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636 Park Vw
D+ Composite 45.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

636 Park Vw · Clio, MI 48420
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $655/mo HOA · 50% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,560 sq ft of comfortable living space. The large kitchen features ample cabinet and counter space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining, and flows seamlessly into the dining area and expansive living room. Abundant natural light fills the home, enhancing the open and inviting layout. The secondary bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space, while the primary suite is a true retreat with an open feel, extra-large closets, and a private en suite bath. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a large carport plus a shed with workshop space - ideal for storage or hobbies. A well-designed home with space, functionality, and comfort throughout.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Large carport
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

LARGE KITCHENAMPLE CABINET SPACEEXPANSIVE LIVING ROOMABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTPRIVATE EN SUITE BATHLARGE CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved road access; Lot size listed as 10 x 10 acres
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Monthly association fee of $655; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Free-standing freezer; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Microwave; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Free-standing freezer
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.6% in Clio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#332 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clio Area School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #269 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Recommended offer $29,451 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.35%
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.71%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$190,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
807 Park Vw 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,612 (+3%) 14mo $65,000 $40 75
421 Johnson St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (+0%) 2mo $185,000 $118 67
218 New St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,606 (+3%) 8mo $114,500 $71 64
129 Bluff St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+6%) 11mo $127,000 $77 57
11065 Hickory Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-7%) 2mo $43,000 $30 56
121 Loomis Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (-10%) 1mo $140,000 $99 56
324 Pine St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-8%) 10mo $175,000 $122 54
407 Center St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+11%) 2mo $224,900 $130 51
300 N Mill St 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,382 (-11%) 10mo $235,000 $170 48
3239 Centennial Oak Ct 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+6%) 10mo $295,000 $179 46
3185 Centennial Oak Ct 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,679 (+8%) 16mo $290,000 $173 37
10505 S Varna St 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,792 (+15%) 14mo $279,900 $156 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$6,113
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$20,606
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48420

Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$655
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,091
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $186 -5% $176 +0% $165 +5% $155 +10% $145
Rent -10% $63 -5% $114 +0% $165 +5% $217 +10% $268
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $173 base $165 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$655 · $7,860/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $29,900 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (735 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,560 sq ft of comfortable living space. The large kitchen features ample cabinet and counter space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining, and flows seamlessly into the dining area and expansive living room. Abundant natural light fills the home, enhancing the open and inviting layout. The secondary bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space, while the primary suite is a true retreat with an open feel, extra-large closets, and a private en suite bath. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a large carport plus a shed with workshop space - ideal for storage or hobbies. A well-designed home with space, functionality, and comfort throughout.

  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $29,900 Active 735-char remark
    Show marketing remark (735 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,560 sq ft of comfortable living space. The large kitchen features ample cabinet and counter space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining, and flows seamlessly into the dining area and expansive living room. Abundant natural light fills the home, enhancing the open and inviting layout. The secondary bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space, while the primary suite is a true retreat with an open feel, extra-large closets, and a private en suite bath. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a large carport plus a shed with workshop space - ideal for storage or hobbies. A well-designed home with space, functionality, and comfort throughout.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,601
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− HOA
−$7,860
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$2,102
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$505
After-tax cash flow
$1,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Fresh paint and cleaning gutters can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and prevent water damage to the siding and foundation.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and prevent water damage to the siding and foundation.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clio Area School District
NCES district ID
2610110
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,368
Composite
30.83/100
National rank
#6134
State rank
#269 of 540 in MI

Livability — Clio

Score
69/100
State rank
#332
US rank
#8154

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clio, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,213

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.27%
Current HPI
186.7816
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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