1755 Shawnee Rd #404 · Lima, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Carlton House unit 404! This southwest-facing, corner unit has beautiful sunsets and loads of updates! Newer doors, windows, light fixtures, paint, and more! At almost 1,500 square feet, this layout is one of the most desirable at The Carlton House - offering a den/office/3rd bedroom and only steps away from the laundry facility! With white cabinetry, quartz countertops, and vinyl plank flooring, all you have to do is move right in! Some Carlton House amenities include: a heated garage, storage facility, a doorman, gathering space, fitness area with sauna, and more! Call today to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Corner unit
- Laundry facility
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Shawnee Local (suburban): math 71% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #100 of 656 in OH (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,500/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,765
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $27,205
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45805
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$498
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 S Primrose Pl Lima, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $498 · $5,976/yr
- Likely covers
- doorman
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $164,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $164,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$169,900 Active 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Welcome to Carlton House unit 404! This southwest-facing, corner unit has beautiful sunsets and loads of updates! Newer doors, windows, light fixtures, paint, and more! At almost 1,500 square feet, this layout is one of the most desirable at The Carlton House - offering a den/office/3rd bedroom and only steps away from the laundry facility! With white cabinetry, quartz countertops, and vinyl plank flooring, all you have to do is move right in! Some Carlton House amenities include: a heated garage, storage facility, a doorman, gathering space, fitness area with sauna, and more! Call today to schedule your showing!
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2021-04-30soldstatus $135,000
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $135,000
-
2021-03-15$139,900
-
2019-09-20soldstatus $110,000
-
2019-09-19soldstatus $110,000
-
2019-09-19soldstatus $110,000
-
2019-06-12$112,000
-
2019-06-12$112,000
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2018-09-28$124,900
-
2016-03-21$109,900
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2014-06-24soldstatus $83,500
-
2014-06-24soldstatus $83,500
-
2014-04-05$85,000
-
2013-06-14soldstatus $82,500
-
2000-03-21soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,416 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 6.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,260
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − HOA
- −$5,976
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $2,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904579
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,634
- Composite
- 63.78/100
- National rank
- #597
- State rank
- #100 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lima
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen · 98,169 people
- City population
- 21,739
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,746
- Household income
- $65,954
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.78%
- Current HPI
- 210.6397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+107.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 WCARE
- 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $135,000 WCARE
- 2021-03-15 Listed $139,900 WCARE
- 2019-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-19 Sold (MLS) $110,000 WRIST
- 2019-09-19 Sold (MLS) $110,000 WCARE
- 2019-06-12 Listed $112,000 WRIST
- 2019-06-12 Listed $112,000 WCARE
- 2018-09-28 Listed $124,900 WCARE
- 2016-03-21 Listed $109,900 WCARE
- 2014-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 2014-06-24 Sold (MLS) $83,500 WCARE
- 2014-04-05 Listed $85,000 WCARE
- 2013-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2000-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,260 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…