🏗️ New Construction
Sequoia Plan · Visalia, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.8%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
Key facts
- Listed 224 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $122k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 3.3% in Visalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#196 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, cost of living F.
- Visalia Unified (urban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #273 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 552 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.72%
- DSCR
- 3.92
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,000
- List price
- $121,500
- Delta
- 113.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 N Akers St #119 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-7%) | 22mo | $62,000 | $74 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $46,653
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 69.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.09×
- Total profit
- $113,206
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93291
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 552
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$71 /mo · $855/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $874
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $913 | -5% $894 | +0% $874 | +5% $854 | +10% $835 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $747 | -5% $811 | +0% $874 | +5% $937 | +10% $1,001 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $903 | -0.5pp $889 | base $874 | +0.5pp $859 | +1.0pp $844 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4845 W Cypress Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4401 W Goshen Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 14d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 700 S Linwood St Unit 720 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4928 Westgate Ct Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $2,200 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5505 W Tulare Ave #64 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3733 W Myrtle Ct Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4052 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,340 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 3936 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,365 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 4052 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,340 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3936 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,365 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6710 W Doe Ave Visalia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,195 | $2.16 | 2d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Apt 40 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Unit 11 Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Unit 33 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5224 W Cambridge Ave Unit 5224 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,450 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5136 W Cambridge Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,400 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5130 W Cambridge Ave Unit 5136 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,400 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1540 S Linwood St Unit 1540 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3535 W Campus Ave Unit 11 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3535 W Campus Ave Unit 3535-8 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3537 W Campus Ave Unit 11 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3417 W Campus Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $121,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $122,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $122,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $122,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $122,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $122,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $122,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $122,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $122,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $122,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $122,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-03status Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-05-02historical 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-04-15status Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-04-15price $122,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-03-31historical 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-03-22status Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2026-03-22price $132,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2024-11-28historical 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
-
2024-06-29$142,900 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 5/1/2026. This home is currently occupied and cannot be shown. Make your new home in Royal Oaks, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2023 2 bed/2 bath, 900.00 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Royal Oaks is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Visalia lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today! DBA: Decal: FLE220CA2341372A Dealer Number: 91126.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 80% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$855
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $10,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,445
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home in a well-maintained community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and cleaning gutters would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and can prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and can prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Visalia Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0641160
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,672
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6223
- State rank
- #273 of 517 in CA
Livability — Visalia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #6351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Visalia, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 163,333
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,568
- Household income
- $82,610
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1764.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 34% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.95%
- Current HPI
- 329.0192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-14.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-02 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $122,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-31 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-22 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $132,900 Zillow
- 2024-11-28 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-06-29 Listed $142,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…