33799 Bayview Dr · New Baltimore, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$182,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your Cozy Condo Awaits! This 2 story 3 Bedroom 1.5 bath Condominium is set along a tree lined sidewalk with a recently added fenced in deck. Walk in to the freshly painted spacious living area with a door-wall to the deck as well as a Galley kitchen, Dining area and half bath. On the Second floor 3 Bedrooms, plenty of closet space and full Bathroom. The private Basement has a Laundry Room, Workroom, Utilities and a finished Living Space. Unit has newer windows (Approx. 5 yrs). Low HOA includes water, snow removal, 2 assigned parking spaces, garbage, lawn maintenance, exterior maintenance (Excludes deck maintenance) . Pets welcome! Ready for immediate occupancy at close. Great opportunity whether investment or making this your home. Anchor Bay School District, great location for access to I-94/M-59, restaurants, Shopping and just minutes from beautiful Anchor Bay, Parks and Bike Paths .
Key facts
- $212 HOA
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pet policies: pets allowed — call for restrictions; Zoning: Residential; Roads: Paved; Municipality: Chesterfield Township (mailing city: Chesterfield)
- HOA & community: Community: Hidden Harbor Condominiums; Monthly association fee (approx. $212.37) covering lawn maintenance, snow removal, trash removal, water/sewer and exterior maintenance; Association contact available
Exterior
- Parking: Paved street frontage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas fuel
- Home design: Farm property type; 2-story structure; Entry-level main living areas; Year built: 1978; Subdivision: HIDDEN HARBOR
- Construction: Aluminum construction; Basement foundation; Partially finished basement (approx. 300 finished below-grade area)
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Deck; Porch; Basement (partially finished)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen located on entry level (approx. 10 x 8); Appliances included: Dishwasher, Range/Oven, Microwave, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor (approximate dimensions: 12 x 13; 12 x 9; 9'); Bedroom flooring: vinyl
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main living areas, bedrooms, kitchen, dining and baths; Living room approx. 20 x 11
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (second floor); One lavatory (entry level) — 3 x 5, vinyl flooring; Total: 2 bathrooms/lavatories
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Family room; First floor lavatory; Second floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $183k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $183k).
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.5% in New Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in MI, #597 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Anchor Bay School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 59% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $183k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.56%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-22,507
- Equity at exit
- $27,271
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-9,971
- Equity at exit
- $15,814
Cash invested: $51,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48047
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,007 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$959
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$229 /mo · $2,744/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA
- −$212
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,725
- Closing costs
- $5,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31871 Gabby CT New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,995 | $1.76 | 1d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 33523 Roselawn St New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 50790 Redwood Dr New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,411 | $1.66 | 1d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 51166 Johns Dr New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 32968 Antrim Dr New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,190 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $212 · $2,544/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashsnow removalexterior maint.parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-04status $182,900 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $182,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$182,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,245
- − Property taxes
- −$2,744
- − Insurance
- −$914
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,927
- − Management
- −$1,927
- − HOA
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$5,321
- Taxable loss
- −$1,539
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath condo is move-in ready with updated kitchens and bathrooms, and a private deck surrounded by mature trees.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchor Bay School District
- NCES district ID
- 2602790
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,173
- Composite
- 43.85/100
- National rank
- #2925
- State rank
- #91 of 540 in MI
Livability — New Baltimore
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $94,890
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 529.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.06%
- Current HPI
- 216.5914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+115.4% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $182,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $112,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $112,500 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-11-12 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-11 Coming Soon $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-08 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-05-28 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-05-28 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-04-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-03 Listed $73,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-03 Listed $73,800 REALCOMP
- 2007-04-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-16 Listed $73,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-31 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-12-11 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-11-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-10-27 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…