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10352 Mayo Trail Rd
D+ Composite 48.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

10352 Mayo Trail Rd · Catlettsburg, KY 41129
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 942 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
8,775 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Completely renovated and move-in ready! This charming home at 10352 Mayo Trail Road in Catlettsburg has undergone a major transformation with updates throughout, including newer flooring, fresh paint, a freshly stained deck, roof, electrical, updated kitchen, appliances, bathroom, and HVAC system. Conveniently located just minutes from I-64, this property offers the perfect location for commuters or anyone wanting quick access to Huntington or Grayson. Enjoy the nice yard, side patio, and welcoming front deck—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find spacious closets and additional storage space to fit your needs. Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifull

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Newer flooring
  • Fresh paint

Tags

NEWER FLOORINGFRESH PAINTFRESHLY STAINED DECKUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED APPLIANCESUPDATED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level to rolling topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, microwave, electric range, refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Washer; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-93/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.2% in Catlettsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#187 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Boyd County (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #115 of 165 in KY (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Boyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Boyd County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $120k implies a 699% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,858 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$14,477
Equity at exit
$54,492
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$51,544
Equity at exit
$84,432

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41129

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$969 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $464/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$-8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $978
Max offer price $118,535
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $119,900 Active
  16. 2022-12-12
    soldstatus $15,000 Closed
  17. 2022-12-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2022-11-09
    price $20,000
  19. 2022-10-20
    price $22,500
  20. 2022-10-07
    status Active
  21. 2022-09-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2022-08-30
    listed $25,000 Active
  23. 2008-08-19
    soldstatus $30,000
  24. 2001-09-27
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$464 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$567/yr (+$47/mo · 122.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,623
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$464
− Insurance
−$1,266
− Repairs & maintenance
−$930
− Management
−$930
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$2,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$521
After-tax cash flow
$428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boyd County
NCES district ID
2100620
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$47,479
Composite
24.65/100
National rank
#7625
State rank
#115 of 165 in KY

Livability — Catlettsburg

Score
68/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#9459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,417

Population outlook (Boyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,137 people
By 2030
44,585 · -3.4%
By 2040
41,442 · -10.2%
By 2050
38,313 · -17.0%
By 2075
31,077 · -32.6%
By 2100
23,432 · -49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Boyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.5) · D 30.0% · R 68.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -38.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.5 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.09%
Current HPI
265.4897
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+379.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $119,900 AABOR
  • 2022-12-12 Sold (MLS) $15,000 AABOR
  • 2022-12-05 Contingent AABOR
  • 2022-11-09 Price Changed $20,000 AABOR
  • 2022-10-20 Price Changed $22,500 AABOR
  • 2022-10-07 Relisted AABOR
  • 2022-09-09 Contingent AABOR
  • 2022-08-30 Listed $25,000 AABOR
  • 2008-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+53.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $464 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…