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19 Bailey Dr
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

19 Bailey Dr · Franklin, NH 03303
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 208 Days on market
Built 1977 $88/sqft · 34% below area Est $142k · 33% under $300/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Single-level living
  • Conveniently located

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGEAT-IN KITCHENCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDCLOSE TO LOCAL AMENITIESMAJOR COMMUTER ROUTESMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN CONCORD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.1% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#56 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Merrimack Valley School District (town): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #79 of 98 in NH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 380 units permitted in Merrimack County in 2024 (28 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Merrimack County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $95k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
14.88%
Cash-on-cash
30.68%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,016
List price
$95,000
Delta
-33.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Bailey Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-2%) 0mo $80,000 $75 97
31 Goodhue Rd 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-4%) 11mo $345,000 $332 80
4 Rosue Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 926 (-14%) 3mo $135,000 $146 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$28,147
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$81,202
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03303

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,608/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$300
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,230
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Corn Hill Rd Boscawen, NH 3.0 1.0 864 $2,195 $2.54 43d 1 0.88mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$300 · $3,600/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  2. 2026-04-28
    price $95,000 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  3. 2026-04-02
    price $110,000 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  4. 2026-03-23
    price $117,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  5. 2026-01-09
    price $124,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  6. 2025-11-22
    price $139,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  7. 2025-11-04
    price $164,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  8. 2025-10-23
    price $179,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  9. 2025-10-06
    listed $189,500 Active 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    For Sale – 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Mobile Home in Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park – Boscawen, NH – Now offered at $95,000! Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Bill-Bob Mobile Home Park in Boscawen, NH. Offering 1,064 square feet of single-level living, this home features a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and generous bedroom sizes. Conveniently located close to local amenities, major commuter routes, and just minutes from downtown Concord, this home provides both comfort and accessibility. Please note: This property is being sold as-is. A great opportunity for DIYers or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Showings by appointment only. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable home in a convenient location!

  10. 1987-05-11
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,608 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,840 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 14.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,092
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,608
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,007
− Management
−$2,007
− HOA
−$3,600
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$7,309
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,754
After-tax cash flow
$6,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Merrimack Valley School District
NCES district ID
3304760
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$62,967
Composite
29.48/100
National rank
#6507
State rank
#79 of 98 in NH

Livability — Franklin

Score
68/100
State rank
#56
US rank
#9637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Merrimack County · 65,598 people
City population
8,843
Metro
Concord, NH
Population (ZIP)
16,571
Household income
$80,456
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Merrimack County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
151,287 people
By 2030
151,867 · +0.4%
By 2040
149,927 · -0.9%
By 2050
144,081 · -4.8%
By 2075
132,018 · -12.7%
By 2100
111,733 · -26.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Slovak 5% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Merrimack

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.2) · D 52.1% · R 46.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 5.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.2 2020: D+9.8 2016: D+3.1 2012: D+12.7 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.39%
Current HPI
421.1021
Rent YoY
Metro
Concord, NH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+217.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $95,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $110,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $117,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $124,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $139,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $164,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $179,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $189,500 PrimeMLS
  • 1987-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,608 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…