506 W Southern Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.1/15.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1881
- Listed 404 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,711/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 684% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $85k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.51%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,743
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 12.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 W Grand Ave | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 | 1,945 (-8%) | 14mo | $163,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 1307 S Limestone St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (-0%) | 12mo | $108,900 | $52 | 57 |
| 1415 Woodward Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,254 (+6%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $75 | 54 |
| 127 W Grand Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,882 (-11%) | 9mo | $150,100 | $80 | 54 |
| 235 W Euclid Ave | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,318 (+9%) | 19mo | $67,500 | $29 | 53 |
| 1428 S Fountain Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 | 2,231 (+5%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 525 S Light St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,877 (-12%) | 2mo | $172,000 | $92 | 48 |
| 317 S Plum St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,896 (-11%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $32 | 42 |
| 1413 Woodward Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,977 (-7%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $35 | 39 |
| 721 W Pleasant St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,848 (-13%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $35 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $37,352
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $98,344
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45506
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,711 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $820/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $802
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $850 | -5% $826 | +0% $802 | +5% $778 | +10% $754 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $667 | -5% $735 | +0% $802 | +5% $870 | +10% $938 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $845 | -0.5pp $824 | base $802 | +0.5pp $780 | +1.0pp $758 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545 W Grand Ave Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 524 W Pleasant St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,645 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 523 W Mulberry St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,825 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 18 E Grand Ave Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,575 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 356 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,825 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1306 S Limestone St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 302 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,845 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 220 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,645 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 421 Catherine St Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 534 Homeview Ave Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2660 | $1,200 | $0.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 401 Section St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 402 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 399 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 398 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 397 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 391 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 390 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 389 DOM
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2026-02-18price $84,900 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-27status Active 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2025-08-12$89,000 Active
-
2025-08-01historical 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2025-05-26price $88,000 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2025-01-27price $88,900 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2025-01-06price $89,000 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
-
2024-12-09$89,900 Active 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Great opportunity for a 4bedroom home located in Sprignfield OH, nice size lot and move in ready. Currently tenant occupied with m2m tenants in place, curb offers only
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2021-11-09status Active
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2021-09-07soldstatus $27,500 Closed
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2021-09-07soldstatus $27,500 Closed
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2021-08-26status Pending
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2021-08-25historical
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2021-08-03$23,000 Active
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2021-08-03$23,000 Active
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2015-09-11soldstatus $50,000
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2014-02-12historical
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2013-12-09$100
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2010-09-01historical
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2010-09-01historical
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2010-06-02$12,900
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2010-06-02$12,900
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2009-11-15historical
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2009-06-01$9,900
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2006-08-31soldstatus $79,000
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2004-09-13soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,072 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$252/yr (+$21/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$820
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,642
- − Management
- −$1,642
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $8,773
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,524/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark County · 33,261 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,435
- Household income
- $42,104
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 684.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 30% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.97%
- Current HPI
- 286.2883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+21.3% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $84,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-12-27 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $89,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-08-01 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-05-26 Price Changed $88,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $88,900 CBRMLS
- 2025-01-06 Price Changed $89,000 CBRMLS
- 2024-12-09 Listed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 2021-11-09 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2021-09-07 Sold (MLS) $27,500 WRIST
- 2021-09-07 Sold (MLS) $27,500 CBRMLS
- 2021-08-26 Pending — WRIST
- 2021-08-25 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2021-08-03 Listed $23,000 WRIST
- 2021-08-03 Listed $23,000 CBRMLS
- 2015-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-12 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2013-12-09 Listed $100 CBRMLS
- 2010-09-01 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2010-09-01 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2010-06-02 Listed $12,900 WRIST
- 2010-06-02 Listed $12,900 Dayton MLS
- 2009-11-15 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2009-06-01 Listed $9,900 WRIST
- 2006-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $820 · +18.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…