119 Willow Ct · Golden's Bridge, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$524,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1987
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association (Scalzo Property Management / The Meadows); Monthly association fee of $550; Quarterly additional fee of $300 for water concession; Association covers common area maintenance, grounds care, snow removal, and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, basketball court, parking, and maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Common parking; No carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected (NYSEG); Public sewer; Water connected; Trash collection (private)
- Home design: Townhouse; Single-family residence; Living area per public records
- Construction: Clapboard exterior
- Exterior features: Community pool; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Chef's kitchen; Galley-style kitchen; Basement with storage space; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $524k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $524k).
- Recommended offer: $516k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.3% in Golden's Bridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Katonah-Lewisboro Union Free School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #32 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Katonah Elementary School (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A, #244 of 2,108 statewide, top 13%, 407 students, 8% FRL); John Jay Middle School (math 58% / reading 79%, grade A, #94 of 729 statewide, top 13%, 662 students, 7% FRL); John Jay High School (math 98% / reading 82%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 917 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($516k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $380k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.87%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $549,929
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Willow Ct | 0.00mi | 1/1.5 | 1,451 (0%) | 0mo | $550,000 | $379 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $195,988
- Equity at exit
- $352,845
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $554,816
- Equity at exit
- $661,144
Cash invested: $146,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10518
- Home prices YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,554 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,748
- Tax from tax record
- −$521 /mo · $6,251/yr
- Insurance
- −$218
- HOA
- −$550
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,166
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $131,000
- Closing costs
- $15,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $550 · $6,600/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerpool
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-15price $524,000
-
2026-03-26$550,000 Active
-
2026-03-25historical $3,995
-
2026-03-22historical $550,000
-
2026-02-06$3,995
-
2022-01-11soldstatus $380,000
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $380,000 Closed 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-10-26status Pending 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-10-01status Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-10-01price $385,000 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-08-19status Pending 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-07-30historical 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
2021-07-28$375,000 Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING A HOME WARRANTY ON ALL MECHANICALS, AND APPLIANCES FOR ONE YEAR FROM CLOSING DATE. A $800. value. Spread out in this spacious one-bedroom condo with an additional room for an office/den or second bedroom. Full size Master bedroom with bathroom and 2 large closets. Enjoy winter nights by your Fireplace and Relax in the large living room/dining room with sliding glass doors that leads to the rear of the unit. Have the convenience of a Full-size washer and dryer that is located in lower level and can be relocated to second floor. Enjoy all the amenities. Pool, basketball, 2 tennis courts and a large clubhouse. Additional quarterly charge for water and sewer, depending on usage. Pets allowed. Great location, close to shops and all Highways including Metro-North. Subtract $1690 from taxes for star.
-
1999-10-13soldstatus $185,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,251 · $521/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,553 · $629/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,302/yr (+$109/mo · 20.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,352
- − Property taxes
- −$6,251
- − Insurance
- −$2,620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,332
- − Management
- −$5,332
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$15,244
- Taxable loss
- −$4,082
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katonah-Lewisboro Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616080
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $140,994
- Composite
- 75.09/100
- National rank
- #142
- State rank
- #32 of 590 in NY
Livability — Golden's Bridge
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,040
- Population (ZIP)
- 789
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Asian 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Scotch-Irish 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Current HPI
- 129.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+183.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $524,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listed $550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Rental Removed $3,995 ONEKEY
- 2026-03-22 Coming Soon $550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed for Rent $3,995 ONEKEY
- 2022-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $380,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $380,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-26 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-01 Price Changed $385,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-28 Listed $375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,251 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…