1256 NE 149th St · Golden Glades, FL 33161

$450,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,175 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 814 Days on market

Built 1952 9,042 sqft lot Est $499k · 10% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.3/30.0
• ARV discount +11.9/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Home Larger Than Tax Roll. Great Starter Home In North Miami Minutes From Sunny Isles, Aventura & The Beaches. Home Is Minutes To I-95 & Is Near Elementary & Secondary Schools, Public Transportation, Hospitals & Places Of Worship. Minutes To Downtown Miami & Barry University. Home Has An Oversized Lot With Open Layout With Plenty Of Room For A Boat, RV & Pool. Home Is Larger Than Tax Roll, Plenty Of Potential.

Key facts

• 9,042 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots
• Built 1952

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-507 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (19.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $365k (18.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $360k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Golden Glades — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#281 in FL, #4,513 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: North Miami Elementary School (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 423 students, 71% FRL); North Miami Middle School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 807 students, 71% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,653/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 814 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $360,407 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 814 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.08%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.77%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $499,375
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
795 NE 146th St	0.60mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,294 (+10%)	1mo	$550,000	$425	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -28.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.08×
• Total profit: $-115,698
• Equity at exit: $67,096

10-year hold

• IRR: -46.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.45×
• Total profit: $-182,785
• Equity at exit: $38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33161

• Rents YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 340
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,653 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,360
• Tax from tax record: −$419 /mo · $5,032/yr
• Insurance: −$188
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$767
• Net cashflow: $-507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,295

Max offer price $360,407

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-252	-5% $-380	+0% $-507	+5% $-635	+10% $-762
Rent	-10% $-796	-5% $-651	+0% $-507	+5% $-363	+10% $-219
Rate	-1.0pp $-281	-0.5pp $-393	base $-507	+0.5pp $-624	+1.0pp $-742

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $112,500
• Closing costs: $13,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2020 NE 135th St #904 North Miami, FL	2.0	2.0	963	$23,509	$24.41	17d	1	1.47mi
2020 NE 135th St North Miami, FL	2.0	2.0	963	$23,509	$24.41	15d	1	1.47mi

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,032 · $419/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,032 · $419/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 26% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $43,839
• − Mortgage interest: −$25,207
• − Property taxes: −$5,032
• − Insurance: −$7,369
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,507
• − Management: −$3,507
• − Depreciation: −$13,091
• Taxable loss: −$13,874
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,330
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,756/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Golden Glades

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #281
• US rank: #4513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime B Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Golden Glades, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 99,437
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 54,814
• Household income: $58,325
• Rent vs Own: 56.0% rent · 44.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3226.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% White 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 35% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 25% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 41% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -492.86%
• Current HPI: 630.6932
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.73%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+844.2% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $440,000 MARMLS
• 2026-04-01 Pending — MARMLS
• 2025-10-06 Price Changed $450,000 MARMLS
• 2024-05-31 Price Changed $499,000 MARMLS
• 2024-01-08 Listed $510,000 MARMLS
• 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,032 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.