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2823 N Grey Squirrel Dr
F Composite 24.14
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.8/30.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$524,000

2823 N Grey Squirrel Dr · Fayetteville, AR 72704
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,670 sqft · Land · 370 Days on market
Built 2025 8,712 sqft lot $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Walk-in closet
  • En suite

Tags

GAME ROOMWALK-IN CLOSETGAS FIREPLACEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHEN SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $524k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (48.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (53.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (53.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 3.5% in Fayetteville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#3 in AR, #871 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-.
  • Fayetteville School District (urban): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 238 in AR (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Holcomb Elementary School (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #45 of 454 statewide, top 10%, 643 students, 31% FRL); Ramay Junior High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #102 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 645 students, 54% FRL); Fayetteville High School East (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #24 of 292 statewide, top 9%, 2,685 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 370 days — a 12% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $243,766 (53.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 370 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
2.30%
Cash-on-cash
-14.28%
DSCR
0.36
GRM
17.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-44.3%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-198,034
Equity at exit
$78,130
10-year hold
IRR
-85.1%
Equity multiple
-1.20×
Total profit
$-323,469
Equity at exit
$45,306

Cash invested: $146,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72704

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
550
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,438 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,748
Tax est. 1.5%
$655 /mo · $7,860/yr
Insurance
$218
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$-1,745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,647
Max offer price $271,424
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,383 -5% $-1,564 +0% $-1,745 +5% $-1,927 +10% $-2,108
Rent -10% $-1,938 -5% $-1,842 +0% $-1,745 +5% $-1,649 +10% $-1,553
Rate -1.0pp $-1,482 -0.5pp $-1,612 base $-1,745 +0.5pp $-1,881 +1.0pp $-2,019

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,000
Closing costs
$15,720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2579 N Snowball Dr Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.0 1788 $2,250 $1.26 45d 1 0.40mi
2351 N Hosta Dr Unit 1221812P Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.5 3207 $18,386 $5.73 23d 1 0.71mi
2332 N Hidden Creek Dr Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.5 2289 $2,500 $1.09 45d 1 0.97mi
2492 N Surtees Pl Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 1773 $2,000 $1.13 16d 1 1.10mi
4359 W New Bridge Rd Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 2136 $2,300 $1.08 15d 1 1.12mi
4747 W Mayflower Ct Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 2012 $1,950 $0.97 16d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
gasinternet

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

  2. 2026-01-15
    soldstatus $5,945,000
  3. 2025-11-01
    price $524,000 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

  4. 2025-10-20
    price $554,500 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

  5. 2025-10-16
    price $524,000 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

  6. 2025-05-07
    price $554,500 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

  7. 2025-05-02
    listed $549,500 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    The charming Cooper Bonus plan in Hughmount, located in Fayetteville, Arkansas! The Cooper Bonus plan has 2600 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths. Use the 4th BR as a Study! This plan also includes a game room on the second floor! Game room area has a full bath and a Walk-in closet so this can be used as an extra bedroom! These brand-new homes boast 4-sided brick and LVP flooring. Upon entering, you will find a spacious living area featuring a gas fireplace with a poplar mantle. The kitchen will have 42-inch cabinets, lovely appliances and quartz countertops and tile backsplash. The Primary bedroom has a fabulous en suite, dual sinks, with a walk-in shower with tiled walls and a soaking tub! These homes feature LED lighting throughout, and a high efficiency AC with programmable Wi-Fi thermostat. Come find your dream home today! Taxes and Parcel TBD. Garage Door Opener!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,252
− Mortgage interest
−$29,352
− Property taxes
−$7,860
− Insurance
−$2,620
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,340
− Management
−$2,340
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$15,244
Taxable loss
−$31,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7,465
After-tax cash flow
$-13,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayetteville School District
NCES district ID
0506120
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,595
Composite
41.39/100
National rank
#3477
State rank
#19 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
83/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#871

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, AR
County
Washington County · 252,056 people
City population
118,228
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
32,497
Household income
$96,014
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
883.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,748 people
By 2030
296,414 · +9.1%
By 2040
346,874 · +27.6%
By 2050
398,552 · +46.7%
By 2075
523,309 · +92.6%
By 2100
615,280 · +126.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.44%
Current HPI
289.7478
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+981.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $5,945,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-01 Price Changed $524,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $554,500 NWARMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $524,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $554,500 NWARMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $549,500 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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