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9334 Fox Creek Dr Duplex
D+ Composite 48.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$525,000

9334 Fox Creek Dr · Stockton, CA 95210
12 bd · 8.0 ba · 2,236 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1980 6,213 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Rare North Stockton duplex 9334 & 9336 Fox Creek Drive is your next smart investment opportunity. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and 1,118 sq ft of living space, for a total of 2,236 sq ft. Built in 1980, the property features attached 2-car garages, private backyards, and separate entrances for true tenant independence. Both units are occupied month-to-month at below-market rents; comparable units on the same street rent for $2,500/month, offering immediate upside to $5,000/month in gross rent. Sitting on a 6,132 sq ft lot, the stucco exterior and Spanish tile roof keep maintenance costs to a minimum. Current ownership has averaged just $1,500/year in maintenance since 2018, a truly passive-friendly asset. Located in Wagner Heights, North Stockton, with quick access to Hwy 99, Lodi Unified schools, parks, and shopping. Don't miss this turnkey income property with clear value-add rental upside in a stable North Stockton neighborhood.** 1,240 characters.** Under the limit with room to spare. Comparable sale 9419 & 9421 Fox Creek Dr. Sold in 3 days on the MLS and closed on 4-16-26 for $ 565,000,00. Here is a great opportunity for a buyer to live in one unit and rent out the other to pay some of the expenses.

Key facts

  • Separate entrances
  • Private backyards
  • 6,213 sq ft lot

Tags

NORTH STOCKTON DUPLEXPRIVATE BACKYARDSSEPARATE ENTRANCESTURNKEY INCOME PROPERTYQUICK ACCESS TO HWY 99

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Primary meters for electric, gas, and water noted; City transfer tax applies
  • Financial info: Annual rental income: $34,200; Annual gross income: $34,200; Gross scheduled income: $34,200; Gross rent multiplier: 15.35; Total expenses: $10,069; Tenant pays gas utilities; Trash expense: $916; Utility expenses: $3,216; Landscape expense: $1,200; Unit 1 rent: $1,450; Unit 2 rent: $1,400

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; On-street parking
  • Security: Other security features (see remarks)
  • Utilities: Primary electric, gas, and water meters; Sewer in street
  • Home design: Duplex (2 units) in one building; Single-story; Individual ownership
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Concrete perimeter and slab foundation; Built as one building
  • Exterior features: Tile roof; Fenced yard; Low-maintenance landscaping; Regular lot; R2 zoning; Security features (see remarks)

Interior

  • Kitchen: 220V outlet; Electric cooktop; Formica countertops; Exhaust fan; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl/linoleum
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating (gas); Central forced air cooling; Ceiling fan
  • Interior features: Additional room (see remarks); Washer and dryer included; Carpet and vinyl/linoleum flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Individual electric meters; Individual gas meters; Individual water meter

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $525k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $275/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $459k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $459k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Lodi Unified (urban): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #325 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,592/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $440k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $459,200 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.49%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-30,613
Equity at exit
$78,279
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$105,232
Equity at exit
$45,392

Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95210

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
19.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,592 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,265/yr
Insurance
$219
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$964
Net cashflow
$550

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,895
Max offer price $525,000
Occupancy floor 83%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,250
Closing costs
$15,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $525,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $525,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $525,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $525,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $525,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,265 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,990 · $332/mo
Expected delta
+$2,725/yr (+$227/mo · 215.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,104
− Mortgage interest
−$29,408
− Property taxes
−$1,265
− Insurance
−$2,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,408
− Management
−$4,408
− Depreciation
−$15,273
Taxable loss
−$2,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$548
After-tax cash flow
$7,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lodi Unified
NCES district ID
0622230
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$57,165
Composite
26.84/100
National rank
#7108
State rank
#325 of 517 in CA

Livability — Stockton

Score
57/100
State rank
#734
US rank
#21638

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stockton, CA
County
San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
City population
332,006
Metro
Stockton, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,549
Household income
$67,991
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
1817.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
796,965 people
By 2030
828,849 · +4.0%
By 2040
885,611 · +11.1%
By 2050
929,798 · +16.7%
By 2075
994,578 · +24.8%
By 2100
971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 38% Asian 31% Two or more races 21% White 13% Black 11% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 12% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.31%
Current HPI
349.495
Rent YoY
▲ 7.09%
Metro
Stockton, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+480.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $525,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $525,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2006-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 1992-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1992-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1988-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $90,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,265 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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