2511 Orange St · Amarillo, TX 79107

$117,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,052 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market

Built 1958

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at this home with a huge backyard and large basement!! This home is a great value for any large family or someone just looking for a great buy. Home has 2 bedrooms upstairs and 3 in the basement. Within walking distance to local school. There is a lot of updating from the past. Downstairs bathroom needs to be finished out. This home should be a very good value for your buyer. Please show and sale!!!

Key facts

• Garage
• Built 1958
• Listed 26 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Exterior features: Chain link fence; Composition roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: Range; Dishwasher; Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
• Recommended offer: $115k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Hamlet El (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,207 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 295 students, 91% FRL); Mann Middle (math 36% / reading 29%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 458 students, 92% FRL); Palo Duro H S (math 39% / reading 33%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,923 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 58% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Amarillo ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,685/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1019% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $74k; list at $117k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $115,245 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.47%
• DSCR: 1.82
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.40×
• Total profit: $13,192
• Equity at exit: $17,445

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.62×
• Total profit: $52,989
• Equity at exit: $10,116

Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79107

• Home prices YoY: -20.9%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,685 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$614
• Tax from tax record: −$165 /mo · $1,978/yr
• Insurance: −$49
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$354
• Net cashflow: $504

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,047

Max offer price $117,000

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,250
• Closing costs: $3,510
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2012 Ron Dr Amarillo, TX	3.0	1.5	1463	$1,795	$1.23	21d	1	0.97mi
4417 Brown Ave Amarillo, TX	4.0	2.0	2775	$2,395	$0.86	21d	1	1.08mi

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $117,000 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $117,000 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $117,000 Active 24 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $117,000 Active 23 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $117,000 Active 21 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $117,000 Active 20 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $117,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $117,000 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $117,000 Active 16 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $117,000 Active 15 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $117,000 Active 11 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,000 Active 10 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,000 Active 9 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,000 Active 8 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $117,000 Active 7 DOM
16. 2026-05-23
    listed $117,000 Active
17. 2025-11-13
    historical $1,450
18. 2025-11-07
    listed $1,450
19. 2025-01-30
    historical $1,450
20. 2024-12-05
    listed $1,450
21. 2022-08-26
    price $1,350
22. 2018-07-19
    soldstatus 419-char remark

    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Come take a look at this home with a huge backyard and large basement!! This home is a great value for any large family or someone just looking for a great buy. Home has 2 bedrooms upstairs and 3 in the basement. Within walking distance to local school. There is a lot of updating from the past. Downstairs bathroom needs to be finished out. This home should be a very good value for your buyer. Please show and sale!!!

23. 2018-06-14
    listed $59,400 419-char remark

    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Come take a look at this home with a huge backyard and large basement!! This home is a great value for any large family or someone just looking for a great buy. Home has 2 bedrooms upstairs and 3 in the basement. Within walking distance to local school. There is a lot of updating from the past. Downstairs bathroom needs to be finished out. This home should be a very good value for your buyer. Please show and sale!!!

24. 2017-11-21
    soldstatus $73,800
25. 2008-07-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,978 · $165/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,141 · $178/mo
• Expected delta: +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 8.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,224
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,554
• − Property taxes: −$1,978
• − Insurance: −$585
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,618
• − Management: −$1,618
• − Depreciation: −$3,404
• Taxable income: $4,467
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,072
• After-tax cash flow: $4,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Amarillo ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808130
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,478
• Composite: 35.96/100
• National rank: #4798
• State rank: #336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #624
• US rank: #11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Amarillo, TX
• County: Potter County · 72,216 people
• City population: 185,802
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• Population (ZIP): 36,662
• Household income: $40,671
• Rent vs Own: 44.0% rent · 56.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1019.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 121,296 people
• By 2030: 120,883 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 119,668 · -1.3%
• By 2050: 117,788 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 110,250 · -9.1%
• By 2100: 92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 41%
• Common ancestry: Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.01%
• Current HPI: 215.7976
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+58.5% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-23 Listed $117,000 AARMLS
• 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
• 2025-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,450 APPFOLIO
• 2025-01-30 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
• 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,450 APPFOLIO
• 2022-08-26 Price Changed $1,350 RENT.
• 2018-07-19 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
• 2018-06-14 Listed $59,400 AARMLS
• 2017-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $73,800 Public Records
• 2008-07-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,978 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.