1458 Brittany Ln · Odessa, TX 79761

$145,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,370 sqft · Townhouse public records · 212 Days on market

Built 1978 9,322 sqft lot $106/sqft · 30% below area Est $208k · 30% under $100/mo HOA · 5% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.3/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +9.5/10.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of Odessa living at 1458 Brittany Ln! This welcoming home features bright living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for family, work, or guests. Enjoy outdoor time in the spacious backyard great for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Ideally situated near local amenities, schools, and restaurants, this home offers convenience and a friendly neighborhood setting. Check it out! ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative which expires after 30 full days on market. No investor offers until first look period expires. No offers regardless of buyer type will not be negotiated within the first 7 days of listing.***

Key facts

• Functional kitchen
• Spacious backyard
• $100 HOA

Tags

• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• FUNCTIONAL KITCHEN
• FRIENDLY NEIGHBORHOOD SETTING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
• Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
• Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.77%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.41%
• DSCR: 1.55
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $208,079
• List price: $145,000
• Delta: -30.31%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-2,081
• Equity at exit: $21,620

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.30×
• Total profit: $12,035
• Equity at exit: $12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79761

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Rents YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 93
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,834 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax from tax record: −$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$100
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$385
• Net cashflow: $420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303

Max offer price $145,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,250
• Closing costs: $4,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4675 Oakwood Dr Odessa, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	875	$1,550	$1.77	13d	7	0.12mi
1326 French Ave Unit A Odessa, TX	2.0	1.5	1600	$2,000	$1.25	43d	1	0.26mi
4600 Oakwood Dr Odessa, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	712	$1,500	$2.11	13d	19	0.28mi
105 Quail Run Odessa, TX	3.0	2.0	1560	$2,600	$1.67	43d	1	0.36mi
2701 Pagewood Ave Odessa, TX	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,615	$1.61	21d	1	0.64mi
2735 E 8th St Odessa, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	842	$1,844	$2.19	13d	8	0.80mi
2705 Cambridge St Odessa, TX	3.0	2.0	1456	$2,400	$1.65	21d	1	1.00mi
3310 Tanglewood Ln Unit 1 Odessa, TX	3.0	2.5	1732	$2,200	$1.27	21d	1	1.03mi
3312 Tanglewood Ln Odessa, TX	3.0	2.5	1664	$2,000	$1.20	43d	1	1.03mi
2620 Cambridge St Odessa, TX	3.0	2.0	1595	$1,950	$1.22	21d	1	1.08mi
3616 E 30th St Odessa, TX	3.0	2.0	1436	$1,995	$1.39	43d	1	1.17mi
2201 Rocky Lane Rd Odessa, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	900	$1,675	$1.86	13d	10	1.21mi
3939 Tanglewood Ln Odessa, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	825	$1,595	$1.93	13d	9	1.28mi
2608 Cumberland Rd Odessa, TX	2.0	2.0	1404	$1,500	$1.07	13d	1	1.30mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $100 · $1,200/yr

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $145,000 Active 212 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $145,000 Active 211 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $145,000 Active 208 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $145,000 Active 206 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $145,000 Active 205 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $145,000 Active 203 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $145,000 Active 202 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 201 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 200 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 195 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 194 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 193 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 192 DOM
16. 2026-04-29
    price $145,000 709-char remark

    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Discover the charm of Odessa living at 1458 Brittany Ln! This welcoming home features bright living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for family, work, or guests. Enjoy outdoor time in the spacious backyard great for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Ideally situated near local amenities, schools, and restaurants, this home offers convenience and a friendly neighborhood setting. Check it out! ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative which expires after 30 full days on market. No investor offers until first look period expires. No offers regardless of buyer type will not be negotiated within the first 7 days of listing.***

17. 2026-02-28
    price $155,000 709-char remark

    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Discover the charm of Odessa living at 1458 Brittany Ln! This welcoming home features bright living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for family, work, or guests. Enjoy outdoor time in the spacious backyard great for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Ideally situated near local amenities, schools, and restaurants, this home offers convenience and a friendly neighborhood setting. Check it out! ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative which expires after 30 full days on market. No investor offers until first look period expires. No offers regardless of buyer type will not be negotiated within the first 7 days of listing.***

18. 2025-12-29
    price $165,000 709-char remark

    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Discover the charm of Odessa living at 1458 Brittany Ln! This welcoming home features bright living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for family, work, or guests. Enjoy outdoor time in the spacious backyard great for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Ideally situated near local amenities, schools, and restaurants, this home offers convenience and a friendly neighborhood setting. Check it out! ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative which expires after 30 full days on market. No investor offers until first look period expires. No offers regardless of buyer type will not be negotiated within the first 7 days of listing.***

19. 2025-11-17
    listed $175,000 Active 709-char remark

    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Discover the charm of Odessa living at 1458 Brittany Ln! This welcoming home features bright living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms perfect for family, work, or guests. Enjoy outdoor time in the spacious backyard great for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Ideally situated near local amenities, schools, and restaurants, this home offers convenience and a friendly neighborhood setting. Check it out! ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative which expires after 30 full days on market. No investor offers until first look period expires. No offers regardless of buyer type will not be negotiated within the first 7 days of listing.***

20. 2013-05-29
    soldstatus
21. 2013-05-23
    soldstatus 363-char remark

    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    NICE TOWNHOME WITH 3 BDRMS 2 1/2 BATHS, ALL BEDROOMS ARE UPSTAIRS, THERE ARE A COUPLE OF PLACES IN THE LIVING ROOM CEILING THAT WILL BE REPAIRED, IT WAS A LEAK FROM THE BATHROOM THAT HAS ALREADY BEEN FIXED. THE POOL IS INCLUDED IN THE MAINTENANCE FEE, HAVE A TENANT IN THE PROPERTY MUST HAVE A COUPLE HOURS NOTICE, VERY NICE TOWNHOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

22. 2013-03-08
    listed $134,900 363-char remark

    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    NICE TOWNHOME WITH 3 BDRMS 2 1/2 BATHS, ALL BEDROOMS ARE UPSTAIRS, THERE ARE A COUPLE OF PLACES IN THE LIVING ROOM CEILING THAT WILL BE REPAIRED, IT WAS A LEAK FROM THE BATHROOM THAT HAS ALREADY BEEN FIXED. THE POOL IS INCLUDED IN THE MAINTENANCE FEE, HAVE A TENANT IN THE PROPERTY MUST HAVE A COUPLE HOURS NOTICE, VERY NICE TOWNHOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

23. 2007-06-08
    soldstatus
24. 2007-06-05
    soldstatus
25. 2007-05-08
    listed $107,000
26. 1998-10-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,300 · $108/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,654 · $221/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,354/yr (+$113/mo · 104.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,011
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,122
• − Property taxes: −$1,300
• − Insurance: −$725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,761
• − Management: −$1,761
• − HOA: −$1,200
• − Depreciation: −$4,218
• Taxable income: $2,924
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$702
• After-tax cash flow: $4,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ector County ISD
• NCES district ID: 4818000
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $52,740
• Composite: 21.89/100
• National rank: #8233
• State rank: #707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #132
• US rank: #3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Odessa, TX
• County: Ector County · 131,169 people
• City population: 131,169
• Metro: Odessa, TX
• Population (ZIP): 30,164
• Household income: $68,228
• Rent vs Own: 41.7% rent · 58.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1352.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 212,765 people
• By 2030: 241,962 · +13.7%
• By 2040: 306,582 · +44.1%
• By 2050: 379,755 · +78.5%
• By 2075: 568,991 · +167.4%
• By 2100: 709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 67% White 23% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 61%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada
• Languages at home: 50% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -116.66%
• Current HPI: 254.9159
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.66%
• Metro: Odessa, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+35.5% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $145,000 NTREIS
• 2026-02-28 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
• 2025-12-29 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
• 2025-11-17 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
• 2013-05-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
• 2013-03-08 Listed $134,900 ODMLS
• 2007-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2007-06-05 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
• 2007-05-08 Listed $107,000 ODMLS
• 1998-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,300 · -40.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.