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637 State St Duplex
C+ Composite 61.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$279,900

637 State St · Menasha, WI 54952
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,352 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1964 8,372 sqft lot Est $259k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Ranch style side by side duplex. Only one owner that's why the rents are low. The renters are on a month to month agreement at this time. New roof was just put on the unit in 2025. Updated cement driveway throughout the years. 2 car detached garage with a separator down the center so each renter gets half of the garage. Long term renters. Great owner occupy option or income waiting to finish off your portfolio, as a great investment. Call today for your private showing, but a 12 hour notice is required. Separate furnace, Hot water heater and electric panels.

Key facts

  • Hot water heater
  • Electric panels
  • Separate furnace

Tags

NEW ROOFUPDATED CEMENT DRIVEWAY2 CAR DETACHED GARAGESEPARATE FURNACEHOT WATER HEATERELECTRIC PANELS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building with each unit approx. 938 sq ft (estimated total 1,751–2,000 sq ft); None of the appliances are included
  • Financial info: Total taxes listed (see broker) — financial details provided separately

Exterior

  • Parking: Outside parking
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family duplex; One-story building; Assessor/public record used for year built
  • Construction: Lot size approx. 0.19 acre; Zoned 2 Family/Duplex
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 2 kitchen approx. 12 x 12
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (master approx. 12 x 15; second bedroom approx. 17 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water/steam heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Cable/Satellite available; Full poured concrete basement with sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $233/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.5% in Menasha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#59 in WI, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities D.
  • Menasha Joint School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #300 of 342 in WI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,990/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 636% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $271,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.13%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$258,720
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
966 7th St 0.73mi 4/2.5 2,352 (0%) 21mo $285,000 $121 46
916 Jefferson St 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,103 (-11%) 13mo $231,000 $110 40
725 2nd St 0.45mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,082 (-12%) 23mo $160,000 $77 36
732 Broad St 0.54mi 4/2.0 2,030 (-14%) 22mo $95,000 $47 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$187,085
Equity at exit
$252,156
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
7.87×
Total profit
$538,378
Equity at exit
$543,784

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54952

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,990 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,742/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$628
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,400
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $624 -5% $545 +0% $466 +5% $387 +10% $307
Rent -10% $230 -5% $348 +0% $466 +5% $584 +10% $702
Rate -1.0pp $607 -0.5pp $537 base $466 +0.5pp $393 +1.0pp $320

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,990

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $279,900 Pending 41 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active w/ Contract 41 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $279,900 Active w/ Contract 40 DOM
  4. 2026-04-29
    historical Active w/ Contract
  5. 2026-04-17
    listed $279,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,742 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,460 · $372/mo
Expected delta
+$718/yr (+$60/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,880
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$3,742
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,870
− Management
−$2,870
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable income
$1,177
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$282
After-tax cash flow
$5,308/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Menasha Joint School District
NCES district ID
5509030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,188
Composite
23.19/100
National rank
#7945
State rank
#300 of 342 in WI

Livability — Menasha

Score
80/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#1628

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Menasha, WI
County
Winnebago County · 155,689 people
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
Population (ZIP)
27,312
Household income
$69,196
Rent vs Own
33.6% rent · 66.4% own
Severe rent burden
636.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,480 people
By 2030
177,928 · +1.4%
By 2040
180,873 · +3.1%
By 2050
181,302 · +3.3%
By 2075
184,071 · +4.9%
By 2100
175,932 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 4% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.18%
Current HPI
446.39
Rent YoY
▲ 4.62%
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent RANW
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $279,900 RANW

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2021): $3,742 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…