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Sequoia Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 71.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$121,500

Sequoia Plan · Visalia, CA 93291
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 224 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

Key facts

  • Listed 224 days

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $121,500 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $57,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $122k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 3.3% in Visalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#196 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Visalia Unified (urban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #273 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 552 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.82%
Cap rate
24.69%
Cash-on-cash
65.72%
DSCR
3.92
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,000
List price
$121,500
Delta
113.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
225 N Akers St #119 0.13mi 2/2.0 840 (-7%) 22mo $62,000 $74 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.1%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$46,653
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
69.5%
Equity multiple
8.09×
Total profit
$113,206
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93291

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
552
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,605 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax est. 1.5%
$71 /mo · $855/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$874

Break-even live

Break-even rent $499
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $913 -5% $894 +0% $874 +5% $854 +10% $835
Rent -10% $747 -5% $811 +0% $874 +5% $937 +10% $1,001
Rate -1.0pp $903 -0.5pp $889 base $874 +0.5pp $859 +1.0pp $844

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4845 W Cypress Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 2.0 1027 $1,650 $1.61 44d 1 0.78mi
4401 W Goshen Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 2.0 996 $1,695 $1.70 14d 2 0.80mi
700 S Linwood St Unit 720 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 1054 $1,650 $1.57 44d 1 0.88mi
4928 Westgate Ct Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 1069 $2,200 $2.06 22d 1 0.98mi
5505 W Tulare Ave #64 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.5 800 $1,495 $1.87 22d 1 0.98mi
3733 W Myrtle Ct Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 44d 1 1.15mi
4052 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 877 $1,340 $1.53 22d 1 1.18mi
3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 3936 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 877 $1,365 $1.56 44d 1 1.24mi
3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 4052 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 877 $1,340 $1.53 22d 1 1.24mi
3936 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 877 $1,365 $1.56 44d 1 1.24mi
6710 W Doe Ave Visalia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,195 $2.16 2d 4 1.24mi
815 S Demaree St Apt 40 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.5 890 $1,300 $1.46 44d 1 1.27mi
815 S Demaree St Unit 11 Visalia, CA 3.0 1.5 924 $1,400 $1.52 44d 1 1.27mi
815 S Demaree St Unit 33 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.5 890 $1,300 $1.46 22d 1 1.27mi
5224 W Cambridge Ave Unit 5224 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 818 $1,450 $1.77 44d 1 1.29mi
5136 W Cambridge Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 818 $1,400 $1.71 14d 1 1.30mi
5130 W Cambridge Ave Unit 5136 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 818 $1,400 $1.71 14d 1 1.30mi
1540 S Linwood St Unit 1540 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,350 $1.80 44d 1 1.31mi
3535 W Campus Ave Unit 11 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,445 $1.70 14d 1 1.34mi
3535 W Campus Ave Unit 3535-8 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,445 $1.70 44d 1 1.35mi
3537 W Campus Ave Unit 11 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,445 $1.70 44d 1 1.36mi
3417 W Campus Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $121,500 Active 224 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $121,500 Active 223 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,900 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,900 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,900 Active 220 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,900 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,900 Active 217 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,900 Active 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,900 Active 215 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,900 Active 214 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $122,900 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,900 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,900 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,900 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,900 Active 207 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $122,900 Active 206 DOM
  17. 2026-05-03
    status Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  18. 2026-05-02
    historical 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  19. 2026-04-15
    status Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  20. 2026-04-15
    price $122,900 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  21. 2026-03-31
    historical 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  22. 2026-03-22
    status Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  23. 2026-03-22
    price $132,900 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  24. 2024-11-28
    historical 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

  25. 2024-06-29
    listed $142,900 Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 80% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,261
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$855
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,541
− Management
−$1,541
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$10,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,445
After-tax cash flow
$8,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home in a well-maintained community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and cleaning gutters would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and can prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and can prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Visalia Unified
NCES district ID
0641160
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,672
Composite
30.47/100
National rank
#6223
State rank
#273 of 517 in CA

Livability — Visalia

Score
72/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#6351

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Visalia, CA
County
Tulare County · 323,826 people
City population
163,333
Metro
Visalia, CA
Population (ZIP)
63,568
Household income
$82,610
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1764.0

Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,681 people
By 2030
496,241 · +2.4%
By 2040
518,507 · +7.0%
By 2050
534,920 · +10.4%
By 2075
548,417 · +13.2%
By 2100
513,085 · +5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 34% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulare

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.95%
Current HPI
329.0192
Rent YoY
▲ 3.12%
Metro
Visalia, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $122,900 Zillow
  • 2026-03-31 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $132,900 Zillow
  • 2024-11-28 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-06-29 Listed $142,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…