140 Banks Rd · Oak Grove, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Appliances will convey with property. Seller prefers home moved but lot rent is only $135.
Key facts
- Built 2000
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential manufactured home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 33.2% vs local median 3.5% in Oak Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#445 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 83 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $627 of equity ($276 loan paydown + $351 appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
- Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 96.02%
- DSCR
- 5.27
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.88% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $53,261
- Equity at exit
- $13,370
- IRR
- 96.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.91×
- Total profit
- $110,718
- Equity at exit
- $17,575
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42262
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $238/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1331 Hugh Hunter Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3469 Bradfield Dr Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1510 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1569 Apache Way Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,900 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3402 Allen Rd Unit 3402 Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $1,653 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1808 Harbor Dr Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1005 Poppy Seed Dr Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 907 Desota Ln Oak Grove, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 907 Desota Ln Oak Grove, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2080 Carneal Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 207 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 136 New Gritton Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 823 Stableford Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 202 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 202 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 268 Golden Pond Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 326 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 323 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 323 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 925 Tiny Town Rd Clarksville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1052 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 416 Filmore Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,295 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3364 N Henderson Way Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1629 | $1,750 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $238 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $343 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$105/yr (+$9/mo · 44.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$238
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $10,708
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,570
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathrooms, exterior, and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated design
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — small, outdated fixtures
- Major exterior siding — rusty and in poor condition
- Major landscaping — overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace carpeted flooring — improves comfort and appearance
- Both repair/replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and improves functionality
- Both repair/replace bathroom fixtures — enhances functionality and appearance
- Both prune landscaping — enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated design | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · small, outdated fixtures | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · rusty and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown and unkempt | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $36,000–130,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace carpeted flooring — improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both repair/replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and improves functionality ↑
- Both repair/replace bathroom fixtures — enhances functionality and appearance ↑
- Both prune landscaping — enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christian County
- NCES district ID
- 2101150
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,961
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7118
- State rank
- #93 of 165 in KY
Livability — Oak Grove
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #21938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Christian County · 51,080 people
- City population
- 9,665
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,665
- Household income
- $51,975
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 485.0
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,861 people
- By 2030
- 65,808 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 60,090 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 54,561 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 45,859 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 38,310 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Polish 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.88%
- Current HPI
- 264.8628
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $39,900 HCTCBOR
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $238 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…