739 Sloop Point Rd · Surf City, NC
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT HOME FOR THE PRICE. ALMOST ONE ACRE OF PROPERTY AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL.
Key facts
- No hoa
- 0.97 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport; Paved parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story, entry level on the first floor; Vinyl siding and frame construction
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; No additional exterior features listed; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes all living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Wall/window unit(s); Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#357 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Pender County Schools (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #66 of 178 in NC (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Surf City Elementary (math 63% / reading 60%, grade B, #193 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 808 students, 31% FRL); Surf City Middle (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #71 of 475 statewide, top 15%, 705 students, 23% FRL); Topsail High (math 67% / reading 72%, grade B, #121 of 535 statewide, top 24%, 1,777 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 47% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pender County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 509 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 943 units permitted in Pender County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pender County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.88%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $394,632
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Wildwood Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,858 (+14%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $183 | 67 |
| 115 Crystal Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (-4%) | 9mo | $600,000 | $385 | 59 |
| 105 E Sanderling Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+3%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $227 | 58 |
| 716 Bay Harbor Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,661 (+2%) | 9mo | $530,000 | $319 | 56 |
| 111 Cirrus Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+14%) | 3mo | $460,000 | $247 | 46 |
| 102 E Sanderling Cir | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (-2%) | 13mo | $369,000 | $232 | 46 |
| 875 Union Bethel Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,585 (-2%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $243 | 45 |
| 202 W Sanderling Cir | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+5%) | 19mo | $378,000 | $222 | 44 |
| 131 Shelley Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,429 (-12%) | 6mo | $360,000 | $252 | 40 |
| 315 Sloop Point Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,863 (+15%) | 23mo | $415,000 | $223 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,797
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $59,270
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28443
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 792 Wildwood Cir Hampstead, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$179,000 Active
-
2026-04-21soldstatus $125,000
-
2006-10-11soldstatus $105,000
-
2006-10-10soldstatus $105,000 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
GREAT HOME FOR THE PRICE. ALMOST ONE ACRE OF PROPERTY AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL.
-
2006-08-16$107,000 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
GREAT HOME FOR THE PRICE. ALMOST ONE ACRE OF PROPERTY AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL.
-
2005-11-04historical
-
2005-09-22$134,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,468 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$434/yr (+$36/mo · 41.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,034
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,939
- − Management
- −$1,939
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $3,199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$768
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pender County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703570
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,792
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3342
- State rank
- #66 of 178 in NC
Livability — Surf City
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #357
- US rank
- #14131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pender County · 28,416 people
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,416
- Household income
- $90,477
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 700.0
Population outlook (Pender County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,295 people
- By 2030
- 74,990 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 85,954 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 95,925 · +38.4%
- By 2075
- 117,525 · +69.6%
- By 2100
- 129,074 · +86.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pender
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.1% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.0 2020: R+29.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.51%
- Current HPI
- 188.426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.57%
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+32.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $179,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-10 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-08-16 Listed $107,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-11-04 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2005-09-22 Listed $134,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,034 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…