304 Feldspar Ln · Marble Falls, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$261,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.
Key facts
- Central game room
- Attached bathroom
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $262k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-469/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (2.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.5% in Marble Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Marble Falls ISD (town): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #511 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Colt El (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 644 students, 62% FRL); Marble Falls Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 911 students, 67% FRL); Marble Falls H S (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,145 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1617 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,274/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.64%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,365
- List price
- $261,990
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (-4%) | 1mo | $282,999 | $149 | 88 |
| 276 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,949 (-1%) | 2mo | $288,499 | $148 | 88 |
| 128 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,968 (0%) | 1mo | $261,990 | $133 | 87 |
| 260 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,949 (-1%) | 2mo | $291,499 | $150 | 86 |
| 205 Southridge Trl | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 2,097 (+7%) | 0mo | $316,190 | $151 | 81 |
| 284 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,798 (-9%) | 1mo | $276,999 | $154 | 77 |
| 116 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (+5%) | 1mo | $283,499 | $138 | 76 |
| 104 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (-4%) | 3mo | $290,999 | $153 | 75 |
| 137 Southridge Trl | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 2,109 (+7%) | 3mo | $334,990 | $159 | 75 |
| 120 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (-11%) | 3mo | $250,990 | $143 | 65 |
| 112 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,720 (-13%) | 2mo | $244,999 | $142 | 61 |
| 108 Cascade Falls Ln | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 | 2,207 (+12%) | 3mo | $317,990 | $144 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-47,205
- Equity at exit
- $39,064
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-53,399
- Equity at exit
- $22,652
Cash invested: $73,357 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 61 active · 38 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.8 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $304,499 ($160/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 114 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78666
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1617
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,374
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$327 /mo · $3,930/yr
- Insurance
- −$109
- HOA
- −$25
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $142 | -5% $51 | +0% $-39 | +5% $-130 | +10% $-220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-219 | -5% $-129 | +0% $-39 | +5% $51 | +10% $141 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $93 | -0.5pp $28 | base $-39 | +0.5pp $-107 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,498
- Closing costs
- $7,860
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252 Rock Springs Dr Marble Falls, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 139d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 121 Standing Rock Ln Marble Falls, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1726 | $2,150 | $1.25 | 42d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 152 Grey Slate Ave Marble Falls, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2525 | $2,350 | $0.93 | 42d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 169 Standing Rock Ln Marble Falls, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2525 | $2,750 | $1.09 | 100d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 321 Lone Cedar Rd Marble Falls, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1881 | $2,300 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association (Thunder Rock) with a $25 monthly fee covering common area maintenanceCommunity trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garageDriveway2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities
- Electricity availablePublic waterPublic sewer (connected)
- Home design
- New construction by Lennar2 storiesSlab foundationComposition roofBrick and masonry construction
- Construction
- Built by builder (new construction)
- Exterior features
- Private yardBack yardFront yardRear porchFront porchWood fencing in back yardHas a viewFaces south
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRange
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Main level primary suiteOpen floorplanWalk-in closet(s)Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-24days on market $261,990 Active 118 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $261,990 Active 117 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $261,990 Active 116 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $261,990 Active 115 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $261,990 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $261,990 Active 113 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $261,990 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $261,990 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $261,990 Active 110 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $261,990 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $261,990 Active 108 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $261,990 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $261,990 Active 106 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $261,990 Active 105 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $261,990 Active 99 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $261,990 Active 98 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $261,990 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $261,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $261,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $261,990 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $261,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $261,990 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $261,990 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $261,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $261,990 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $261,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $261,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $261,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $261,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $261,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $261,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $261,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $261,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $261,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $261,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $261,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $261,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $261,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $261,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $261,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $261,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $261,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $261,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $261,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $261,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $261,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $261,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $261,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $261,990 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $261,990 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,676
- − Property taxes
- −$3,930
- − Insurance
- −$1,310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,183
- − Management
- −$2,183
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$7,622
- Taxable loss
- −$4,915
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This two-story home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior. It has a spacious layout and is ready for move-in.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting. ↑
- Rental Replace the carpet in the bedrooms — Carpet can be worn and may need replacement to maintain a clean and fresh look. ↑
- Both Clean the air filters — Clean air filters improve air quality and can lead to lower utility bills. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marble Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829010
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,663
- Composite
- 30.3/100
- National rank
- #6278
- State rank
- #511 of 826 in TX
Livability — Marble Falls
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marble Falls, TX
- County
- Hays County · 50,492 people
- City population
- 20,650
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,583
- Household income
- $54,737
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,492 people
- By 2030
- 52,995 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 57,528 · +13.9%
- By 2050
- 61,444 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 71,098 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 74,634 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burnet
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.27%
- Current HPI
- 187.6679
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $261,990 Zillow
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $261,990 Unlock MLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $262,990 Unlock MLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $262,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-29 Listed $263,990 Unlock MLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $263,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…