Duplex
14512 Granger Rd · Maple Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
Key facts
- Newer furnaces
- Two separate units
- 3-car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $888 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $444/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.7% in Maple Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#470 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Maple Heights City (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #630 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,915/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 971% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $195k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.51%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,410
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- 4.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $40,445
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $178,501
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,915 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$311 /mo · $3,733/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $888
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,914 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,457 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,457 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,915 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5270 Beech Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 13319 McCracken Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15913 Grant Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,390 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14509 Rockside Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5225 Theodore St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1785 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5069 Henry St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5508 Grasmere Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $1,710 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13629 Cranwood Park Blvd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1525 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5153 Cato St Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 11107 Park Heights Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5713 South Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2026-04-20price $195,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2026-04-13status Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2026-02-16status Pending 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2026-02-05price $199,995 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2026-01-30$209,995 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Double home on a large property featuring two separate units. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen, and a bathroom. Recent improvements include newer furnaces and updated electrical systems. The property also includes a 3-car garage located at the rear of the home. 14510 Granger (house that shares the driveway) is also for sale by the same owner.
-
2024-01-25soldstatus $107,500
-
1994-12-08soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,733 · $311/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,733 · $311/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,733
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,798
- − Management
- −$2,798
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $8,080
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,939
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maple Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904430
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,856
- Composite
- 16.39/100
- National rank
- #9197
- State rank
- #630 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maple Heights
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #7818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 23,285
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,285
- Household income
- $53,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 164.4326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.82%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+178.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $195,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-16 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $199,995 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-30 Listed $209,995 MLSNOW
- 2024-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 1994-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,733 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…