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4169 Bledsoe St
D Composite 42.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$299,900

4169 Bledsoe St · Westmoreland, TN 37186
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,390 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1980 1.90 ac lot Est $321k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLERS! This 3 bed, 2 bath brick home offers fresh updates including paint, new HVAC. and flooring. Enjoy cozy nights by the fireplace and peaceful country living on almost 2 acres. Spacious, move-in ready, and just minutes from town—don’t miss this one!

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • 1.9 acre lot
  • Built 1980

Tags

LARGE LOTWESTMORELAND LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (amount withheld from output per instructions)

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking listed; No total parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.9-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop, Range, Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cooktop, Range, Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator; Laminate flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (5.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (26.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.3% in Westmoreland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#91 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westmoreland Elementary (math 41% / reading 33%, grade F, #272 of 952 statewide, top 31%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Westmoreland Middle School (math 39% / reading 28%, grade F, #73 of 333 statewide, top 23%, 430 students, 0% FRL); Westmoreland High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 526 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,500 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.28%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$321,090
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
450 Robins Trl 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-2%) 12mo $320,000 $234 75
103 Hummingbird Hill Ct 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,361 (-2%) 21mo $312,000 $229 69
1985 Stevens Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-0%) 10mo $320,000 $231 66
246 Clyde Wix Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,374 (-1%) 13mo $339,900 $247 66
1981 Stevens Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+2%) 10mo $330,000 $233 64
250 Clyde Wix Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,374 (-1%) 14mo $336,000 $245 64
2131 Lambert Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,362 (-2%) 7mo $292,000 $214 61
6102 Austin Peay Hwy 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+8%) 10mo $349,872 $233 52
2119 Stevens Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,304 (-6%) 1mo $180,000 $138 52
6009 Austin Peay Hwy 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,431 (+3%) 12mo $229,500 $160 50
2209 Lambert Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,497 (+8%) 13mo $334,500 $223 43
2006 Stevens Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-7%) 21mo $240,800 $186 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-54,419
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-55,217
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37186

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,511/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$-90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,308
Max offer price $284,084
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $80 -5% $-5 +0% $-90 +5% $-174 +10% $-259
Rent -10% $-263 -5% $-176 +0% $-90 +5% $-3 +10% $84
Rate -1.0pp $61 -0.5pp $-13 base $-90 +0.5pp $-167 +1.0pp $-246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2199 Fincher Dr Westmoreland, TN 3.0 2.0 1532 $2,195 $1.43 0d 1 0.68mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 323-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $299,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,511 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,129 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$618/yr (+$52/mo · 40.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,340
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$1,511
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,107
− Management
−$2,107
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$6,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,538
After-tax cash flow
$464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumner County
NCES district ID
4704020
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$56,998
Composite
36.44/100
National rank
#4667
State rank
#12 of 139 in TN

Livability — Westmoreland

Score
68/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#9706

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westmoreland, TN
Population (ZIP)
10,644

Population outlook (Sumner County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,284 people
By 2030
223,902 · +7.5%
By 2040
253,892 · +21.9%
By 2050
281,199 · +35.0%
By 2075
344,866 · +65.6%
By 2100
384,369 · +84.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumner

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.5% · R 70.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+34.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.60%
Current HPI
336.4711
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $299,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $299,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $304,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $309,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-15 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-13 Listed $199,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+21.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,511 · +474.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…