100 S Ferry Rd · Shelter Island, NY 11964

$4,295,000

6 bd · 7.0 ba · 5,622 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 389 Days on market

Built 2024 2.16 ac lot $764/sqft · 20% below area Est $5349k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.0/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

Key facts

• 2.16 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/7.0-bath single-family listed at $4.29M.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $29k ($353k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($70k rent vs $4.29M).
• Recommended offer: $3.78M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#998 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Shelter Island Union Free School District (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #546 of 755 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $114k of equity ($30k loan paydown + $85k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
• Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1.20M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$290k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 389 days — a 12% lower offer ($3.78M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $600k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $3.43M; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $3,779,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 389 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.62% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.36%
• DSCR: 2.31
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $5,349,496
• List price: $4,295,000
• Delta: -19.71%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9 / 7 Westmoreland Dr	0.75mi	6/4.5	4,957 (-12%)	8mo	$4,350,000	$878	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.80×
• Total profit: $2,160,241
• Equity at exit: $1,686,845

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.46×
• Total profit: $5,360,706
• Equity at exit: $2,423,551

Cash invested: $1,202,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11964

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 39
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $69,595 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$22,523
• Tax from tax record: −$1,243 /mo · $14,915/yr
• Insurance: −$1,790
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$14,615
• Net cashflow: $29,424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $32,349

Max offer price $4,295,000

Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $1,073,750
• Closing costs: $128,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7 North Dr Sag Harbor, NY	5.0	4.0	4000	$60,000	$15.00	22d	1	0.96mi
15 Montclair Ave Shelter Island, NY	6.0	4.5	4600	$75,000	$16.30	22d	1	1.36mi
19 Fairlea Ct Sag Harbor, NY	5.0	5.5	5500	$75,000	$13.64	43d	1	1.37mi

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 389 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 388 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 387 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 386 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 384 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 383 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 380 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 379 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $4,295,000 Active 378 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $4,295,000 Active 375 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $4,445,000 Active 374 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $4,445,000 Active 373 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,445,000 Active 372 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,445,000 Active 371 DOM
15. 2026-01-29
    price $4,445,000 2175-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2175 chars)

    A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

16. 2025-10-28
    price $4,495,000 2175-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2175 chars)

    A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

17. 2025-09-08
    price $4,795,000 2175-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2175 chars)

    A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

18. 2025-05-26
    listed $4,895,000 Active 2175-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2175 chars)

    A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

19. 2025-05-19
    historical $4,895,000 2175-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2175 chars)

    A buyers dream rooted in nature, enhanced by design. This modern farmhouse nestled in the heart of Shelter Island, NY. completed in 2024, sits on a generous 2.16 acres of immaculate grounds, is a mere half mile from the South Ferry, placing convenience at your doorstep. Boasting six bedrooms, each with their own en-suite, and two additional half-baths, this residence effortlessly blends style and function. The open floor plan is an entertainer's dream, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The expansive living room showcases large vaulted ceilings with a floor to ceiling doors with transoms, inviting an abundance of natural light into the space, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere with an indoor outdoor flow. The kitchen is a culinary delight featuring high-end stainless steel appliances, modern shaker style cabinetry, a wet bar, and pantry. The design is thoughtful and efficient, making it the perfect place to prepare meals and entertain guests. The primary suite, located for optimal privacy, is a sanctuary of peace and relaxation. It features a double shower with steam, creating a spa-like experience within your own home. The second-floor hosts three additional en-suite bedrooms, one of which has its own private deck, offering a tranquil space for morning coffee or evening reflection. The lower level presents a TV room and two more en-suite bedrooms, offering flexibility for various lifestyle needs. The property also includes a heated gunite pool, a large tiled patio, and a pickle ball/sport court, promising endless outdoor entertainment. The entire home is unified by stunning white oak flooring and complemented by well-thought-out outdoor landscape lighting, emphasizing the property's architectural beauty. The community environment is as inviting as the home itself. With easy access to local amenities and the South Ferry, residents can enjoy the best of Shelter Island living but also having the convenience to the “Sag Harbor Village” and “The Hamptons”. Experience the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfort in this well-designed home. No expense was spared in creating this oasis.

20. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $3,425,200 Closed 1152-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1152 chars)

    New construction ready in June. Sun-drenched living unfolds in this 2.16-acre south-facing haven, where light bathes a charming Hampton's-style shingled home. Relax by the sparkling Gunite pool, accessible through expansive glass doors from the 2-story living room, warmed by the soaring fireplace. Unleash your inner chef in the spacious kitchen, boasting shaker-style white cabinets, gleaming quartz counters, and top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances. The adjoining family room beckons with its cozy gas fireplace and seamless access to the patio, perfect for effortless entertaining. Unwind in one of 6 bedrooms, each offering a peaceful escape. Indulge in self-care in 6 full and 2 half baths. The partially finished lower level presents additional flexibility with 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and living area, ideal for guests or a media room. The 2-car garage is directly connected to the kitchen. Escape to charming Sag Harbor in mere minutes, with the South Ferry just .5 miles away. Make idyllic Shelter Island your home., Additional information: Appearance:Diamond,Cooling:SEER Rating 12+,Green Features:Insulated Doors,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

21. 2024-05-07
    status Pending 1152-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1152 chars)

    New construction ready in June. Sun-drenched living unfolds in this 2.16-acre south-facing haven, where light bathes a charming Hampton's-style shingled home. Relax by the sparkling Gunite pool, accessible through expansive glass doors from the 2-story living room, warmed by the soaring fireplace. Unleash your inner chef in the spacious kitchen, boasting shaker-style white cabinets, gleaming quartz counters, and top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances. The adjoining family room beckons with its cozy gas fireplace and seamless access to the patio, perfect for effortless entertaining. Unwind in one of 6 bedrooms, each offering a peaceful escape. Indulge in self-care in 6 full and 2 half baths. The partially finished lower level presents additional flexibility with 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and living area, ideal for guests or a media room. The 2-car garage is directly connected to the kitchen. Escape to charming Sag Harbor in mere minutes, with the South Ferry just .5 miles away. Make idyllic Shelter Island your home., Additional information: Appearance:Diamond,Cooling:SEER Rating 12+,Green Features:Insulated Doors,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

22. 2024-03-22
    listed $3,895,000 Active 1152-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1152 chars)

    New construction ready in June. Sun-drenched living unfolds in this 2.16-acre south-facing haven, where light bathes a charming Hampton's-style shingled home. Relax by the sparkling Gunite pool, accessible through expansive glass doors from the 2-story living room, warmed by the soaring fireplace. Unleash your inner chef in the spacious kitchen, boasting shaker-style white cabinets, gleaming quartz counters, and top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances. The adjoining family room beckons with its cozy gas fireplace and seamless access to the patio, perfect for effortless entertaining. Unwind in one of 6 bedrooms, each offering a peaceful escape. Indulge in self-care in 6 full and 2 half baths. The partially finished lower level presents additional flexibility with 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and living area, ideal for guests or a media room. The 2-car garage is directly connected to the kitchen. Escape to charming Sag Harbor in mere minutes, with the South Ferry just .5 miles away. Make idyllic Shelter Island your home., Additional information: Appearance:Diamond,Cooling:SEER Rating 12+,Green Features:Insulated Doors,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

23. 2023-05-16
    soldstatus $585,000 Closed
24. 2023-03-24
    status Pending
25. 2022-11-18
    listed $650,000 Active
26. 2004-03-02
    soldstatus $310,000
27. 2002-12-05
    soldstatus $500,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $14,915 · $1,243/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $43,750 · $3,646/mo
• Expected delta: +$28,835/yr (+$2,403/mo · 193.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $835,142
• − Mortgage interest: −$240,587
• − Property taxes: −$14,915
• − Insurance: −$21,475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$66,811
• − Management: −$66,811
• − Depreciation: −$124,945
• Taxable income: $299,596
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$71,903
• After-tax cash flow: $281,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Shelter Island Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3626640
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $75,456
• Composite: 41.31/100
• National rank: #7365
• State rank: #546 of 755 in NY

Livability — Shelter Island

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #998
• US rank: #19481

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shelter Island, NY
• City population: 3,279
• Population (ZIP): 2,858

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,505,262 people
• By 2030: 1,498,318 · -0.5%
• By 2040: 1,471,101 · -2.3%
• By 2050: 1,424,848 · -5.3%
• By 2075: 1,337,157 · -11.2%
• By 2100: 1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 21% Native American 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16%
• Common ancestry: Italian 13% Romanian 5% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.97%
• Current HPI: 476.2348
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+789.0% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-29 Price Changed $4,445,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-28 Price Changed $4,495,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-08 Price Changed $4,795,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-26 Listed $4,895,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-19 Coming Soon $4,895,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $3,425,200 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-05-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-03-22 Listed $3,895,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-16 Sold (MLS) $585,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-03-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-11-18 Listed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
• 2002-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $14,915 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.