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C Composite 58.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

3500 Suzette Dr · Campbell, FL 34746
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,285 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1995 0.50 ac lot Est $324k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Short Sale. FULL PRICE OFFERS ONLY! BANK APPROVED SHORT SALE PRICE! Spacious single-story home located on a quiet street in Kissimmee. This property features a functional layout with multiple living areas, ample storage, and generous room sizes throughout. The home sits on a large lot with mature trees and established landscaping, offering privacy and outdoor potential. Interior includes an open kitchen and dining area, multiple bedrooms, and a primary suite with en-suite bath. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, major roadways, and Central Florida attractions. Ideal opportunity for a homeowner or investor looking to add value.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Single-story home
  • Ample storage

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMEMULTIPLE LIVING AREASAMPLE STORAGELARGE LOTMATURE TREESESTABLISHED LANDSCAPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Campbell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#848 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pleasant Hill Elementary School (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 59% FRL); Horizon Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,295 students, 75% FRL); Poinciana High School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,455 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1296 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $235k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,969 (1.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.12%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$323,820
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3978 Ambrose Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-1%) 24mo $333,220 $263 64
4219 Pebbles Throw Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-1%) 2mo $342,000 $270 63
4224 Pebbles Throw Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-2%) 11mo $326,000 $259 54
3970 Nesrus Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-1%) 21mo $220,000 $173 49
1723 Magnolia Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-11%) 4mo $235,000 $206 47
4011 Gooseberry Trl 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,444 (+12%) 24mo $363,805 $252 43
3999 Ambrose Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,476 (+15%) 23mo $163,000 $110 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-23,533
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-19,337
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34746

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1296
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,310 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,907/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,885
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $468 -5% $402 +0% $335 +5% $269 +10% $202
Rent -10% $153 -5% $244 +0% $335 +5% $427 +10% $518
Rate -1.0pp $454 -0.5pp $395 base $335 +0.5pp $275 +1.0pp $213

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3949 Ambrose Ave Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $2,300 $1.47 0d 1 0.23mi
4213 Green Gables Pl Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $2,300 $1.48 25d 1 0.62mi
3495 Forest Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,750 $1.68 6d 1 0.68mi
2293 Pocky Way Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1854 $2,490 $1.34 25d 1 0.68mi
4213 Patterson Cv Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,490 $1.46 0d 1 0.68mi
4213 Patterson Cv Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,490 $1.46 25d 1 0.68mi
4215 Nightcaps Way Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1853 $2,450 $1.32 0d 1 0.69mi
4207 Mountain Laurel Ln Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,600 $2.06 25d 1 0.74mi
2359 Pocky Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $2,300 $1.47 25d 1 0.74mi
1738 Golfview Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1538 $2,350 $1.53 9d 1 0.76mi
4269 Nightcaps Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $2,500 $1.61 25d 1 0.78mi
4301 Twisted Twig Bnd Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1267 $2,300 $1.82 25d 1 0.81mi
4327 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $2,000 $1.39 4d 1 0.89mi
4273 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $2,000 $1.39 6d 1 0.92mi
4273 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $2,000 $1.39 21d 1 0.92mi
1918 Birnham Wood Bnd Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $2,099 $1.35 25d 1 0.93mi
4383 Hazel St Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.5 1616 $2,200 $1.36 25d 1 0.97mi
4391 Hazel St Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.5 1614 $2,200 $1.36 23d 1 0.97mi
2860 Osprey Cove Pl #202 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,600 $1.55 25d 1 1.03mi
2850 Osprey Cove Pl #201 Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,599 $1.41 25d 1 1.07mi
1814 Lindens St Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.5 1463 $2,200 $1.50 25d 1 1.12mi
2830 Osprey Cove Pl #204 Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,500 $1.32 19d 1 1.12mi
3249 Cottonwood Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.5 1710 $1,900 $1.11 25d 1 1.18mi
1918 Ancestry Trl Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1432 $2,200 $1.54 25d 1 1.19mi
2096 The Oaks Blvd Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,000 $1.12 25d 1 1.20mi
3190 Shingle Creek Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 976 $1,600 $1.64 0d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-02-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-24
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-24
    price $235,000
  4. 2025-12-16
    status Pending
  5. 2025-12-12
    listed $280,000 Active
  6. 2000-11-02
    soldstatus $100,000
  7. 1997-12-18
    soldstatus $77,000
  8. 1987-11-01
    soldstatus $21,000
  9. 1986-09-01
    soldstatus $14,900
  10. 1981-06-01
    soldstatus $10,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,907 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,950 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$43/yr (+$4/mo · 2.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,716
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$1,907
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,217
− Management
−$2,217
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable income
$199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$48
After-tax cash flow
$3,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — Campbell

Score
58/100
State rank
#848
US rank
#21421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Osceola County · 410,217 people
City population
60,595
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
60,595
Household income
$70,998
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
1690.0

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 29% Two or more races 18% Black 14% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 26% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Estonian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.87%
Current HPI
239.1841
Rent YoY
▼ -1.23%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2138.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
  • 1981-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,907 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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