194 Broadmore Ave NE · Four Corners, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Royal Mobile Est 55+ Community /W Clubhouse, pond, billiards, RV Storage. 2Bed/2BA 1152 Sq ft. Beautiful wood laminate Floors, Lg livingroom & kitchen. Remodeled Primary bedroom & bathroom, updated vinyl windows and exterior doors, New in 2024 Hot water heater & furnace w/ heat pump. 2 outside storage ShedsSpace rent includes, water, sewer. buyer to do their own due diligence for park rent.Park approval Necessary.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Pond
- Billiards
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 3.9% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in OR, #2,680 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $55k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.70%
- DSCR
- 4.01
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,000
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -35.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 47th Ave NE | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (-2%) | 11mo | $77,000 | $68 | 85 |
| 4730 Auburn Rd NE #10 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-4%) | 3mo | $92,500 | $84 | 80 |
| 4730 Auburn Rd NE #95 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 13mo | $52,000 | $45 | 78 |
| 114 Broadmore Ave NE | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $52 | 72 |
| 176 47th Ave NE | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 9mo | $7,500 | $7 | 69 |
| 341 Cornerstone Ct | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 3mo | $316,000 | $299 | 65 |
| 4849 State St #34 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 13mo | $126,500 | $101 | 63 |
| 4730 Auburn Rd #158 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 3mo | $61,500 | $48 | 62 |
| 4746 Amber St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (+12%) | 19mo | $74,000 | $57 | 59 |
| 4730 Auburn Rd NE #103 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+7%) | 21mo | $155,000 | $126 | 55 |
| 193 Clearwater Ave NE | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 22mo | $64,900 | $50 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $41,983
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 67.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.89×
- Total profit
- $90,639
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97301
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $869
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Bayview Way NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 13d | 3 | 0.11mi |
| 4611 State St Unit 4611 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,450 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 143 Connecticut Ave SE Unit 145 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 143 Connecticut Ave SE Unit 143 Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $950 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 102 Greencrest St NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,918 | $2.10 | 13d | 25 | 0.37mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4435-201 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,525 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4437-206 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,525 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4836 Tanglewood Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,150 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 124 Stafford Ln NE Unit 124-203 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 133 Stafford Ln NE Unit 133-103 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,195 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4166 State St Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4135 State St Unit 11 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 435 Fountain Valley Way NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $1,559 | $1.66 | 21d | 5 | 0.70mi |
| 4807 Chinook Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 178 Lancaster Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4341 Center St NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,130 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4776 Buffalo Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1369 | $2,150 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 295 Colt Ln NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3750-3762 Amber St NE Unit 3762-107 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3750-3762 Amber St NE Unit 3758-107 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1029 Raffon Ct SE Unit AR7171-3 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 430 Brittany Way NE Unit 369-421 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3897 Meadowlawn Loop SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,619 | $1.68 | 13d | 26 | 0.96mi |
| 3880 Auburn Rd NE Unit 3896 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3828 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3822 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5192 Caplinger Rd SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $1,554 | $1.67 | 13d | 25 | 1.09mi |
| 4976 Turquoise Ave SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 13d | 5 | 1.20mi |
| 1447 Connecticut St SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,675 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1569 Whitaker Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,799 | $1.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4243 Campbell Dr SE Unit 4243 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 721-759 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 733 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $995 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 793 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 803 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 793 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 837 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3695 D St NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 43d | 3 | 1.42mi |
| 4435 Campbell Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,445 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 16 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 33 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,225 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 18 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3293 Center St NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 459-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $55,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-01-20$60,000 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Royal Mobile Est 55+ Community /W Clubhouse, pond, billiards, RV Storage. 2Bed/2BA 1152 Sq ft. Beautiful wood laminate Floors, Lg livingroom & kitchen. Remodeled Primary bedroom & bathroom, updated vinyl windows and exterior doors, New in 2024 Hot water heater & furnace w/ heat pump. 2 outside storage ShedsSpace rent includes, water, sewer. buyer to do their own due diligence for park rent.Park approval Necessary.
-
1989-03-01soldstatus $14,480
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $180 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $534 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 195.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $10,115
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,427
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Four Corners
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Four Corners, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,574
- Household income
- $60,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3089.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 19% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -548.17%
- Current HPI
- 335.8199
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.70%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+314.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Listed $60,000 WVMLS
- 1989-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,480 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2017): $180 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…