12-17historical Active Under Contract 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
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2021-12-15$149,990 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Calling all investor or buyers willing to put in the work to customize your home. This Investor special home located in the highly desirable gated community know as Boulders At The Ranch 2. This park is beautiful and offers a club house, pool, and security guards. Hurry and bring us an offer this will sell fast.
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2021-07-25historical
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2021-07-23soldstatus $130,000 Closed
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2021-04-18historical
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2021-04-16$130,000
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2019-12-11soldstatus $117,000
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2019-09-05$117,000
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2019-07-29historical
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2019-07-19$119,900 Active
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2017-05-18historical
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2017-05-17soldstatus $99,999 Closed
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2017-04-05status Pending
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2017-03-22$99,999 Active
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2015-04-03historical
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2015-04-02historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-28historical
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2015-03-27historical
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2015-03-27historical
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2015-03-27historical
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2015-03-27historical
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2015-03-27historical
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2015-03-27historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,676
- − Management
- −$2,676
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $5,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,319
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westside Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0642120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,763
- Composite
- 41.01/100
- National rank
- #7473
- State rank
- #565 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Palmdale
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #861
- US rank
- #23501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmdale, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 177,644
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,360
- Household income
- $119,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1168.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% White 33% Two or more races 17% Black 10% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.22%
- Current HPI
- 327.1791
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.29%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+225.0% since first listed76 events — show timeline
- 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $195,000 TAAR
- 2023-02-14 Delisted — TAAR
- 2023-02-10 Listed $195,000 TAAR
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $123,000 CRMLS
- 2022-01-21 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-01-11 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-12-23 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2021-12-17 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-12-15 Listed $149,990 CRMLS
- 2021-07-25 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) $130,000 AVMLS
- 2021-04-18 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2021-04-16 Listed $130,000 AVMLS
- 2019-12-11 Sold (MLS) $117,000 TAAR
- 2019-09-05 Listed $117,000 TAAR
- 2019-07-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-07-19 Listed $119,900 CRMLS
- 2017-05-18 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2017-05-17 Sold (MLS) $99,999 AVMLS
- 2017-04-05 Pending — AVMLS
- 2017-03-22 Listed $99,999 AVMLS
- 2015-04-03 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-04-02 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-28 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-27 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-17 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2014-10-01 Listed $79,900 AVMLS
- 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $36,500 AVMLS
- 2014-04-14 Listed $39,900 AVMLS
- 2013-08-28 Sold (MLS) $17,000 AVMLS
- 2013-03-27 Listed $25,000 AVMLS
- 2012-11-26 Listed $40,000 AVMLS
- 2011-11-29 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2011-10-24 Listed $41,900 AVMLS
- 2011-07-29 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2011-05-25 Listed $45,000 AVMLS
- 2010-12-28 Listed $139,900 AVMLS
- 2010-11-12 Listed $45,000 AVMLS
- 2010-09-09 Listed $149,900 AVMLS
- 2010-06-18 Listed $88,800 AVMLS
- 2010-05-11 Listed $50,000 AVMLS
- 2009-12-15 Listed $88,800 AVMLS
- 2009-09-11 Listed $88,800 AVMLS
- 2009-02-20 Listed $87,000 AVMLS
- 2009-01-16 Listed $39,900 AVMLS
- 2009-01-06 Listed $108,000 AVMLS
- 2008-08-23 Listed $129,000 AVMLS
- 2008-05-06 Listed $58,000 AVMLS
- 2008-02-22 Listed $139,000 AVMLS
- 2008-01-25 Listed $74,900 AVMLS
- 2007-12-26 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2007-12-17 Listed $80,000 AVMLS
- 2007-06-05 Listed $79,000 AVMLS
- 2006-11-22 Listed $140,000 AVMLS
- 2004-11-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2004-07-09 Listed $93,900 AVMLS
- 2004-06-02 Listed $60,000 AVMLS
- 2004-03-11 Listing Removed — AVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…