437 W 43rd St #1 · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$615,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Live in the Heart of Hell’s Kitchen – Renovated 2BR/2BA with Private Terrace A rare opportunity to own a condo in an intimate six-unit building just moments from Broadway theaters, Hudson Yards, and the vibrancy of Times Square. Located at 437 W 43rd Street, Apartment 1 includes a private 240 sq ft terrace, perfect for entertaining or quiet outdoor living—full exclusive use included. This spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit is currently under renovation, with approved permits in place and construction has started—saving the next buyer months of delay and uncertainty. Customize the final finishes to your taste and move in sooner. ? No board approval required ? Minimu
Key facts
- Full terrace
- $1,467 HOA
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Condominium association with monthly fee; Association fee $1,467 monthly; Association covers common area maintenance, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Condominium; Living area per public records
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No cooling; Other heating (see remarks)
- Interior features: Tankless water heater; Pets allowed (dogs OK); Walk-up attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $615k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $615k).
- Recommended offer: $541k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,045/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 3765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 723 days — a 12% lower offer ($541k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 78244% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $470k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 723 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.57%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-42,386
- Equity at exit
- $119,596
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $60,807
- Equity at exit
- $102,353
Cash invested: $172,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10036
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,225
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,038 /mo · $12,459/yr
- Insurance
- −$256
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$1,467
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,689
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $153,750
- Closing costs
- $18,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450 W 42nd St #1693 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 690 | $10,010 | $14.51 | 1d | 3 | 0.08mi |
| 520 W 43rd St #742 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $7,240 | $9.41 | 7d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 561 10th Ave #2085 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 795 | $7,740 | $9.74 | 7d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 555 10th Ave Unit 1018807P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $9,726 | $14.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 560 W 43rd St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $6,743 | $8.76 | 7d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 622 11th Ave Unit 1402 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $7,600 | $10.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 605 W 42nd St Unit 1016142P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $19,980 | $27.73 | 10d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 635 W 42nd St #1990 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $8,900 | $11.87 | 7d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 754 9th Ave Unit 1017471P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 538 | $7,284 | $13.54 | 7d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 311 W 50th St #228 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 669 | $7,510 | $11.23 | 7d | 3 | 0.42mi |
| 235 W 48th St #1400 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 687 | $8,160 | $11.87 | 7d | 3 | 0.42mi |
| 250 W 50th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $7,928 | $10.11 | 7d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 360 W 34th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 632 | $7,260 | $11.49 | 7d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 550 W 54th St Unit 1243 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 913 | $7,220 | $7.90 | 7d | 3 | 0.55mi |
| 435 W 31st St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $13,963 | $22.04 | 6d | 27 | 0.60mi |
| 254 W 54th St Unit 1026635P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $14,490 | $16.84 | 7d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 500 W 56th St #116 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $7,480 | $10.99 | 7d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 70 W 45th St #1131 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $8,370 | $9.27 | 7d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 525 W 28th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $8,705 | $7.80 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 18 W 48th St Unit 670 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $7,730 | $12.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 243 W 28th St #2143 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $8,960 | $15.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 244 W 29th St Unit 2149 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $9,720 | $19.84 | 6d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 77 W 55th St Unit 15H New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,900 | $6.53 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21 W End Ave New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $8,995 | $11.99 | 24d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $29,625 | $19.11 | 7d | 9 | 0.93mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $28,750 | $18.55 | 7d | 10 | 0.93mi |
| 400 W 61st St New York, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1567 | $24,510 | $15.64 | 1d | 48 | 0.94mi |
| 15 W 55th St #736 New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1250 | $8,550 | $6.84 | 1d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 535 W 23rd St #1584 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 625 | $10,420 | $16.67 | 3d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 400 W 63rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $10,157 | $11.62 | 1d | 11 | 1.01mi |
| 309 5th Ave New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $7,596 | $12.72 | 7d | 13 | 1.02mi |
| 43 W 27th St #1055 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $9,940 | $13.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 30 Park Ave #1347 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $9,570 | $10.07 | 1d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 160 W 24th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $10,290 | $14.07 | 1d | 12 | 1.07mi |
| 776 6th Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $10,644 | $14.07 | 1d | 18 | 1.07mi |
| 101 W End Ave #950 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $12,460 | $15.31 | 1d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 41 Park Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $8,170 | $10.02 | 7d | 3 | 1.08mi |
| 135 E 47th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 572 | $6,600 | $11.53 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 138 E 38th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $6,420 | $8.56 | 24d | 4 | 1.16mi |
| 135 E 47th St Unit 22F New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $7,500 | $10.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,467 · $17,604/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $615,000 Active 723 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $615,000 Active 722 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $615,000 Active 717 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $615,000 Active 715 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $615,000 Active 714 DOM
-
2025-06-13status Active
-
2025-06-01historical
-
2025-02-26price $615,000
-
2024-09-24price $765,000
-
2024-06-04price $785,000
-
2024-06-04$785 Active
-
2013-01-02soldstatus $470,000
-
1986-01-21soldstatus $230,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,459 · $1,038/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,459 · $1,038/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $96,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,450
- − Property taxes
- −$12,459
- − Insurance
- −$3,872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,723
- − Management
- −$7,723
- − HOA
- −$17,604
- − Depreciation
- −$17,891
- Taxable loss
- −$5,187
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,245
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,036
- Household income
- $95,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3765.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 15% Two or more races 15% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.00%
- Current HPI
- 250.4308
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+167.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-13 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $615,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-24 Price Changed $765,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-04 Price Changed $785,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-04 Listed $785 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $470,000 Public Records
- 1986-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $12,459 · -21.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…