127 Dartmouth Ln · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Recent Price Reduction! Income producing 3 bedroom / 1.5 bath home located in a desirable Southside location. Home has a tenant with long-term lease. Contact Joe today to inquire about this property and the possibility of making a bundle offer with MLS#1088787. A perfect opportunity for a savvy investor ready to add to their investment portfolio.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Garage
- Listed 46 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one covered space; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story house; Corner lot; Paved public road access; Subdivision: Colony Place #2; Entry located on a corner lot
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Fiberglass shingle roof; Other foundation details
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Partial privacy wood fencing in back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater listed among appliances
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($448/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Beard Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #119 of 454 statewide, top 28%, 309 students, 77% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $139k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.15%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Cornell Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+5%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $138 | 82 |
| 8000 Colony Ln | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-2%) | 7mo | $142,000 | $140 | 81 |
| 8023 Colony Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 7800 Colony Ln | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (+3%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $140 | 75 |
| 7724 Colony Ln | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (0%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $165 | 75 |
| 8105 S 22nd Ter | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+4%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 8106 Colony Ln | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $161 | 70 |
| 8206 Colony Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+7%) | 15mo | $176,400 | $160 | 68 |
| 8105 Hermitage Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,083 (+5%) | 23mo | $139,000 | $128 | 65 |
| 7800 Hermitage Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,106 (+7%) | 21mo | $169,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 8200 Colony Ln | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 20mo | $152,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 202 S 23rd Ter | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,154 (+12%) | 19mo | $159,900 | $139 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-20,180
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-14,653
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72908
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,044/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8500 S 28th St Unit 8502-09 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $825 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2802 Grinnell Ave Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $850 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2808 Grinnell Ave Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1206 Mesa Dr Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2601 Oakview Rd Unit 2609-03 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $825 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8817 S 28th St Unit 13-4 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7921 Texas Rd Unit 56 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2807 Fairway Hamlet Ct Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8605 S 32nd Ter Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1709 Brooken Hill Dr Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3305 Grinnell Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8516 S 35th Ter Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7401 Martin Dr Unit 7 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 700 Hillside Dr Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1168 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1439 Brazil Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 351-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-03$144,000 Active
-
2003-10-10soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,044 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,044 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,044
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$1,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$466
- After-tax cash flow
- $915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,288
- Household income
- $72,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.01%
- Current HPI
- 202.0886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+121.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Listed $144,000 WRVBOR
- 2003-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,044 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…