324 Kaanapali Ln · Bastrop, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
Key facts
- Generously sized lot
- Private yard
- Hard flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Tahitian Village Property Owners Association; Association fee frequency: see remarks; Community amenities include barbecue, fishing, park, and trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Resale property; HardiPlank type exterior
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Composition roof; Slab foundation; HardiPlank type construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Porch; Outdoor lighting; Private yard; Shed(s) / storage; Privacy wood fencing; Interior lot with medium-size trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Granite counters; Stone counters
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Granite counters; Stone counters; Open floorplan; Multiple closets; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (14.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Bastrop — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#947 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Bastrop ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #670 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1072 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,841 units permitted in Bastrop County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bastrop County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.57%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $376,941
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -31.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Kaanapali Ln | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (-3%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $220 | 88 |
| 107 Kou Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,542 (+2%) | 13mo | $355,000 | $230 | 79 |
| 102 Moku Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,553 (+2%) | 9mo | $399,950 | $258 | 67 |
| 161 Honopu Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,711 (+13%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $202 | 52 |
| 111 E Kamoi Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,615 (+6%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $248 | 51 |
| 265 Makaha Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (+15%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $215 | 51 |
| 106 Haleakala Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,464 (-4%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $239 | 50 |
| 175 Kahalulu Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,550 (+2%) | 12mo | $349,900 | $226 | 49 |
| 133 Honopu Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (+9%) | 8mo | $349,900 | $211 | 47 |
| 438 Tahitian Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,633 (+8%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $205 | 47 |
| 182 Kaanapali Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,642 (+8%) | 11mo | $359,500 | $219 | 39 |
| 172 Kaanapali Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-12%) | 13mo | $339,900 | $254 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-61,967
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -36.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.31×
- Total profit
- $-95,068
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78602
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1072
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,088 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$395 /mo · $4,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-69 | -5% $-143 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-290 | +10% $-364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-381 | -5% $-299 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-134 | +10% $-52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-86 | -0.5pp $-150 | base $-217 | +0.5pp $-284 | +1.0pp $-352 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 N Kaupo Dr Unit B Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 132 Kahalulu Dr Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,375 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 119 N Kanaio Dr Unit B Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 103 Kaena Ln Bastrop, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 115 Kaena Ln Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 200 Mauna Kea Ln Unit B Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 103 S Kanaio Dr Unit A Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3950 State Highway 71 Bastrop, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 3d | 7 | 1.10mi |
| 828 State Highway 71 Unit 4E Bastrop, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 188 W Kaanapali Ln Bastrop, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2081 | $2,000 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $260,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-05$260,000 Active 725-char remark
-
2021-07-19soldstatus
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2021-07-16soldstatus Closed 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
-
2021-06-16historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
-
2021-06-04historical 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
-
2021-06-01historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
-
2021-05-22$325,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Welcome Home. This amazing home features 4 full bedrooms and 2 baths. Sitting on top of a hill you have beautiful views of the sunset. The backyard is perfect for entertaining with ambient lighting, the firepit, and room to spread out on the deck. The house has stained concrete floors throughout with tall ceilings and an open kitchen and living area. Large storage shed in the back yard for extra storage space.
-
2017-07-07soldstatus
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2017-07-06soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
This beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 bath home features stained concrete floors, granite counters, spacious master bath, 2 master closets, large living room with dining and breakfast bar. Fenced backyard with a patio and deck for entertaining. Storage building conveys. Close to Historic downtown Bastrop dining, shopping, nightlife, banks, churches, etc. Only 25 minutes to ABIARestrictions: Yes
-
2017-06-26status Pending
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
This beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 bath home features stained concrete floors, granite counters, spacious master bath, 2 master closets, large living room with dining and breakfast bar. Fenced backyard with a patio and deck for entertaining. Storage building conveys. Close to Historic downtown Bastrop dining, shopping, nightlife, banks, churches, etc. Only 25 minutes to ABIARestrictions: Yes
-
2017-05-24status Pending - Taking Backups
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
This beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 bath home features stained concrete floors, granite counters, spacious master bath, 2 master closets, large living room with dining and breakfast bar. Fenced backyard with a patio and deck for entertaining. Storage building conveys. Close to Historic downtown Bastrop dining, shopping, nightlife, banks, churches, etc. Only 25 minutes to ABIARestrictions: Yes
-
2017-05-16$189,900 Active
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
This beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 bath home features stained concrete floors, granite counters, spacious master bath, 2 master closets, large living room with dining and breakfast bar. Fenced backyard with a patio and deck for entertaining. Storage building conveys. Close to Historic downtown Bastrop dining, shopping, nightlife, banks, churches, etc. Only 25 minutes to ABIARestrictions: Yes
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2012-08-09soldstatus
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2011-12-30soldstatus Sold
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2011-12-30soldstatus
-
2011-12-22status Pending
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2011-12-08historical Temporarily Off Market
-
2011-12-07$10,000 Active
-
2006-03-06historical
-
2006-01-12
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,735 · $395/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,758 · $396/mo
- Expected delta
- +$23/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,062
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$4,735
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,005
- − Management
- −$2,005
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$7,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,707
- After-tax cash flow
- $-891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bastrop ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809570
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,010
- Composite
- 23.87/100
- National rank
- #7799
- State rank
- #670 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bastrop
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #947
- US rank
- #16846
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bastrop County · 68,601 people
- City population
- 38,190
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,190
- Household income
- $89,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Bastrop County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,260 people
- By 2030
- 101,355 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 115,578 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 129,464 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 168,068 · +78.3%
- By 2100
- 194,857 · +106.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 17% Black 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bastrop
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.4) · D 40.2% · R 58.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -18.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.4 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.68%
- Current HPI
- 247.1145
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.04%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2500.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $260,000 Unlock MLS
- 2021-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-07-16 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2021-06-16 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2021-06-04 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2021-06-01 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2021-05-22 Listed $325,000 Unlock MLS
- 2017-07-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-07-06 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2017-06-26 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2017-05-24 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2017-05-16 Listed $189,900 Unlock MLS
- 2012-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-12-30 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2011-12-22 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2011-12-08 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2011-12-07 Listed $10,000 Unlock MLS
- 2006-03-06 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2006-01-12 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,735 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…