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9134 Chula Vista St #12504
B- Composite 66.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,000

9134 Chula Vista St #12504 · Lely Resort, FL 34113
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,771 sqft · Condo public records · 152 Days on market
Built 2007 $1244/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

REDUCED & PRICED TO SELL NOW! BEST VALUE IN OLE W/ OVER 1770 SF LIVING SPACE W/ 3 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS & HUGE OPEN LIVING SPACE! BRAND NEW A/C! Balcony overlooks beautiful tropical green space w/ song birds, beautiful foliage, palm trees & bunnies in the grass. THIS UNIT IS A KEEPER! All living space is on the second floor from the vestibule entry (lower level) which has storage under the staircase and hallway leading to the 2-car attached garage + EXTRA STORAGE SHELVING. Garage has keyless entry. Upgrades in this unit include BRAND NEW LUXE CORETEC durable flooring in main living spaces & primary ensuite that is easy to walk on and comfortable in bare feet, as oppo

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Near public beaches
  • Granite counters

Tags

COMPUTER HUTCH DESK AREAIMPACT RESISTANT FRENCH DOORSGRANITE COUNTERSCUSTOM GLASS TILE BACKSPLASHCOMMUNITY POOLNEAR PUBLIC BEACHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Special assessment $2,400 annually
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Master HOA fee $99 annually; Condo fee $3,710 quarterly; On-site management; Maintenance includes cable, insurance, internet/WiFi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, master association fee, pest control (exterior & interior), recreation facilities, reserves, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa/hot tub, exercise room, business center, community room, guest room, internet access, theater, restaurant, shopping, sidewalks, streetlights, tennis courts, pickleball, bocce court, and sauna; Community type: golf course (public), non-gated, tennis; One-time other fee $500; Total annual recurring fees $17,339; Total one-time fees $950

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Covered parking; Deeded parking; Under-building closed parking; Paved driveway; Guest parking; Street parking
  • Security: Impact resistant doors and windows
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential property; Townhouse (Spanish style); 2-story; Rear exposure faces northwest; Located in LELY RESORT development
  • Construction: Built in 2007; Concrete block and poured concrete construction; Stucco and stone exterior; Tile roof; Double-hung windows; Impact resistant windows
  • Exterior features: Decorative shutters; Patio; Automatic sprinkler system; Tennis court; Water display; Garage secured

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Pantry; Cooktop (electric); Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator / freezer; Freezer; Refrigerator/ice maker; Grill (other)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom with sitting area; Master bedroom located upstairs; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks, jetted tub, and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Closet cabinets; Custom mirrors; Fire sprinkler system; French doors; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Volume ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window coverings; 5 ceiling fans; Balcony; Den / study; Family room; Florida room; Great room; Guest bath; Guest room; Open porch / lanai; Recreation room; Laundry in residence
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $360k).
  • Recommended offer: $317k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,848/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $265k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $316,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.88%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-10,571
Equity at exit
$53,677
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$102,868
Equity at exit
$31,126

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
597
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$424 /mo · $5,088/yr
Insurance
$150
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,244
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,228
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,231
Max offer price $360,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9118 Chula Vista St #12002 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $4,200 $2.74 23d 1 0.06mi
9151 Delano St #9702 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1733 $2,650 $1.53 14d 1 0.09mi
9155 Delano St Unit 1545913P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1797 $3,871 $2.15 14d 1 0.10mi
9161 Chula Vista St Unit 135-2 Naples, FL 4.0 3.0 1776 $7,500 $4.22 23d 1 0.10mi
9159 Delano St #9905 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1770 $4,995 $2.82 23d 1 0.10mi
9102 Chula Vista St #11302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $2,695 $1.76 21d 1 0.12mi
9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1494 $6,000 $4.02 23d 1 0.12mi
9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1432 $7,500 $5.24 23d 1 0.14mi
9109 Yuba Ln Unit 80 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1729 $3,900 $2.26 23d 1 0.15mi
9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,850 $4.88 23d 1 0.15mi
9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $5,700 $4.06 23d 1 0.17mi
9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $2,979 $2.13 14d 1 0.18mi
9102 Capistrano St S Unit 72-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1520 $6,500 $4.28 23d 1 0.20mi
9072 Rialto St #6302 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $8,250 $4.66 21d 1 0.25mi
9076 Rialto St Unit 62 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $7,500 $4.62 23d 1 0.25mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1225 $7,500 $6.12 23d 1 0.25mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6510 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2004 $6,280 $3.13 14d 1 0.25mi
9073 Rialto St #6002 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $7,500 $4.23 23d 1 0.28mi
8967 Lely Island Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2056 $17,000 $8.27 23d 1 0.30mi
9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1441 $2,200 $1.53 23d 1 0.31mi
9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $6,500 $5.30 23d 1 0.33mi
9066 Albion Ln N #5106 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1715 $6,500 $3.79 21d 1 0.34mi
9066 Albion Ln N Unit 51-1 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1989 $7,000 $3.52 23d 1 0.34mi
8965 Malibu Ln #802 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $6,595 $3.72 23d 1 0.35mi
8845 Lely Island Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2373 $12,500 $5.27 23d 1 0.36mi
8519 Chase Preserve Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1827 $9,000 $4.93 23d 1 0.42mi
9054 Capistrano St N #4003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1385 $2,495 $1.80 23d 1 0.45mi
9054 Capistrano St N #4002 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1674 $6,000 $3.58 23d 1 0.45mi
8175 Celeste Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,395 $1.64 23d 1 0.51mi
8175 Celeste Dr #1229 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,975 $1.81 23d 1 0.51mi
8175 Celeste Dr #1230 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $2,775 $1.88 23d 1 0.51mi
6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,500 $3.33 14d 1 0.52mi
8135 Celeste Dr #4218 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $7,500 $5.08 23d 1 0.53mi
9025 Alturas St #3102 Naples, FL 2.0 3.0 1531 $3,400 $2.22 23d 1 0.54mi
8340 Mystic Greens Way #1501 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1880 $4,995 $2.66 23d 1 0.56mi
8500 Mystic Greens Way Unit 5-505 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2396 $5,000 $2.09 23d 1 0.57mi
8986 Cambria Cir #2204 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $7,500 $4.23 23d 1 0.59mi
8986 Cambria Cir Unit 22 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,000 $4.27 23d 1 0.59mi
8540 Mystic Greens Way #305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1710 $4,995 $2.92 14d 1 0.59mi
8320 Mystic Greens Way #1604 Naples, FL 3.0 3.0 2359 $7,000 $2.97 21d 1 0.59mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,244 · $14,928/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $360,000 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 151 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $360,000 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $360,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $360,000 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $360,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $360,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $360,000 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $360,000 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $360,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $360,000 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $360,000 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $360,000 Active 134 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $360,000 Active 133 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    price $360,000
  16. 2026-04-03
    price $365,000
  17. 2026-03-16
    price $370,000
  18. 2026-02-21
    price $375,000
  19. 2026-01-17
    listed $380,000 Active
  20. 2014-12-16
    soldstatus $265,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,088 · $424/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,088 · $424/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,173
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$5,088
− Insurance
−$6,919
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,614
− Management
−$5,614
− HOA
−$14,928
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable income
$1,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$329
After-tax cash flow
$5,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lely Resort, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $360,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $365,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $370,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $375,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $380,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2014-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,088 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…