2453 S Taylor Rd · Fussels Corner, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath single wide mobile home built in 1989, offering 924 sq ft of comfortable living space. Situated on a desirable corner lot with NO HOA, this property features a brand new septic system, updated kitchen, new flooring, Enjoy outdoor living with a welcoming porch and spacious lot with added privacy. Conveniently located near Tenoroc High School and with easy access to Hwy 570, making commuting simple. Perfect opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors looking for a move-in ready property with great potential.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1989
- Listed 71 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property type; Property sub-type: Manufactured Home; Universal property ID available
- Financial info: Unfurnished
- HOA & community: No association listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water (water connected/available); Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Multi/split levels; East-facing
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Approximately 924 square feet living area
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.24 acres; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#814 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 476 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.52%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $9,264
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $48,085
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33823
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 476
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5065 Saddle Creek Rd Auburndale, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $1,525 | $1.90 | 19d | 3 | 0.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $130,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$169,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,807
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$914
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully remodeled mobile home is in excellent condition with updated kitchens and bathrooms, new flooring, and a welcoming porch. It is move-in ready and offers great potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the siding.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
- Both Add a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and enhances curb appeal.
- Both Install a security system — Enhances safety and adds value for potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the siding. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Add a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and enhances curb appeal. ↑
- Both Install a security system — Enhances safety and adds value for potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fussels Corner
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #814
- US rank
- #19824
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fussels Corner, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,779
- Household income
- $71,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 821.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.70%
- Current HPI
- 316.9436
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.18%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…