4823 S Little Dr · Island Lake, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
6-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offering over 2,100 sq ft of living space with great flexibility for related living or multi-generational use! Features include two kitchens, an upstairs in-law suite, and a full basement with laundry area. Home is equipped with gas heat, city water, septic system, and a long driveway with parking for up to 5 vehicles. Situated on a generous lot with plenty of outdoor space. Roof is over 20 years old. No garage and no central A/C. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch!
Key facts
- Two kitchens
- Generous lot
- Laundry area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service available
- HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $250 covering lake rights; Master association not required; Community has street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Space for about 5 vehicles; Other/unspecified parking features
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Over 100 years old; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association
- Construction: Cedar exterior; Built before 1978; Unfinished basement (foundation present)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Wooded lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 28
Interior
- Kitchen: Primary kitchen with eating area/table space; Second kitchen/breakfast room; Range, Microwave, Dishwasher, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms (examples include a main-level master and multiple second-level bedrooms); Bedroom sizes include 15 x 13, 10 x 10, 11 x 9, 11 x 11, 17 x 13, and master approx. 14 x 8; Loft and additional sleeping spaces possible
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in dining room and main kitchen area; Carpet in living room; Hardwood listed more generally throughout
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Ceiling fans and attic exhaust fan
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Screens on windows; Unfinished attic; Separate dining room; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.5% in Island Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#84 in IL, #1,369 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wauconda CUSD 118 (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #267 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cotton Creek School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 576 students, 0% FRL); Matthews Middle School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 510 students, 0% FRL); Wauconda High School (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,460 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $250k implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.13%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $421,622
- List price
- $249,999
- Delta
- -40.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $144,191
- Equity at exit
- $225,219
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.98×
- Total profit
- $418,587
- Equity at exit
- $485,693
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60051
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,480 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$399 /mo · $4,786/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $125
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18status $249,999 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $249,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$249,999 Active 578-char remark
-
2019-10-02historical
-
2019-06-15price
-
2019-01-15New
-
2019-01-14historical
-
2018-11-06price
-
2018-10-28price
-
2018-10-18New
-
1984-06-01soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,786 · $399/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,230 · $436/mo
- Expected delta
- +$445/yr (+$37/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,786
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,381
- − Management
- −$2,381
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$2,562
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wauconda CUSD 118
- NCES district ID
- 1741190
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,358
- Composite
- 24.59/100
- National rank
- #7635
- State rank
- #267 of 620 in IL
Livability — Island Lake
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1369
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,630
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,931
Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 305,342 people
- By 2030
- 301,491 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 288,211 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 268,430 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 226,209 · -25.9%
- By 2100
- 181,247 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McHenry
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.50%
- Current HPI
- 612.07
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+247.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $249,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-06 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-18 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,786 · -20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…